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Oct 22, 2014 at 20:02 vote accept Thomas Kojar
Sep 8, 2014 at 21:06 answer added Carlo Beenakker timeline score: 1
Jul 22, 2014 at 0:20 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 22, 2014 at 0:09 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 19, 2014 at 15:14 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 19, 2014 at 15:14 comment added Thomas Kojar thanks Ilya. Still I would appreciate if someone can give a precise answer.
Jul 17, 2014 at 20:25 comment added SBF My point was: if you take a look at the latter integral, you can't say it's less than $1$, so it's not a probability of anything - in particular not of hitting $C$. On a separate note, if you know what's the probability of hitting $B$ without touching $C$, compute this probability for initial conditions on the boundary of $A$.
Jul 17, 2014 at 20:01 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 17, 2014 at 19:55 comment added Thomas Kojar i want x and t to vary. I am not just looking at paths starting from fixed point x and hitting C at a fixed time t, which is what you wrote. But I will review it anyhow.
Jul 17, 2014 at 19:50 comment added SBF I'm pretty sure there is a couple of neat PDEs that the solution satisfies, though likely there is also a direct approach - not that I know of unfortunately. Let's take a look at the integrals. If $p(x,y,t)$ is a density of lending at $y$ from $x$ in time $t$, then the last integral is not even a probability. $$ \int_C p(x,y,t)\mathrm dy = P(x,C,t) $$ that is a probability of landing in a set $C$ from $x$ in time $t$. Your latter integral is integrating this probability over $x\in \Bbb R$ and $t\in \Bbb R_+$ - that's not a probability of hitting $C$.
Jul 17, 2014 at 19:43 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 17, 2014 at 19:37 comment added Thomas Kojar that's what I was doing. I updated it.
Jul 17, 2014 at 19:36 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 17, 2014 at 19:30 comment added SBF I think if you express each of the integrals as a probability of a certain event, it would be easier for you to realize whether they correspond to what you want or not.
Jul 17, 2014 at 19:29 history edited Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jul 17, 2014 at 19:21 history asked Thomas Kojar CC BY-SA 3.0