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Suppose $X$ is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and $Y$ is a binary experiment on $X$ such that $P(Y=1|X)$ is continuous, and we have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y=1] = \mu_y$ and $\mathbb{E}[X] < \mu_y$. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|\overline{Y}]$$\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|Y=0]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!

Suppose $X$ is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and $Y$ is a binary experiment on $X$ such that $P(Y=1|X)$ is continuous, and we have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y=1] = \mu_y$. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|\overline{Y}]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!

Suppose $X$ is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and $Y$ is a binary experiment on $X$ such that $P(Y=1|X)$ is continuous, and we have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y=1] = \mu_y$ and $\mathbb{E}[X] < \mu_y$. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|Y=0]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!

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Suppose X$X$ is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and we have$Y$ is a binary experiment on $X$ such that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y] = \mu_y$$P(Y=1|X)$ is continuous, where X and Y are not independentwe have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y=1] = \mu_y$. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|\overline{Y}]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!

Suppose X is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and we have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y] = \mu_y$, where X and Y are not independent. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|\overline{Y}]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!

Suppose $X$ is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and $Y$ is a binary experiment on $X$ such that $P(Y=1|X)$ is continuous, and we have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y=1] = \mu_y$. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|\overline{Y}]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!

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Minimum conditional expectation of complement of event given conditional expectation of event?

Suppose X is a pdf over $[0,m]$ and we have that $\mathbb{E}[X|Y] = \mu_y$, where X and Y are not independent. Is it always the case that if $\mathbb{E}[X|X>k] = \mu_y$, $\mathbb{E}[X|X\le k] \le \mathbb{E}[X|\overline{Y}]$? This seems intuitive, but is turning out to be deceptively difficult (for me) to prove.

Any ideas for how to prove this simple result, or intuition/counter examples explaining why it is not true, would be very helpful!