638 reputation
313
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location University of California, Berkeley
age 67
visits member for 4 years, 5 months
seen Mar 24 at 1:18

May
9
comment Chance of something being fixed
I believe this is an ill-posed question, contrary to the implications of the previous comment and the 3 answers at the time of this writing. Regardless of the values of n, p, and m, there is no way to know, in any sense of the word, that the probability that the defect has been fixed is >= p. (Rather, in this situation statisticians make use of confidence intervals.)
May
9
answered Examples of common false beliefs in mathematics
May
6
awarded  Scholar
May
6
accepted Maximally symmetric smooth projective varieties in CP^2
May
2
answered Why worry about the axiom of choice?
Apr
25
comment Correlation and Causation. When can we believe correlation (reasonably, at least) imply causation
I vote against closing, even though the question could have been phrased somewhat more precisely. The importance of our understanding how to perform causal inference cannot be underestimated. Any improvement in our current understanding of this matter could be used to combat many kinds of ills in the world, such as diseases and crime. A very important general question is how to begin with a large amount of observational data about, say, how disease X is caused -- say 10,000 people's health status and auxiliary variables -- and extract the most likely guesses as to the etiology of X.
Apr
25
awarded  Supporter
Apr
20
awarded  Editor
Apr
20
awarded  Student
Apr
20
awarded  Teacher
Mar
28
answered Why do dynamicists worry so much about differentiability hypotheses in smooth dynamics?
Mar
28
revised Maximally symmetric smooth projective varieties in CP^2
added 2 characters in body; added 1 characters in body
Mar
28
asked Maximally symmetric smooth projective varieties in CP^2