EDIT: My answer is wrong, though not for the reason given by the commenter; I read the absolute values as being inside the summation.
This is false. Consider the matrix $$\begin{pmatrix}
\epsilon/2 & 0 \\
1-\epsilon/2 & 1
\end{pmatrix}.$$
Letting $f$ be the identity and $g$ the only other permutation, the sum is on the order of $\epsilon$, not $\epsilon^2$. Furthermore, rearranging sums easily gives $\epsilon$ as an upper bound in the general case, assuming the entries are all positive.

