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    Post Made Community Wiki by S. Carnahan
show/hide this revision's text 2 Changed "feasible" to "plausible".

Another 'opposite' example - a naturally occurring number suspected to be rational but turning out to be irrational - occurs in the study of random polytopes. In 1923, Blaschke asked

What is the expected volume of a tetrahedron with vertices chosen randomly in a unit volume tetrahedron ?

The corresponding answer for a unit line is $\frac{1}{3}$ and for a unit triangle it's $\frac{1}{12}$. Klee made the (very feasibleplausible) conjecture that for the tetrahedron the answer is $\frac{1}{60}$ but later Monte Carlo experiments suggested the answer was closer to $\frac{1}{57}$.

Then in 2001, Buchta and Reitzner showed that the answer is actually

$$\frac{13}{720}-\frac{\pi^2}{15015}.$$

show/hide this revision's text 1

Another 'opposite' example - a naturally occurring number suspected to be rational but turning out to be irrational - occurs in the study of random polytopes. In 1923, Blaschke asked

What is the expected volume of a tetrahedron with vertices chosen randomly in a unit volume tetrahedron ?

The corresponding answer for a unit line is $\frac{1}{3}$ and for a unit triangle it's $\frac{1}{12}$. Klee made the (very feasible) conjecture that for the tetrahedron the answer is $\frac{1}{60}$ but later Monte Carlo experiments suggested the answer was closer to $\frac{1}{57}$.

Then in 2001, Buchta and Reitzner showed that the answer is actually

$$\frac{13}{720}-\frac{\pi^2}{15015}.$$