A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.

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The distribution of maximum of fraction Brownian motion over finite time interval

Suppose that $\{B_t^H,\ t\geq 0\}$ is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent $H$, I wonder if there are explicit expressions for the joint distribution of $(\sup_{0\leq t\leq ...
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31 views

Function that calculates the number of exceeds of Abs(x) over a level A [on hold]

I need a function that calculates the number of exceeds of Abs{x} over level A where X is a sequence of iid random variables with mean zero and variance 1
3
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1answer
154 views

Unusual augmentation of a filtration

consider a probablity space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F}, \mathcal{P})$ and a filtration $(\mathcal{F}^0_t)$. In general $(\mathcal{F}^0_t)$ doesn't satisfy the usual conditions (it is not both complete at ...
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6answers
835 views

Optimal pebble-packing shape

Suppose you throw many ($n$) congruent convex bodies (in $\mathbb{R}^3$) of unit volume (or of unit area in $\mathbb{R}^2$) into a large container, and shake it until little else changes. Q. ...
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1answer
339 views

How does the distribution of Erdős number evolve over time ? How to build a model to fit the real data ?

Let $E(n,t)$ be the number of mathematicians with finite positive Erdős number $n$ at time $t$. As old mathematicians leave, and new mathematicians come, how does $E(n,t)$ change over time ? We can ...
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29 views

Mean exit time / first passage time for a general symmetric Markov chain [closed]

Suppose I have a Markov chain as depicted in the following figure: where $N$ is even. State 0 and $N$ are the two sinks of the chain. The transition probabilities have the following property: ...
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1answer
101 views

Wiener measure of hitting sets A,B but not C (or easier hitting A but not C)

I am trying to formulate the measure of event $E=\{B[0\infty)\cap A,B \neq \varnothing$ and $B[0\infty)\cap C= \varnothing\}$, where $B[0\infty)$ is a Brownian path and $A,B,C$ are pairwise ...
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1answer
50 views

Reference request: seminal paper on the Blumenthal-Getoor index

Numerous papers are referring to the following one R. M. Blumenthal and R. K. Getoor, Sample functions of stochastic processes with stationary independent increments, J. Math. Mech. 10 (1961), ...
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1answer
144 views

A calculation involving a uniform random variable quantile

THE PROBLEM: Let $U$ be a uniform distribution and $U_{n}$ be its nth empirical distribution. Suppose $t\in (0,1)$ and $n\in \mathbb{N}$ are constants. What's the explicit expression to ...
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1answer
184 views

question about uniform continuity under Skorokhod Metric

Let $D=D([0,1], \mathbb{R})$ be the space of cadlag functions $x$ with $x(0)=0$ and $x$ is continuous on $1$. If we endow $D$ with Skorokhod Metric, see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C%C3%A0dl%C3%A0g ...
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1answer
1k views

Gluing Markov processes

I am looking for a reference on the gluing together of strong Markov processes to get a new one. Here is an example of what I have in mind. Let $B^1, B^2, \ldots $ be independent one-dimensional ...
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1answer
438 views

On the pathwise uniqueness of solutions of SDEs(Stochastic Differential Equations)

Suppose that $(\Omega,\mathscr{F},P)$ is a complete probability space equipped a filtration $\{\mathscr{F}_t\}$ satisfying the usual conditions. $B_t$ is a 1-dimentional Brownian motion with respect ...
6
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1answer
244 views

Strong Markov property for Poisson point process

The question is thoroughly contained in the title. I just say that I would only like to find a reference for this question. I have searched in some books, to no avail. Here is what I mean exactly. ...
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0answers
143 views

Repeatedly changing queue behavior

I'm not sure if this question is suited to MO. I will happily delete if not. Situation Consider a general queueing system $\mathscr{S}$, whose customer arrival times are independent, and whose ...
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1answer
144 views

Supremum in a Markov chain model

A Markov chain $X$ with finite state space $\{1,2,\cdots,N\}$ is defined on a probability space $(\Omega, P, \mathcal{F})$ equiped with filtration $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$. And we assume that we can reach ...
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0answers
110 views

A doubt on Balaji Meyn's ergodic theorem paper

I have a question regarding the classic paper by Balaji and Meyn: "Multiplicative ergodicity and Large Deviations for an Irreducible Markov Chain". Consider a recurrent aperiodic irreducible Markov ...
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1answer
447 views

References for a physicist migrating to stochastic processes

I've studied "Markov Chains" - Norris and "Measure, Integral and Probability" - Capinski, Kopp. Now, I'm looking for a couple of books (or other references) that help me bridging these two topics. ...
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1answer
159 views

Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem and Ergodic Decomposition Theorem for Continuous-Time Markov Processes

I have a couple of questions regarding ergodicity for Markov processes in continuous time. (In particular, the first question seems like it should be particularly basic, and yet I haven't managed to ...
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1answer
253 views

Trapping a particle

A particle starts a brownian walk in the middle of a long tunnel in the plane, at one end of the tunnel is a region Y of given area A. Does the shape of region Y affect average time for the particle ...
2
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1answer
93 views

explicit characterization of the stochastic integrand

Let $V$ be a cadlag positive supermartingale with the following decomposition: $$V_t=V_0+\int_0^tH_sdX_s-K_t$$ where $X$ is a cadlag local martingale and $K$ is an adapted increasing process with ...
3
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2answers
176 views

Convergence of iterated stochastic matrices

It is well-known that for a stochastic aperiodic matrix $M$, the sequence $(M^n)_n$ converges. Here I would like to a have a more precise analysis. Consider now a sequence of stochastic matrices ...
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0answers
64 views

Conditional probabilities in epidemic model

I was contemplating an epidemic model where infection and recovery rates are determined by links. Here node $i$ is infected first and recovers at a rate $\mu_i$. For all other nodes, the recovery is ...
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1answer
228 views

Law of Iterated Logarithm for autoregressive process

Suppose that $\{X_i\}$ is an $\mathrm{AR}(r)$, defined by: $X_{i}= h(i) + \varepsilon_i $, $h(i)=\alpha_1 X_{i-1} + \dots + \alpha_{r} X_{i-r}$ where $\{\varepsilon_i\}$ are i.i.d. ${\cal ...
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1answer
83 views

Markov chain Monte Carlo: why is non-reversible MC MC not as popular?

I am new to methods for simulating Markov chains in order to sample from the target, unknown distribution. After a couple days of reading, I found out that even though people have realized that ...
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1answer
135 views

Quasi-stationary distribution for a death process

In the paper, Survival in a quasi-death process by van Doorn and Pollett, the quasi-stationary distribution of a transient CTMC is discussed and QSD for a simple death process is derived. Consider a ...
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1answer
117 views

Stochastic integration by parts to obtain Kailath Segall identity for iterated stochastic integrals?

If $(M_t)_{t \geq 0}$ is a continuous local martingale, one can define the iterated integrals $I_0=1$, $I_1(t)=M_t$ and for $n \geq 2$ $$I_{n}(t) = \int_0^t I_{n-1} (s) \mathrm{d} M_s.$$ By noting ...
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1answer
149 views

On the superior of generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Let us consider a generalized O-U process $X_t \in L^2[0, 1]$ defined by the following spde: $dX_t = \frac{1}{2}\partial_x^2X_t + dW_t, $ $\partial_x X_t(0) = \partial_x X_t(1) = 0, $ $X_0 = 0, $ ...
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1answer
79 views

Regularity of finite variation kernels in the (intersection) of the semimartingale spaces $H^p$

Suppose you have a continuous semimartingale $S_t=M_t + A_t$ where $A_t$ is the continuous finite variation part which has the form $A_t = \int_0^t b_s \, \mathrm{d} s$, where $\int_0^{\infty} |b_s| ...
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1answer
92 views

Branching Brownian Motion and the KPP equation

I have troubles understanding the proof of the connection between BBM and KPP equation. I mean the proof of the next lemma from the lecture notes of Anton Bovier about BBM, link. This is almost whole ...
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1answer
105 views

weak convergence of the solutions to stochastic heat equation

$W(t,x)=\sum_ic_ie_i(x)B^i_t$ is a Brownian motion in $L^2(R^d)$, where $\{e_i\}$ is the standard orthogonal basis and $\sum_ic_i^2<\infty$. $$\partial_t u(t,x)=\Delta u(t,x)+u(t,x)\dot{W}(t,x)$$ ...
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1answer
262 views

Comparing the expected stopping times of two stochastically ordered random processes (Added:(14.05.2014))

Information: a-) $X$ and $Y$ are two continuous random variables on $\mathbb{R}$ having continuous distribution functions $F$ and $G$ with $G(y)\geq F(y)$ for all $y$. b-) $S^X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$, ...
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17 views

Zeros of non-lipschitz functions (when noisy estimates are available only)

Given noisy (martingale difference) of a Lipschitz continuous function $f$ it is known how to compute zeros of it. It is the stochastic approximation approach (by Borkar, Kushner and Yin etc.). Is ...
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1answer
154 views

Quantiles moments and Convergence

QUESTION: Let $F$ be an absolutely continuous distribution function with density $f$, and $F_{n}$ be its nth empirical distribution. Suppose that $t\in (0,1)$ is constant. Is true the convergence ...
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1answer
120 views

Stability of convergence in distribution under randomization

Suppose you have a sequence of non-negative stochastic processes $(X^n)_{t \in \mathbb{R}}$, $n \geq 1$, with continuous paths and continuous in $t$ such that $$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} X^n_t \, ...
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1answer
90 views

Fractional Brownian motion via Hilbert space

The Brownian motion has the following (Levy-Ciesielski?) construction via Hilbert space isomorphisms: Let $\{ Z_i \}_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ be i.i.d. $N(0,1)$ random variables defined on $(\Omega, ...
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1answer
138 views

Can't figure out “standard application” of the Garsia-Rodemich-Rumsey Lemma

I'm currently reading the paper http://arxiv.org/abs/0908.2473 and can't figure out what they call a "standard application" of the Garsia-Rodemich-Rumsey lemma (see p.8). Summed up, they have a ...
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2answers
313 views

Brownian motion of every point in the plane

Suppose every point in the plane undergoes brownian motion for a time t. What is the probability n particles ended up at 0? For n finite, countable or uncountable? What proportion of the plane does ...
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0answers
49 views

Almost sure transversality of smooth random maps

I still am novice as far as probability is concerned and after fruitlessly Googling for an answer for a few days I thought I might have a better chance with MO. Let me first formulate the ...
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5answers
3k views

Escape the zombie apocalypse

Consider zombies placed uniformly at random over $\mathbb{R}^2$ with asymptotic density $\mu$ zombies/area. You are placed at a random point and can move with speed $1$. Zombies move with speed $v\leq ...
2
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0answers
65 views

Reference request: Stochastic integration and martingale theory on the whole real line

I'm looking for a thorough treatment of stochastic integration and/or martingale theory on the whole real line, i.e. a way to construct a Brownian motion $(B_s)_{s \in \mathbb{R}}$ (if a two-sided BM ...
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2answers
75 views

When does a stochastic process have its sample paths a.s. in the reproducing kernel hilbert space (RKHS) induced by its covariance function?

Let $T$ be a compact metrizable space. Consider a centered second order measurable process $(X_t\colon t\in T)$ with continuous covariance function $c(t,s):= \mathbb{E}X_t X_s$. Are there any known ...
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1answer
82 views

Measurable functions lifted onto a space of point measures are measurable

I've been reading [1] and attempting to prove statements given without proof. In the paper the authors construct a measurable space of measures over a base space, and as an aside show an elegant way ...
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68 views

Sufficiency of stationary policy for negative stochastic dynamic programming

Consider a Markov Decision Process with Borel state space $X$ and Borel action space $U$, like the one defined in the book "Stochastic Optimal Control: Discrete-time case" by Bertsekas and Shreve. All ...
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75 views

Probability that d-Brownian Motion ,d>3, avoids a set A

In other words, the probability that Brownian motion stays within $A^{c}$. So far I found that it is 1, for random cylinders and thorns (http://www.math.upenn.edu/~pemantle/papers/burdzy.pdf). What ...
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0answers
44 views

Reference for “Newtonian capacity estimates probability that A is hit by a Brownian motion”

I am looking for the following statement "In fact, the Newtonian (logarithmic) capacity gives an estimate, up to a constant factor, the probability that A is hit by a Brownian motion started, say, ...
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1answer
76 views

Mutual information staying constant under composition of channels

Consider the following scenario: one has 2 communication channels $C_1$ and $C_2$. Denote by $p(x)$ the input probability distribution. The mutual information between the input and the output of ...
5
votes
2answers
265 views

Properties of the algebraic self-difference set of Brownian motion zeros

As I was trying to exhibit new interesting(?) path transformations of Brownian motion, I became interested in the (random) set of times $t$ such that $B(t)=B(t+1)=0$, where $B(t)$ denotes a standard ...
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1answer
162 views

An efficient method to find the MLE of the combination of two point processes

I have a point process defined in two parts as follows. Consider first the main process which we call $A$ which is homogeneous Poisson process with conditional intensity $$\lambda(t) = \mu$$ For ...
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1answer
155 views

maximum of certain Gaussian processes

Let $\mathbf{a}_k\in\mathbb{C}^n$ for $k=1,2,\ldots,m$ be i.i.d. standard complex normal random vectors with distribution $c\mathcal{N}(0,\mathbf{I})$. I am interested in a tight upper bound on the ...
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2answers
86 views

Is this generating family of a measurable space of point measures a pi-system?

I'm learning some probability and measure theory and working my way through the first few paragraphs of [1]. My question is perhaps too basic for Math Overflow, but I hope it is welcome here. Point ...