A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.

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67 views

### Customers and Anti-Customer Queueing Problem: What is the Customer delete probability

Hello may I ask for your help?
First the setting:
I have got a problem with some queueing theory. The whole problem would be a grid of nodes, all nodes have an operation intensity $\mu_{i,j}$. ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

83 views

### Why is this distribution exponential?

Take the interval $[0, 1]$.
Now sample 10000 points in this interval randomly according to the uniform distribution.
The fact is that the distribution of the distances between adjacent points on ...

**7**

votes

**7**answers

678 views

### Semicircle law universality elsewhere

Wigner's semicircle distribution is:
$$f(x)=\frac{1}{2 \pi}\sqrt{4-x^2}, \ \ -2\leq x\leq 2.$$
Under reasonable conditions, the rescaled eigenvalue density of random symmetric matrices $M_n$ follows ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

62 views

### Convergence to equilibrium for time in-homogeneous diffusions

Consider the long time behavior for a time in-homogeneous diffusion such as
$$dX_t = dB_t - \nabla V(X_t)\,dt + b_t(X_t)dt,$$
where $V(x)$ is a smooth convex function and $b_t(x)$ is a time-dependent ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

225 views

### When is the hitting time of an open set a stopping time?

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F},P)$ be a probability space and $(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \in [0,T]}$ a filtration. Consider an adapted, right-continuous process $X$ taking values in $\mathcal{X}$ and let $B$ be ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

93 views

### Quadratic Variation of a Martingale in Hlibert Spaces

I'm looking at a Martingale (actually a Martingale difference sequence),
$$
M_n = \sum \delta M_n,
$$
and I'd like to prove something about convergence. If Martingale is Hilbert space valued (...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

39 views

### Stochastically coloring a graph in a local way

Suppose you are assigning values in $S$ (assume $|S|<\infty$) to nodes of a (directed) graph in a stochastic way. At the beginning, none of the node is assigned values. At the $i^{th}$ step, you (...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

102 views

### Asymptotics of Variable Drift Ornstein–Uhlenbeck Process

The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process is defined as the stochastic process that solves the following SDE:
$dx_t = \theta (\mu-x_t)\,dt + \sigma\, dW_t$
where $\theta>0$, $\mu$ and $\sigma>0$ are ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

52 views

### conditionning by a Gaussian field

I know that if $(X,Y)$ is a Gaussian vector, then $(X|Y=y)$ is a Gaussian vector which covariance matrix is explicit in function of the covariance matrix of $(X,Y)$, and does not depend on $y$.
What ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

75 views

### Markov chains on a polyhedron

A modification of a question from Gerard Letac (1976): A m-sided q-adjacent-faced polyhedron has one of its faces "up." Each round, the polyhedron rolls so that any of the adjacent faces is now up. ...

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**0**answers

48 views

### Oscillating Markovprocess Transition Probabilities

Suppose we have an irreducible positive-recurrent Markov process $\{X(t), t\geq0\}$ with generator $G$. Let $P(t)$ be its transition probability matrix and $\pi$ its stationary distribution. Then we ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

181 views

### Arc Sine law for Random Walk conditioned to non-absorption or not?

Let $S_n$ be simple symmetric Random walk on the integers in $[-N,N]$ with states $N$ and $-N$ absorbing. Let $\tau$ be the time to absorption when $S_0 = 0$.
Is the $E(S^{2}_{n}| \tau \geq n)$ known?...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

477 views

### understanding of rough path

A rough path is defined as an ordered pair
$ (X, \mathbb X)$, where $X$ is a path mapping from $[0,T]$ to some Banach space $V$
and $\mathbb X:[0,T]^2 \mapsto V^2$ is another mapping for additional ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

135 views

### Scaling of First-passage times for Random Walk on integer lattices

Consider simple symmetric random walk $S_{n} = (S_{n}^{(1)},\dots,
S_{n}^{(d)})$ on the d-dimensional integer lattice with starting point the origin.
Let $\tau_{N}$ be the first time $S_{n}$ exits ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

60 views

### How can two random variables are continuous infers that their jointly random variable is continuous [closed]

We assume that $\forall a,b$ suchthat $a^2+b^2>0$, $aX+bY$ is continuous random variable.
But we don't assume that $X$ and $Y$ are independent.
My question is the following:
Is it true that the ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

220 views

### Cramer-Rao type bound for absolute estimation error

Let $\{X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n\}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables sampled from a common distribution with density $f_{\theta}(x)$, where $\theta$ is an unknown ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

173 views

### Upper bound of the waiting time of a sum process

Let $n \in \mathbb{N}$, $x_1, \ldots, x_n \in (0,1)$ fix but arbitrary, s.t. $\sum_{i=1}^n x_i = 1$. Let $X_i \sim \operatorname{Unif}(\{x_1, \ldots, x_n\})$ i.i.d., and $T_n = \min\{t \in \mathbb{N} \...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

247 views

### Is $B(t-1)$ an Ito process?

Let $I(\cdot)$ be an indicator, and $B_{t}$ be an 1-dim standard Brownian motion in a nice filtered probability space
$(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P, \mathcal{F}_{t})$. We consider a random process
$$Y_{t} =...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

107 views

### probability in galton watson processes [closed]

I am trying to study the Elementary new proofs of classical limit theorems for Galton Watson processes written by Jochen Geiger.
I don't understand what Z_(n,i) stand for.
And in the proof of Theorem ...

**1**

vote

**2**answers

185 views

### Principal bundles and Subriemannian Geometry

In sub-Riemannian geometry, one considers manifolds $P$ equipped with a subbundle $\mathcal{H}$ of $TP$, the horizontal distribution. One then has a Riemannian metric only on this distribution $\...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

54 views

### Strong Markov Property of the joint process $(B_t,L_t)_{t\ge 0}$

Let $B=(B_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a Brownian motion and $L=(L_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be its local time in zero. Given two strictly increasing functions $\phi_1$, $\phi_2: \mathbb R_+\to\mathbb R$ such that $\phi_1(0)=\...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

386 views

### Central limit theorem for biased random walk

Define random variables $X_n$ by $X_0 = 0$ and
\begin{equation*}X_n - X_{n-1} = \begin{cases}
1 & \text{with probability } g(X_{n-1}) \\
0 & \text{with probability } 1-g(X_{n-1})
\end{cases}
\...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

386 views

### Stochastic interpretation of heat kernel on fiber bundle

I'm looking for a stochastic interpretation of the heat equation for vector valued function.
The classical set up is the following :
If $(M,g)$ is a riemannian manifold then we could consider the ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

175 views

### Joint law of a standard Brownian motion and its local time at a nonzero level

Let $B_t$ be the standard Brownian motion and $L_t^a$ be the local time at level $a$. It is known that the joint-density of $(L_t^0,B_t)$ is
$$
P\left(B_t\in d y, L_t^0\in d v\right) = \frac{|y|+v}{\...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

53 views

### Recursive parameter estimation for partially observed Ito SDEs

I'm trying to get my head around online (recursive) maximum-likelihood parameter estimation in the language of stochastic processes and in the context of stochastic filtering, i.e. where we have a ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

123 views

### Horizontal vs Vertical sides Exit from a Rectangle for simple symmetric Random Walk on $\textbf{Z}^{2}$

Consider simple symmetric random walk, $X_{n} = (X_{n}^{(1)}, X_{n}^{(2)})$ with $X_0= (0,0)$, on the 2 dimensional integer lattice, $\textbf{Z}^{2}$.
Let $T_{M}, T_{N}$ be the smallest $n$ such ...

**6**

votes

**1**answer

153 views

### Does a Gaussian process shrink under a contraction map

Let $T \subset \mathbb R^n$, and assume it's a finite set if that helps. Consider the symmetric Gaussian process $(X_t)_{t\in T}$ defined by $X_t = \langle G, t\rangle$, where $G$ is a standard ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

188 views

### Stochastic differential equation associated with an optimal control problem

We know how to find the stochastic differential equation (Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, HJB) of the control problem where a process $X_t$ is controlled up until it is stopped at a stopping time $\...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

62 views

### Question about the characteristics of semimartingales

Let $D=D([0,1,R)$ be the space of cadlag (right-continuous with left limits) functions defined on [0,1] and $X:=(X_t)_{t\in [0,1]}$ be the canonical process on $D$, i.e. $X_t(x)=x(t)$ for all $x\in D$....

**5**

votes

**0**answers

416 views

### Quadratic variation and predictable quadratic variation for martingales

Let $(M_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale with respect to the filtration $(\mathcal{F}_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$. Assume that $E M_1^2<\infty$.
Fix $N$ and consider now a discrete version ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

206 views

### Area enclosed by Brownian motion (without winding number)

The question Average Value of Area Closed by Brownian Motion turned out to be about the Lévy area process, which measures "signed area with multiplicity" enclosed by Brownian motion (e.g. each ...

**1**

vote

**2**answers

77 views

### SDEs: Bounding the variance of a solution

I've been thinking about something that would seem intuitive, but I haven't really been able to dig a direct answer to. This is a rough draft of it.
Let
$$X_t = \mu_{X,t} \mathrm{d}t + \sigma_{X,t} \...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

141 views

### Criterion for weak convergence of probability measures on S' or D'

Let $X_n$ in $S'$ and $\mu_n$, $\mu$ in $M(S')$. $S'$ is the space of tempered distributions. I'm looking for a reference that says if $< f, X_n >$ converges in distribution to $< f,X>$ ...

**36**

votes

**7**answers

4k views

### Deep Learning / Deep neural nets for mathematician

I am interested in finding out the math ideas behind the technologies that are under the umbrella of "Deep Learning" or "Deep neural nets".
Most of the papers/books that are often quoted in papers/...

**9**

votes

**1**answer

367 views

### a question on 0-1 valued stochastic process

Here's a question on probability theory from a layman (I'm a game theorist). It is very likely that the question will be a straightforward matter for someone who is a probability theorist. I guess I'm ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

267 views

### Squaring random Schwartz distributions

Let $\mu$ denote the centered Gaussian measure on $S'(\mathbb{R}^d)$ with covariance
$$
\mathbb{E}
[\phi(f)\phi(g)]=\int_{\mathbb{R}^d} \frac{\overline{\widehat{f}(\xi)}
\widehat{g}(\xi)}{|\xi|^{d-2[\...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

72 views

### Does the expected spreading of sample paths imply increase in variance?

Consider a sample-continuous stochastic process $\left\{ X_t \right\}_{t \in T}$ s.t. each $X_t$ is real-valued and $$\int_\Omega | X_t(\omega) | ^p \, \mathrm{d} P(\omega)< \infty$$ for all $1 \...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

63 views

### Matroid rank decay

Consider a uniform vector matroid $M(0)=U_{m,n}$ of rank $m$ with $n$ points, $n>m>2$ (you can think of it as a set of $n$ points in general position in vector space $F^m$ for some large field $...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

88 views

### Defining a brownian bridge indexed by angle

I have a random closed curve of the form $(\theta,r_\theta)$, where $\theta\in [0,2\pi]$, is the counter clockwise angle from the x-axis and $r_\theta$ is the radial distance from the origin (centroid)...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

199 views

### Average probability that a random cosine polynomial with bernoulli coefficients is small

Let $P_{n}(t)=\sum_{k=0}^{n}\varepsilon_{k}\cos(kt)$ where $\varepsilon_{i}$ are independent random variables taking values in $\left\{-1,1\right\}$ with equal probability. Is is true that for any $\...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

51 views

### Can real-valued Markov processes with continuous surjective sample paths admit a non-trivial “forward-invariant” set?

I have both a more general question (concerning stopping times), and then a more specific application (as described in the title).
Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0},\mathbb{P})$ be ...

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votes

**0**answers

85 views

### Is there a generalization of Polya urns to continuous outcome event?

Take for example the simplest model where there are n blue balls and m white balls in an urn. Then, in a first step realization, a white one has been drawn and then c + 1 of this colour had been put ...

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vote

**0**answers

59 views

### Subclass of semimartingales for which all characteristics can be estimated?

I'm going to ask the question for Ito semimartingales rather than semimartingales in general, but more general answers would be great.
An Ito semimartingale is a martingale for which the ...

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vote

**0**answers

72 views

### Da Prato's notion of Symmetric Operator

For anyone who's familiar with G. Da Prato's books on infinite dimensional analysis, I was wondering if someone could clarify something. In, for instance, "An Introduction to Infinite Dimensional ...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

310 views

### Existence of strong solution to SDEs with non-Lipschitzian drift

Consider the SDE:
$$dX_t=b(X_t)dt+dW_t\quad X_0=x$$
If $b$ is bounded Borel function, using Zvonkin's Transform, one can prove there exists a unique strong solution.
I want to know if we assume $b$ ...

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votes

**0**answers

73 views

### Bounds on moving average process

Let $X_1,X_2,\dotsc$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and define the average process $\{Y_t\}$ as
$$
Y_t = \sum_{i=1}^p a_k X_{t-i}
$$
with some constants $a_1,\cdots,a_p \in \mathbb{R}$. This ...

**10**

votes

**2**answers

411 views

### Minimal expected absolute value of linear combinations of Gaussian random variables

I am interested in the following question. Consider $n$ independent standard normal random variables $g_i$. Cosider a linear combination $w_1g_1+\cdots+w_ng_n$. Can one give a "decent" upper bound for ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

162 views

### Does $E^{x,t}(f(X_T))$ solve a PDE if $f$ is not continuous?

Many books [see below for references] explore the connections between partial differential equations and expectation values.
Assume $X$ is a diffusion with generator $A$, then they conclude, that ...

**3**

votes

**2**answers

135 views

### Existence of an invariant measure on an infinite dimensional space via Lyapunov functional

Set-up.
Assume that we have a complete separable metric space $\mathcal{X}$ that is not locally compact. Let $V: \mathcal{x} \to [0; +\infty]$ be a functional such that $K_r :=\{x \in \mathcal {X} : V ...

**1**

vote

**2**answers

114 views

### Lyapunov exponents of dual / adjoint / transpose random dynamical system (RDS)

Consider the the state of a system at time $n$, $X_n$, as the action of a product of i.i.d. $d\times d$ random matrices acting on a $d$ dimensional vector $X_0$, so we have
$$X_n = A_n \cdots A_1X_0.$...