A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.

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89 views

### Learning resources for Probability Distributions/Models [closed]

I've a good background in basic probability. I need to learn and get a good grip on the probability distributions and stochastic processes, counting processes, and other related topics.
I am already ...

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79 views

### asymptotic estimate of random walk involved hitting time and return time

Consider a reversible random walk on (say) $\mathbb{Z}$, are there any estimate for the following probability $\mathbb{P}(\tau_n=m<\tau_0^+)$ where $\tau_n$ is the first hitting time at site n and ...

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80 views

### Existence of a conditional distribution

Let $X$ and $Y$ be standard Borel spaces and let $J$ be an analytic subset of $X\times \mathcal P(Y)$ where $\mathcal P(\Omega)$ is a set of probability measures on a Borel space $\Omega$ endowed ...

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96 views

### Nonlinear Markov process

Consider the following nonlinear $\mathbb{R}$-valued stochastic recursive sequence:
$ X_{n+1} = F(X_n) + W_{n+1}, \quad (W_n)_{n\ge1} \stackrel{ \scriptsize \mathrm{i.i.d.} }{ \sim } \phi. $
How can ...

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**1**answer

395 views

### Fictitious density of paths of diffusion processes outside the Cameron--Martin space

Let $X_t$ be an $n$-dimensional diffusion process satisfying the following Itō SDE over $[0,1]$:
$$dX_t = f(X_t)\,dt + dW_t,$$
where $W_t$ is an $n$-dimensional Wiener process and $f$ is of class ...

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57 views

### Cycle removal process

Consider the following stochastic process for generating a forest: start from a complete graph on $n$ vertices and proceed to repeatedly remove the edges of uniformly chosen cycles. Formally, let ...

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votes

**1**answer

72 views

### Why does differencing create wide-sense stationary time series?

In time series analysis, a common assumption made is that the series is wide-sense stationary, ex. that it has time invariant mean and covariance. However, as this is often not the case in real life, ...

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**1**answer

163 views

### On the solution of a stochastic partial differential equation

Consider a simple SPDE as follows:
$\partial_t u(t,x)=\partial_x^2 u(t,x)+V(u(t,x))+\dot{W}(t,x)$, $t>0$, $x\in(0,1)$,
$u(t,0)=u(t,1)=0$,
$u(0,x)=v(x)$,
where $V$ is a bounded, smooth ...

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**1**answer

156 views

### Escape Time of Fractional Brownian Motion

Let $B(t)$ be Brownian motion with $B(0)=x>0$ and let $A>x$. It is well known that the expected time for $B(t)$ to escape the interval $[0,A]$ is equal to $x(A-x)$.
Is the expected time known ...

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**2**answers

466 views

### Probability of Brownian motion to have a zero in an interval

I have what should be a very simple questions for Brownian motion experts...
Let $[a,b]$ be a given time interval. Let $f(x)$ be the probability that a linear Brownian motion with initial value $x$ at ...

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**1**answer

171 views

### Characterizations of the GOE/GUE family of distributions

This question is somewhat related to this one. Loosely speaking, when should I expect a GOE/GUE distribution? The angle of my approach to this is not through statements such as "there is a natural ...

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vote

**1**answer

71 views

### The probability of Levy process staying at a point

Assume $X_{t}$ is a 1-dimensional Levy process on a probability $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$. For a fixed point $x$ in the state space and fixed $t\neq 0$, what's the value of $ P(\omega: ...

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votes

**1**answer

127 views

### What are all the stationary and pointwise independent random processes?

In the 60's, I. Gel'fand introduced the concept of generalized stochastic processes (Ch. III, Vol. 4 of his work on Generalized functions). For a generalized stochastic process $\Phi$, he defines the ...

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365 views

### Can every discrete martingale be embedded in a continuous martingale?

Let $(X_k)_{k=0,1,..., n}$ be a discrete martingale defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. I would like to know whether there exists a (continuous) martingale ...

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**2**answers

122 views

### Initial paper of Gel'fand on Generalized Random Processes

The theory of generalized stochastic processes was introduced independently in the 50's by Ito* and Gel'fand in a short paper. The latter then developed his theory more extensively in the fourth tome ...

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122 views

### right-continuity of filtration

For a natural filtration of a stochastic process (possibaly multi-dimensional) to be right-continuous, what conditions should the process satisfy? Any references?

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152 views

### asymptotic variance of sample autocorrelation of two iid random variables

I am trying to prove that the variance of the sample lag-1 autocorrelation
$$\hat{\rho}=\frac{\sum_{t=1}^n(x_t-\bar{x})(x_{t-1}-\bar{x})}{\sum_{t=1}^n(x_{t-1}-\bar{x})^2}$$
for an i.i.d. R.V is ...

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vote

**1**answer

74 views

### The jump and the left martingale of semimartingale

Let $X_{t}$ be a semimartingale. Define
$\Delta X_{t} = X_{t}- X_{t-}$.
For fixed $s> 0$, $\Delta X_{s}$ and $X_{s-}$ are two random variable. Are they independent to each other? I think the ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

121 views

### The regularity of Levy process

There is a property for continuous Markov process that each point $y$ in its state space is hit with positive probability one starting from any interior point $x$.
This property is called the ...

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**0**answers

78 views

### Null sets visited infinitely often by trajectories of the shift dynamical system

Let $(G,\circ)$ be a Polish group, with identity $e$.
Let $\Omega$ be the set of continuous functions $\omega:\mathbb{R} \to G$ such that $\omega(0)=e$.
For each $t \in \mathbb{R}$, define the ...

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**0**answers

237 views

### Tight lower bound for expected maximum of K sums of T Rademacher random variables

For each $j \in \{1, \ldots, K\}$, let $(\varepsilon_{j,t})_{t=1}^T$ be an independent sequence of iid Rademacher random variables (i.e. taking values $\pm 1$ with equal probability). What is the best ...

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91 views

### The distribution of Jump gaps of Levy process

Assume $X_{t}$ is a Levy process with triplet $(\sigma^{2}, \lambda, \nu)$, here $\nu$ is the Levy measure of $X_{t}$. Define $\tau_{1},\tau_{2},\dots$ be the time gap between the successive jumps ...

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251 views

### Sufficient condition for local martingale property of stochastic integral

Is the following correct and/or a (simple) known result?
Let $X$ be a local martingale and $H$ an integrand for $X$, such that the stochastic integral $\int H\cdot dX\ge x$ for some random variable. ...

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**1**answer

129 views

### Can this two-dimensional process self intersect?

I would like to know more about the two-dimensional processes derived from Brownian motion by the following stochastic differential equation (in the Ito sense)
$$dX_t = f(X_t) dt + ...

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301 views

### Skorohod theorem (weak convergence) on a discrete setting

I have a question about the application of Skorohod representation theorem. The questions arises in this paper about robust hedging in mathematical finance. It is about the very last equation on page ...

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209 views

### Doob's inequality for martingale “convolution”

Let $(X_t, t \in \mathbb{N})$ be a martingale, and let $a \leq b \leq T \in \mathbb{N}$ be constants. Is there something like Doob's inequality for $\mathbb{E} \sup_{a \leq t \leq b} X_t(X_T-X_t)$, ...

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**1**answer

238 views

### Generating independent random variable from two correlated random variables

Suppose two random variables $X$ and $V$ are given. I am wondering what kind of condition we need to impose on joint distribution of $V$ and $X$ to make sure that there exists a random variable $Z$ ...

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130 views

### Stochastically flipping coins until we see a certain number of heads in two possible durations of time

Imagine that I'm flipping a biased coin (at a rate given by a Poisson process with rate $\lambda$), where the probability the coin lands heads-up is $p$ (tails $q$). I keep flipping the coin until I ...

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67 views

### Ito formula for max(X,0) where X is a semimartingale

Has anyone ever applied the Ito formula on $|X^+|^2$ for $X^+ = \max(X,0)$ with
$X(t) = X(0) + M(t) + V(t)$, where $M(t)$ is a local martingale and $V(t)$ is bounded variation process. I found it in ...

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127 views

### Different definitions of ergodicity for stationary processes

From page 3 of a note:
A stationary process is ergodic if any two variables positioned far
apart in the sequence are almost independently distributed.
A formal definition is the following: ...

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42 views

### Number of not self-intersecting closed paths spanning $n$ iid uniform points

Let $X_1,X_2,\dots,X_n$ be independent uniform variables in the square. What is the number of piece-wise linear paths which vertices are all the $X_i$ and that do not self-intersect? In other words, ...

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71 views

### CLT for a Markov Renewal Process

Suppose $(X,T)=\{(X_n,T_n)\}_{n\geq0}$ is a Markov renewal process, where $X$ is a finite-state, discrete-time Markov chain with state space $\{1,2,...,R\}$. $T$ is the additive component, more ...

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**1**answer

164 views

### a dominated convergence theorem for martingale (II)

The question is presented in
a dominated convergence theorem for martingale
Let $\{(X_1^n, X_2^n)\}_n$ be a sequence of martingales defined some probability space. (which means ...

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**1**answer

125 views

### Domino Shuffling and Warren's process

In this paper by Nordenstam, it is shown that a certain interlacing particle process that arises from uniformly random Aztec diamond tilings is amazingly similar to Warren's process. One of the ...

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**1**answer

125 views

### Can $<.>$ of a martingale determine it only?

Let $\Omega$ be the space of continuous functions defined on $[0,1]$. Define the canonical process $B$ by
$$B_t(\omega)=\omega_t,~ \forall\omega\in\Omega$$
Let us equip $\Omega$ with the usual ...

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votes

**1**answer

214 views

### Quasi-stationary distribution for a death process

In the paper, Survival in a quasi-death process by van Doorn and Pollett, the quasi-stationary distribution of a transient CTMC is discussed and QSD for a simple death process is derived.
Consider a ...

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**1**answer

184 views

### a $L^1$ convergence for backward martingale

I have a question which may be naive, but I can not find the related result in the classical reference such as "Foundations of Modern Probability" and "Probability"(Billingsley). So if someone knows ...

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315 views

### Comparing the stopping times of two stochastic processes

Let $f_0$, $g_1$, $g_0$ be $3$ distinct density functions on the real numbers $\mathbb{R}$ with the corresponding distribution functions $F_0$, $G_1$, and $G_0$, respectively. The following relation ...

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**2**answers

188 views

### On the existence and uniqueness of solution to SPDE with nonlinear growth coefficients

Consider the SPDE $$\frac{\partial}{\partial t}u_t(x) = \frac{\kappa}{2}\frac{\partial^2}{\partial x^2}u_t(x) + u_t(x)(K-u_t(x)) + \sigma u_t(x) \xi(t,x),$$
where $(t,x)\in {\mathbb R}_+\times ...

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votes

**1**answer

167 views

### Transition probabilities in coupled Markov chains

I know that for a continuous-time Markov chain, the probability of transition from time $0$ to $t$ is given by $P(t)=e^{Q(t)t}$. I have a system of $N$ interdependent continuous-time Markov chains ...

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**0**answers

306 views

### What is the characteristic functional for Brownian motion on a sphere?

I'm a physicist, somewhat familiar with stochastic processes, but I'm a little unsure of what follows. What I basically have is a complicated quantity involving a vector that is equivalent to ...

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394 views

### Any suggestions on a rigorous stochastic differential equations book?

I have been looking through some books and they are not very rigorous. Any suggestions would be great.

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**1**answer

101 views

### Relative vulnerabilities in SIS epidemic model

Consider the SIS model of epidemic spreading. There is a finite graph $G(V,E)$, link infection rates $\lambda_{ij}$ and node recovery rates $\mu_i$. There are a few initial nodes which are infected at ...

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**1**answer

148 views

### A question about stochastic kernels and invariant measures

Suppose that $E$ is a metric space, let $\mathcal{B}_E$ denote the set of its Borel subsets and suppose that $\mu$ is a probability measure on $(E,\mathcal{B}_E)$. In addition, suppose that $p:E\times ...

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85 views

### An extension of first order stochastical dominance property

A random variable $X$ (distributed as $F$) is said to be stochastically larger than $Y$ (distributed as $G$), ($X>_{FSD}Y$) if their distribution functions satisfy $G(y)>F(y)$ for all $y$.
It ...

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**1**answer

110 views

### Deviation bound for the maximum of the norm of Wiener process

Let $W(t)$ be an $n$-dimensional Wiener process. Denote by $\chi_n^2$ a chi-squared random variable with $n$ degrees of freedom. I have recently found the following inequality given without proof:
$$
...

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**1**answer

113 views

### A question about extensions of Markov semigroups

I'm cross-posting this question from MSE. It's the first time I do this so I'm unsure of etiquette regarding how to cross-post, if this irritates anyone please vote this down and I'll delete the post. ...

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**1**answer

147 views

### Generalization of Lévy's continuity theorem for nuclear spaces

I am interested in a generalization of the following finite-dimensional results in infinite dimensional vector-space with nuclear structure, especially for the cases of the spaces of distributions ...

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121 views

### On the infinitesimal generator of a 1-dimensional stochastic heat equation: core and explicit form

Denote $E = C([0, 1])$. I am consider a 1-dimentional stochastic heat equation on $h$:
$\partial_tu(t, x) = \partial_x^2u(t, x) - V'(u(t, x)) + \dot{W}(t, x)$, for all $(t, x) \in (0, ...

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**1**answer

171 views

### A queuing process where customers must be detected

Imagine a scenario where customers arrive in some queue according to a Poisson process with rate parameter $\lambda_{arr}$, and where the process of responding to the customers has a kind of ...