A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.

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Matroid rank decay

Consider a uniform vector matroid $M(0)=U_{m,n}$ of rank $m$ with $n$ points, $n>m>2$ (you can think of it as a set of $n$ points in general position in vector space $F^m$ for some large field ...
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33 views

Defining a brownian bridge indexed by angle

I have a random closed curve of the form $(\theta,r_\theta)$, where $\theta\in [0,2\pi]$, is the counter clockwise angle from the x-axis and $r_\theta$ is the radial distance from the origin ...
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1answer
165 views

Average probability that a random cosine polynomial with bernoulli coefficients is small

Let $P_{n}(t)=\sum_{k=0}^{n}\varepsilon_{k}\cos(kt)$ where $\varepsilon_{i}$ are independent random variables taking values in $\left\{-1,1\right\}$ with equal probability. Is is true that for any ...
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Variance under time-scaling of sample measurements [on hold]

I am struggling with explain something I read in a Whitepaper. The essence is as follows. Let's begin with a random variable $X$ defined as number of events in an hours. Further, we assume that $X ...
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1answer
36 views

Can real-valued Markov processes with continuous surjective sample paths admit a non-trivial “forward-invariant” set?

I have both a more general question (concerning stopping times), and then a more specific application (as described in the title). Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \geq 0},\mathbb{P})$ be ...
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45 views

Is there a generalization of Polya urns to continuous outcome event?

Take for example the simplest model where there are n blue balls and m white balls in an urn. Then, in a first step realization, a white one has been drawn and then c + 1 of this colour had been put ...
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47 views

Subclass of semimartingales for which all characteristics can be estimated?

I'm going to ask the question for Ito semimartingales rather than semimartingales in general, but more general answers would be great. An Ito semimartingale is a martingale for which the ...
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60 views

Da Prato's notion of Symmetric Operator

For anyone who's familiar with G. Da Prato's books on infinite dimensional analysis, I was wondering if someone could clarify something. In, for instance, "An Introduction to Infinite Dimensional ...
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2answers
176 views

Existence of strong solution to SDEs with non-Lipschitzian drift

Consider the SDE: $$dX_t=b(X_t)dt+dW_t\quad X_0=x$$ If $b$ is bounded Borel function, using Zvonkin's Transform, one can prove there exists a unique strong solution. I want to know if we assume $b$ ...
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33 views

Bounds on moving average process

Let $X_1,X_2,\dotsc$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and define the average process $\{Y_t\}$ as $$ Y_t = \sum_{i=1}^p a_k X_{t-i} $$ with some constants $a_1,\cdots,a_p \in \mathbb{R}$. This ...
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264 views

Minimal expected absolute value of linear combinations of Gaussian random variables

I am interested in the following question. Consider $n$ independent standard normal random variables $g_i$. Cosider a linear combination $w_1g_1+\cdots+w_ng_n$. Can one give a "decent" upper bound for ...
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29 views

Skorohod topology, cadlag function

Reproduced from this Please to meet you. I have a question about a càdlàg function and its space. Ma & Röckner's book (page 93) contains the following metric space $(\mathcal{D},d)$. Let $E$ ...
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1answer
107 views

Does $E^{x,t}(f(X_T))$ solve a PDE if $f$ is not continuous?

Many books [see below for references] explore the connections between partial differential equations and expectation values. Assume $X$ is a diffusion with generator $A$, then they conclude, that ...
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26 views

How do I compute the variance of expected number of fair coin flips for HTH sequence using linear system of equations? [migrated]

Assuming fair coin flips, I know how to compute the expected number of coin flips to see HTH sequence by writing out the linear system of equations from the state transition diagram below. ...
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37 views

Existence of an invariant measure on an infinite dimensional space via Lyapunov functional

Set-up. Assume that we have a complete separable metric space $\mathcal{X}$ that is not locally compact. Let $V: \mathcal{x} \to [0; +\infty]$ be a functional such that $K_r :=\{x \in \mathcal {X} : V ...
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2answers
76 views

Lyapunov exponents of dual / adjoint / transpose random dynamical system (RDS)

Consider the the state of a system at time $n$, $X_n$, as the action of a product of i.i.d. $d\times d$ random matrices acting on a $d$ dimensional vector $X_0$, so we have $$X_n = A_n \cdots ...
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83 views

How to decide a value of learning rate for Stochastic Gradient Descent?

I'd like to know how to decide a value of learning rate for Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), such as $\eta$ on the following parameter update iteration equation, $w_{i+1} = w_i + -\eta \nabla ...
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57 views

Do the Birkhoff averages of a measurable stationary homogeneous Markov process in continuous time “converge to the right limit”?

Let $\,(P_x^t)_{x \in \mathbb{R} , t \geq 0}\,$ be a measurable Markovian family of transition probabilities - that is, a family of Borel probability measures $P_x^t$ on $\mathbb{R}$ such that for ...
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2answers
188 views

$\lim_{t\rightarrow 0}P\left(X_t >0\right)=\frac 1 2$ for continuous semimartingales?

I am trying to prove the following Lemma, which seems intuitive, but I still have doubts: Lemma Given a Brownian motion $\{W_t,\mathcal F_t:0\le t \le1\}$, two bounded processes, $\mu$ and $\sigma$, ...
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58 views

How to fit a stochastic matrix to given data.?

Given a data sequence of noisy observations of a 3-state Markov chain $X$ -- $y_1$,$y_2$,...$y_n$, with two transition matrices $A_1$ and $A_2$ corresponding to different regions (**) in the (unit) ...
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75 views

Support of a Measure with Characteristic Functional Continuous in $L_p$, $1\leq p <2$?

Let $\mathcal{S}(\mathbb{R})$ be the space of smooth and rapidly decaying functions and $\mathcal{S}'(\mathbb{R})$ its dual, the space of tempered distributions. Let $\mu$ be a probability measure ...
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71 views

Rolling map as a diffeomorphism?

Let $M$ be a (compact) Riemannian manifold and $x \in M$. For a piecewise smooth path $\gamma: [0, T] \longrightarrow M$, we can define Cartan's development map (or rolling map) $$(\Phi\gamma)(t) = ...
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87 views

When an integral with respect to a Poisson point process is finite?

Let $N(ds,dv)$ be a Poisson measure on $\mathbb{R} _+ \times \mathbb{R} _+$ with intensity $dsdv$. Let $N = \sum\limits \delta_{(s_i,v_i)}$. Assume that $N$ is compatible with a filtration $\{ ...
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51 views

probabilistic interpretation of elliptic equation with mixed boundary condition

I would like to understand the probabilistic interpretation of the following elliptic problem with mixed Dirichlet-Neumann boundary conditions: Let $B := \{ x \in \mathbb{R}^n, \quad \| x \|_2 \leq 1 ...
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59 views

Consistency Conditions of the Kolmogorov Extension Theorem

Kolmogorov's extension theorem allows for the construction of a variety of measures on infinite-dimensional spaces, and its conditions are supposedly "trivially satisfied by any stochastic process". ...
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1answer
124 views

Change of time variable in Wiener process

I'm following a solution of an SDE from here http://www.math.ethz.ch/~delbaen/ftp/preprints/CEV.pdf Start with the SDE $$ dX_t = \delta dt + 2\sqrt{X_t} dW_t $$ consider a deterministic time change ...
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29 views

References for symmetric α-stable process (SSP) for $a>2$

Many properties of Brownian motion have been extended to SSP's for $0\leq \alpha\leq 2$ and so it is quite easy to find literature on them. However, I am currently studying the SSP for $\alpha>2$ ...
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89 views

Equivalence of two non-degenerate Gaussian measures on Banach space

The motivation of this question is to show that two probabilities on $C_{0}^{n}(0,1)$ (the space of continuous $\mathbb R^{n}$ valued process on $[0,1]$ starting from zero) induced by two ...
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39 views

Killing a Feller Process

Given a canonical Feller process $(X_t,P_x)$ with Feller semigroup $P$. Let $T$ a (good) stopping time, for example $T=\inf\{u\ge 0 : X_u=0\}$. I'm looking for a proof of the following claim ...
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101 views

Version of Ito's lemma applied to a stochastic function

The Ito's formula stated in most books in stochastic calculus is in the form $F(t,X_t)$, where $F: \mathbb{R}^{d+1} \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ is a $d+1-$dimensional deterministic $C^{1,2}$ function and ...
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110 views

Origins and Industrial Applications of stochastic processes (eg. Brownian motion) on Riemannian manifolds

I am studying BM on Riemannian manifolds and I am curious how this theory started. In the references below (esp. in Hsu's exposition), you will find many applications of that theory such as a ...
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1answer
60 views

Correlation between two continuous-time stochastic processes

Consider two continous-time stochastic processes $\{A(t)\}_{t \ge 0}$ and $\{B(t)\}_{t \ge 0}$ with $A(t)=t$ and $B(t)=t$. Each process starts at $t=0$ and emits "ticks" at increasing time slots. For ...
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80 views

Convergence in distribution of random measures

Let $M$ denote the space of real Radon measures on $\mathbb{R}$ as the topological dual of $C_c(\mathbb{R})$ equipped with the inductive limit topology (for possibly unbounded Radon measures) or ...
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93 views

On the decay of correlations of an ergodic sequence over the set $X_{0}=0$

The following question arose while I was trying to explore possible further extensions of a CLT by Liverani which I mentioned here already (see this link, I can tell you more details upon request). It ...
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328 views

Reference request: a guide through quantum probability

Could you point out a comprehensive reference book (or more than one, if it is the case) on Quantum Probability that introduces the subject and then gradually builds up to the edges of contemporary ...
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30 views

Reference request for specific POMDP examples

Following is strictly for discrete-time discrete-space Markov chain. Consider a partially observed Markov decision process (POMDP) $P = \{X,O,A,P,B_a\}$. Here $X = \{x_1, \cdots, x_n\}$ refers to ...
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229 views

Convergence of random variables with hypergeometric distribution

This is a very interesting conjecture of large scale property of hypergeometric distribution. Let $a>1$ be a integer constant, $N\in\mathbb{N_+}$, for any $x<N-1$, consider $N+(a-1)x$ balls in ...
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1answer
217 views

Integration of independent Brownian motions

I am wondering if the following integral of stochastic Brownian motions has an analytical solution? $$ \int_{0}^{t}e^{\nu \tilde{V}_{\tau} - \frac{1}{2}\nu^{2}\tau}d\tilde{W}_{\tau} $$ where ...
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1answer
98 views

Question about the stochastic integral of martingales

Let $M=(M_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a continuous martingale defined on some filtered probability space taking values in $R$. Let $H=(H_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be some bounded progressively measurable process, i.e. ...
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36 views

Progressive measurability and functional composition

Suppose we have a progressively measurable process $X$ taking values in $\mathbb{R}^d$. What are sufficient conditions on a function $f( x, t, \omega ) \colon \mathbb{R}^d \times [0,\infty) \times ...
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78 views

Convergence in distribution of stochastic equation solutions

I post this post en MSE (link) but I think that is more suitable for this site. I'm studying from Kurtz's book "Markov Processes Characterization and convergence" and I have a question about the ...
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89 views

On Minkowski sum of two independent Poisson point processes

Suppose that $\Phi_1$ and $\Phi_2$ represents two independent Poisson point processes respectively with intensity $\lambda_1$ and $\lambda_2$ (therefore). We know very well different operations on ...
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78 views

Stationarity of Brownian motion with drift

Suppose the following SDE for $X_t$ is well-posed: $$dX_t = \sqrt{2}\, dB_t - \nabla\Phi(X_t)\,dt.$$ For what $\Phi\in C^1(R^d)$ will $X$ have stationary distribution $u_{\infty}$? For what $\Phi$ ...
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39 views

Definition of mth order stationarity

in the definition of the weak GARCH processes they use the terminology of the 4th-order stationarity of the process $(X_t)$. I know the definition of 2n-order stationarity, but I'm not exactly sure, ...
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41 views

Integral over a point process. Asymptotic of the dispersion

I consider an integral (or a sum with random index) $$ M(t) =\int\limits_0^t f(t-u)dX(u), $$ where $$ X(u) = \sum\limits_{i=1}^{N(u)} \xi_i,\qquad N(u)=\max\{k: \tau_1+\,\dots,\,\tau_k\, <\, u\}, ...
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25 views

Moments in the Quantile Process

Let $q_{n}(t)$ be the $nth$ quantile processes ($t\in (0,1)$) based on the distribution F: $$q_{n}(t) = \{\sqrt{n}[F^{-1}_{n}(t)-F^{-1}(t)]\}.$$ In this case, $F^{-1}$ is the (generalized) inverse of ...
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33 views

Bahadur-Kiefer representation and KMT embedding

I am interested in the connection between the so called Bahadur-Kiefer process and the KMT/Hungarian embedding. At first sight there seems to be a relationship between the topics, but oddly enough ...
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203 views

Analytic Solution to SDEs

Are there any example of SDEs with constant diffusion terms, other than the Ornstein Uhlenbeck process, which have exact solutions? I'm thinking of something of the form: \begin{equation} dX_t = ...
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1answer
120 views

Ergodicity for the mean of a linear process without finite second moment

Suppose that $\{X_k:k\in\mathbb Z\}$ is a linear process, i.e. a sequence of random variables such that $$ X_k=\sum_{j=0}^\infty\psi_j\varepsilon_{k-j} $$ for each $k\in\mathbb Z$, where ...
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72 views

Uniqueness of a Integro-parabolic differential equation?

Let $r, q,\lambda,\sigma,\kappa,\mu$ are positive real numbers and let $c(t)$ is a differential function of $t$. $\Gamma(\eta)$ is a probability density function. When I consider price of American ...