Applied, computational and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments, case studies.

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2
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0answers
25 views

How to get the Expectation of the normalization of some log-normal-distributions?

Problem Definition: Suppose that a random variable of multivariate Gaussian distribution $X \sim N(\Sigma,\mu)$, $\Sigma$ is the covariance matrix, and $\mu$ is the mean. For each $x_i$ from $X$, $x_i ...
1
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1answer
74 views

Averaging function of sum of variables using central limit theorem

I'm trying to evaluate an integral of the following form $$\int \prod_i \left[ dx_i \,P(x_i) \right] \; f \Big( \frac{1}{N} \! \sum_{i=1}^N x_i \Big)$$ and I know that the distribution of $x$ is ...
5
votes
1answer
310 views

Central limit theorem for independent random variables, with a Gumbel limit

Consider independent random variables $Y_i$, $i>0$, such that $\mathbb{E}(Y_i)\approx \frac{1}{i}$ and $\text{Var}(Y_i)\approx \frac{1}{i^2}$, where $\approx$ means asymptotically equivalent up to ...
1
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0answers
48 views

Efficient evaluation of multidimensional kernel density estimate

Edit I have copied this discussion to the stats community site here, since I feel it is more relevant. Please feel free to close this in due course. I've seen a reasonable amount of literature about ...
2
votes
2answers
136 views

Bounds for the fat tail after trimming the mean?

I am interested in the quantity $$f(X,t) = \int_t^\infty\negthinspace x\ p(x)\ dx,$$ where $p$ is a probability distribution for a positive variable $X$. 1) Does this quantity $f(X,t)$ have a name? ...
1
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0answers
58 views

Whether r.v. with p.g.f. $\exp [\sum\limits_{i = 1}^\infty {{q_i}({z^i}} - 1)]$ is overdispersion?

When discrete r.v. $X$ is not Poisson distributed and ${\rm{Var}}X,EX < \infty $, I want to know whether r.v. $X$ with p.g.f. $\exp [\sum\limits_{i = 1}^\infty {{q_i}({z^i}} - 1)],({q_i} \in ...
4
votes
0answers
148 views

Optimization problem involving Multivariate Normal

I use $\phi(t)$ to describe the standard normal distribution density and $\Phi(t)$ as the normal distribution CDF and would like to prove that for all $n\geq3$, the function: ...
0
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0answers
45 views

How to generalize uncertainty coefficient to set-valued classes?

This question is the reason I asked How to estimate the entropy of a distribution on a power set? Proficiency (AKA uncertainty coefficient) is an information-theoretic measure of predictor quality, ...
-1
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1answer
56 views

Finiteness of “novel variance” from a kernel on a compact space [closed]

Let $c(i,i')$ be a kernel function on a reasonable index space $I$. Choose a dense sequence of points $\{i_1, i_2, \cdots \} \subseteq I$, and define the one-point kernel functions $k_n := c(\cdot, ...
1
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3answers
129 views

How to estimate the entropy of a distribution on a power set?

Given a probability distribution $(X,p)$, its entropy is defined as $H=-\sum_{x\in X} p(x)\log p(x)$. Given a sample of observations $x_n,n=1..N$, one can estimate $p(x)=\frac{\#\{i:x_i=x\}}{N}$ and ...
1
vote
1answer
89 views

Can I test many p-values with KS or AD

(Sorry if this is a noob question. I'm a mathematician learning statistics.) I would like to know if it's sound (or advisable) to test many p-values against the continuous uniform distribution using ...
-4
votes
1answer
86 views

Is it possible to determine if these random numbers are not really random? [closed]

I've been given a big ordered list of integer numbers. Looks like this : 10 -11 -3 -6 -10 -1 ..... ..... ..... Allegedly, these values are random from -12 to +12 However, there has been ...
1
vote
2answers
244 views

Empirical estimator for total variation distance between two product distributions

Let $X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots , X_n)$ be an $n$-dimensional random variable, where each $X_i$ is a random variable on finite discrete set $S$. In addition, $X_i$ are independent of each other (but not ...
5
votes
1answer
187 views

Measures which exhibit the “uncorrelated implies independent” property

Let $X$ be a topological linear space, and let $X^*$ be its dual space. Suppose that $X$ is complete and Hausdorff, and $X^*$ separates points. Let $Y$ be another such space, and let $f : X \to Y$ be ...
0
votes
1answer
84 views

Understanding the derivation of a ML-estimator (statistics)

I'm trying to understand the derivation of a ML-estimator and more specifically the rewriting of the covariance matrix $\Sigma$. In this rewriting, a lemma is used to show that: $$ \tag{1} ...
1
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1answer
146 views

forward algorithm Hidden Markov Model

I am studying the the forward-backward algorithm used in Hidden Markov Models. I understand that that you are trying to propagate through a sequence (and the available states) to find the most ...
0
votes
1answer
79 views

Estimating the variance of error in empirical approximation to a distribution

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ be i.i.d. random variables in $\mathbb{R}$ with common cumulative distribution function (CDF) $F(x)$. The empirical approximation to $F(x)$ is defined as follows: ...
1
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1answer
79 views

What is known about the distribution of the errors in empirical approximation of a CDF?

Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ be i.i.d. random variables in $\mathbb{R}$ with common cumulative distribution function (CDF) $F(x)$. The empirical approximation to $F(x)$ is defined as follows: ...
1
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0answers
72 views

Question in Wainwright's paper about signed support recovery in lasso

Sharp thresholds for high dimensional and noisy sparsity recovery using $l_1$ constrained quadratic programming (Lasso) This paper is about support recovery guarantees of the Lasso. I have an issue ...
13
votes
4answers
681 views

Are gaussians with different moments far in total variation distance?

If two Gaussians disagree on one moment, it seems like this should imply that they have a large variation distance--equivalently, if two Gaussians are close in variation distance it's hard for their ...
2
votes
1answer
71 views

Why does differencing create wide-sense stationary time series?

In time series analysis, a common assumption made is that the series is wide-sense stationary, ex. that it has time invariant mean and covariance. However, as this is often not the case in real life, ...
2
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0answers
59 views

Smallest distribution of points with genuinely different clusterings

An hierarchical clustering algorithm for (finite) sets of points in a given metric space is essentially determined by its linkage criterion, which defines the distance between arbitrary (finite) sets ...
3
votes
2answers
125 views

expectation of log(x+a) when X follows a beta distribution

Is there a closed form expression for the expectation of $\log(x+a)$ (with $a>0$, the case $a=0$ is obvious) when X follows a beta distribution?
2
votes
2answers
93 views

estimating variance of dependent normal distributed data

Let $X_{ij}$ with $1\leq i<j\leq n$ (that are $X_{12},\dots, X_{1n},\dots,X_{(n-1)n}$) be ${n \choose 2}$ identically normal distributed $N(0,\sigma^2)$ such that $ \text{corr}(X_{ij},X_{rs})=\rho ...
0
votes
2answers
97 views

Determine joint distribution from projections

Let $X=(X_1,\dots,X_d)$ be a random vector, and a.s. $X \in [0,1]^d$. Suppose that for every $a \in \mathbb{R}^d$, we know the probability distribution of the random variable $Y_a = <a,X>$. My ...
2
votes
0answers
110 views

MLRP of random variables and order statistics

Suppose we have $N$ independent random variables $X_1, \cdots, X_N$ drawn from $f_1 > \cdots > f_N$ where $f_i > f_j$ indicates that $f_i$ and $f_j$ satisfy the monotone likelihood ratio ...
11
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0answers
268 views

What kind of random matrices have rapidly decaying singular values?

I've been told that in machine learning it's common to compute the singular value decomposition of matrices in order to throw out all information in the matrix except that corresponding to, say, the ...
1
vote
1answer
77 views

ordinary least square and random projection

Let $X$ a $d \times T$ given matrix and $M$ a $n \times d$ random matrix (say i.i.d. centered coefficients). Define $Y=MX$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ and $H=Y'(YY')^{-1}Y$ where $'$ denotes the transpose ...
5
votes
3answers
478 views

Deconvolution of sum of two random variables

Let $Z = X + c \cdot Y$ where $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables drawn form the same distribution given by the pdf $g()$ and $0 < c < 1$ I have observations of $Z_i$'s and thus can ...
3
votes
1answer
189 views

How to perform Importance Sampling with Prior Information

Let us define a random variable $X$ with density function $p(x)$. We wish to calculate $\mathbb{E}[f(X)] = \int f(x)p(x)dx$. We can compute the expectation by Monte Carlo simulations as ...
2
votes
1answer
262 views

What are the Reasons for the Ambiguous Meaning of “Distribution” in Mathematics

The term "distribution" is commonly associated with statistics and, less commonly known, to generalized functions. Questions: what is known about the origin of the term in the two fields? are the ...
0
votes
1answer
237 views

Generating independent random variable from two correlated random variables

Suppose two random variables $X$ and $V$ are given. I am wondering what kind of condition we need to impose on joint distribution of $V$ and $X$ to make sure that there exists a random variable $Z$ ...
1
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0answers
187 views

Incoherence of the row/column span

Due to V.Chandrasekaran., et al‎ (p.11) : In general for any $k$-dimensional subspace of $A_{n×n}$ we have that: $$\sqrt{(k/n)} \leq incoherence(A)\leq 1$$ where the lower bound is achieved (for ...
1
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1answer
263 views

Sum of covariance matrix of products of dependent variables

Consider the sequences of random variables $\{X_i\}_{i=1}^n$ and $\{Y_i\}_{i=1}^n$, as well as the corresponding sequence of products, $\{X_i Y_i\}_{i=1}^n$. All $X_i$ share the same mean value, ...
4
votes
2answers
244 views

Estimate on gaussian distribution

Let X be an $\mathbb R^d$-valued random variable with distribution $N_d(0,\Sigma)$. I'm looking for a function $f$ such that $$P(|X_1|\leq M, |X_2|\leq M,\dots, |X_d|\leq M)\geq f(M),$$ and such that ...
15
votes
6answers
1k views

Is a fair lottery possible?

I'm trying to come up with a scheme for a lottery where each individual has roughly the same chance of becoming the winner, regardless of the number of tickets one holds. So no individual should have ...
14
votes
2answers
392 views

How to sample uniformly from singular matrices

I would like to uniformly sample from all singular $n$ by $n$ Bernoulli matrices (that is each entry is $1$ or $0$ with probability $1/2$). I could of course just sample from all $n$ by $n$ Bernoulli ...
2
votes
0answers
77 views

sufficient statistics and isometries

Let $(M,g)$ be an infinite dimensional statistical manifold with the Fisher information metric $g$. Is it true that any isometry on this manifold must correspond to a sufficient statistic?
4
votes
1answer
171 views

Consecutive Primes mod 3

Is anything known asymptotically about the binary "primes mod 3" sequence besides Dirichlet's result that 1 and 2 occur half of the time? For example, can you prove that it does not eventually cycle ...
3
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0answers
199 views

Maximization of a total variation distance subject to another total variation distance in Markov chain

Suppose two dependent random variables $X$ and $V$ from finite alphabets $\mathcal{V}$ and $\mathcal{X}$ with known joint and marginal distributions are given. Let $P_{XV}$ and $P_X$ and $P_V$ are the ...
8
votes
2answers
383 views

Inequality in information theory

I am reading the paper "chain independence and common information" (http://ttic.uchicago.edu/~yury/papers/independ.pdf). In this paper, an inequality is used several times (without proof) which looks ...
3
votes
0answers
141 views

Quantile convergence

Let $X^1,\dots,X^n$ be a sample of (not necessarily iid) random variables and denote $$F^n(x)=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf 1_{X^i\leq x}$$ the empirical distribution function. Suppose that we know ...
4
votes
1answer
127 views

Weak ergodicity of nonhomogenous products of 0-1 matrices

Here is a question which probably has a negative answer, but I couldn't find any literature directly on it. Let $(A_n)$ be a sequence of rectangular 0-1 matrices (that is, the entries are restricted ...
0
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0answers
85 views

Monte carlo Method to estimate a proportion

I'd like to use Monte Carlo method to estimate a proportion and I'd like to be sure my idea is correct mathematically speaking. Let a pool full of red and blue balls. I'd like to estimate the ...
5
votes
1answer
110 views

Deviation bound for the maximum of the norm of Wiener process

Let $W(t)$ be an $n$-dimensional Wiener process. Denote by $\chi_n^2$ a chi-squared random variable with $n$ degrees of freedom. I have recently found the following inequality given without proof: $$ ...
5
votes
3answers
245 views

How do you call the problem of approximating a continuous distribution with a simple discrete distribution?

The following problem came up on the Mathematica forum as "Generating a list of integers that roughly satisfy a distribution": Given $n$, find $n$ integers (possibly with duplicates) whose ...
0
votes
1answer
127 views

Expected rank of players in a Bradley-Terry round-robin tournament

Let $[n]$=$\{1,\dots,n\}$ be a set of players in a round-robin tournament. Each player $i$ has an associated skill parameter, $\lambda_{i}$, and the probability that player $i$ defeats player $j$ is ...
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0answers
89 views

What is the range of a positive random variable after whitening?

Let ${\bf x}\in\mathbb R^N$ be a positive multivariate random variable, i.e. $$x_i\in [0,\infty).$$ What is the range after whitening, i.e. the range of ${\bf y} = \sqrt{C}^{-1}{\bf x}$ with the ...
0
votes
0answers
82 views

Eigen value distribution of autocorrelated Wishart matrix

Suppose the matrix W is constructed as $W=XX^T$ where $X_i(t) = \phi_i X_i(t-1) + a_i(t)$, and $a_i(t)$ ~ $N(0,1)$. I am interested in knowing the eigen value distribution of W. My google search on ...
1
vote
2answers
289 views

Proof of Von Neumann's debiasing algorithm

Assume you have a source of random binary information that has a bias but no correlation between consecutive bits. John von Neumann describes an algorithm to debias the random source and output a ...