0
votes
0answers
9 views

How to estimate the covariance matrix if the unnormalized pdf is known but integral is intractable? [migrated]

Assume a $d$-dimensional random vector $x$, whose unnormalized pdf is known as the product of N multivariate t-distribution: $$Pr(x)\propto\prod_{i=1}^nt_{\nu_i,\mu_i,\Sigma_i}(x)$$ Is there any ...
2
votes
1answer
52 views

What is the problem with this model parameter estimation algorithm?

In a statistical model with parameters $\theta$ and unobserved laten variables $Z$, the model likelihood is $$L(\theta;X)=Pr(X|\theta)=\sum_ZPr(X,Z|\theta)$$ The standard way to estimate $\theta$ ...
0
votes
0answers
48 views

Linear Bounds on estimation error

Consider a markov chain on discrete state space $\mathbb{S} = \left\{1,2,..,S \right\}$, with transition probability matrix defined as $A = [a_{ij}]_{S \times S}$ where $a_{ij} = ...
0
votes
0answers
20 views

How to generalize uncertainty coefficient to set-valued classes?

This question is the reason I asked How to estimate the entropy of a distribution on a power set? Proficiency (AKA uncertainty coefficient) is an information-theoretic measure of predictor quality, ...
1
vote
3answers
111 views

How to estimate the entropy of a distribution on a power set?

Given a probability distribution $(X,p)$, its entropy is defined as $H=-\sum_{x\in X} p(x)\log p(x)$. Given a sample of observations $x_n,n=1..N$, one can estimate $p(x)=\frac{\#\{i:x_i=x\}}{N}$ and ...
2
votes
2answers
77 views

estimating variance of dependent normal distributed data

Let $X_{ij}$ with $1\leq i<j\leq n$ (that are $X_{12},\dots, X_{1n},\dots,X_{(n-1)n}$) be ${n \choose 2}$ identically normal distributed $N(0,\sigma^2)$ such that $ \text{corr}(X_{ij},X_{rs})=\rho ...
1
vote
0answers
56 views

Stochastic process inference from partial observations

Consider a set $U$. My signal is a piece-wise constant "function" $Sig: t \mapsto s$, i.e. the signal at time $t$ equals to some subset $s \subset U$. One can see $Sig(t)$ as a stochastic process. ...
3
votes
1answer
139 views

Equivalent method for maximum likelihood estimation of covariance parameters

My goal is to estimate the parameters of a covariance matrix $\Omega$, by maximizing the following log-likelihood function: $$\log L(\vec\tau, \rho, \sigma \mid W, X) = -m\ln(\left | \Omega \right |) ...
1
vote
0answers
98 views

Shrinkage (or Stein's phenomenon) in low dimensions, discrete contexts

I am trying to understand shrinkage, or the Stein phenomenon. As someone without a statistics background, the focus in most introductory presentations on normal distributions and squared error loss ...
4
votes
0answers
160 views

Pair of two-variable polynomial equations of high order

I have the following pair of equations to be solved for two variables $\rho$ and $D$ resulting from a certain Maximum Likelihood Estimation for a time series $X_n > 0$, $n=0, \ldots, N+1$ with $N ...
0
votes
0answers
99 views

What are Effective Regression Techniques for Linguistic Analysis of Linked Data?

I am in the early stages of a problem that involves parsing a large number ($\approx 5 \times 10^9$) of documents (web pages) and estimating values from them. In particular I need to identify pages ...
1
vote
1answer
186 views

Is an unbiased estimator with arbitrarily small variance necessarily consistent?

Given an unbiased estimator $\hat \theta_n$ of a parameter $\theta$, if the estimator has small variance (approaching $0$ as $n\to\infty$), it seems reasonable to expect that the estimator is ...
0
votes
0answers
120 views

Why does the OLS estimator simplify as follows for the single regressor case?

I was reading in "A Guide to Econometrics" that given $Y = X \beta + \epsilon$, the variance covariance matrix of $\beta^\text{OLS}$ is given by $\sigma^2 (X' X)^{-1}$ where $\sigma^2$ is the variance ...
2
votes
1answer
363 views

Why doesn't Stein effect happen for multinomial distributions?

(Medeen, et all, 1998)" show that Maximum Likelihood estimate is admissible for multinomial distribution under squared error. On other hand, James and Stein showed that arithmetic average is not an ...
4
votes
0answers
1k views

Using Fisher Information to bound KL divergence

Is it possible to use Fisher Information at p to get a useful upper bound on KL(q,p)? KL(q,p) is known as Kullback-Liebler divergence and is defined for discrete distributions over k outcomes as ...
1
vote
1answer
262 views

Is there a text on estimation theory online?

Where can I find graduate level, thorough, parameter estimation/ estimation theory material on the web?