In probability and statistics, a probability distribution assigns a probability to each measurable subset of the possible outcomes of a random experiment, survey, or procedure of statistical inference.

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1answer
40 views

Conditioned binomial dominates unconditioned with different parameter

Let $X \sim \text{Bin}(n,p)$ and $Y \sim \text{Bin}(n-1,p)$ with $n >1, p \geq 1/2$ and $X,Y$ are independent. I'd like to show $$(X\mid X \geq 1) \succeq_{sd} 1 + Y.$$ Here $(X \mid \cdot)$ is the ...
1
vote
1answer
143 views

Is it safe to work on a Cadlag modification of a Feller process?

Let $f$ be a continuous bounded function. $X$ is a Feller process, and $\hat X$ is its Cadlag modification. By the definition of the modification, one can write $$\mathbb E[f(X_t)] = \mathbb E[f(\hat ...
3
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1answer
157 views

density of distance between points in unit circles

Let $a$ and $b$ be two points in the plane. Let's choose a point $c$ uniformly from the circle of radius $r$ with $a$ as center and choose a point $d$ uniformly from the circle of radius $r$ with $b$ ...
10
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1answer
170 views

Probability distribution derived from gamma function - does it have a name?

Consider the complex gamma function, denoted by $\Gamma(\sigma+it)$. Now, let's fix $\sigma$ and let t vary. Then consider the following expression: $$|\Gamma(\sigma+it)|^2$$ For any choice of $\...
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1answer
147 views

moment sequence which does not define a random variable vs convergence in distribution

I am encountering the following problem concerning existence of a limiting random variable (in distribution): assume a sequence of positive random variables $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ from which we know ...
1
vote
1answer
87 views

Exponentially Bounded Sequence of Moments defining Distribution?

I have an exponentially bounded sequence $m_n = \lambda^n + c_n$ (i.e. the $c_n$ are quadratic in $n$) and would like to know if this sequence of moments defines a distribution. I considered applying ...
0
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0answers
42 views

Convergence of generalized inverses

During the reading about Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem (it can be found easily on wiki - I don't have enough reputation to post more links), I've got stuck, trying to understand more deeply one of ...
2
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2answers
135 views

Convergence in distribution to a Poisson

We have encountered the following problem that we think that should be true. Let $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ a sequence of random variables which we know that $\mathbb{E}[X_n]$ tends to infinity. The ...
10
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2answers
227 views

Slight variation on law of the iterated logarithm

Let$$M_t = \max\{B_s : 0 \le s \le t\},\text{ }m_t = \min\{B_s : 0 \le s \le t\},$$where $B_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. My question is, does there exist $r$ such that with probability one,$$\...
3
votes
1answer
90 views

Uniform convergence of 2-norm of a multinomial vector

Let $(X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_k)$ be distributed according to a multinomial distribution with parameters $(n;p_1,p_2,\ldots, p_k),$ i.e. $$P(X_1=n_1,\ldots,X_k=n_k) = {n\choose n_1,n_2,\ldots,n_k} p_1^{n_1}...
4
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1answer
77 views

What class of probability distributions do probabilistic turing machines induce? [closed]

What class of probability distributions is induced by the class of probabilistic turing machines? Is there a precise characterization?
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49 views

methods to analyze martingale conditioned on return in the future

Consider a martingale $S_t$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ starting from 0. Assume that for any $t$, $Var[s_t\, | \, \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] < V$, where $V$ is some positive constant. Fix an $n$ and for $t \leq n$, ...
10
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1answer
300 views

Extension of Dynkin's formula, conclude that process is a martingale

This question was asked here, but it did not get enough attention, so I'm crossposting it to MO. Let $u: \mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded $C^2$ function whose first and second partial ...
4
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0answers
79 views

Concluding that the Poisson kernel is indeed the Cauchy distribution?

See here. Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\...
3
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1answer
139 views

Poisson kernel, expectation, an absolute value comes in

See here. Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\...
2
votes
1answer
122 views

Poisson kernel, $E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{i\theta X_t - \theta Y_t\} = e^{i\theta x - \theta y}$

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. How do I see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{...
8
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2answers
271 views

Distribution of $\max_{n \ge 0} S_n$, random walk

Say we have a random walk that is a nearest neighbor random walk on the integers where at each step the probability of moving one step to the right is $p$ and the probability of moving one step to the ...
4
votes
1answer
119 views

Is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane almost surely?

Let $d = 2$. With probability $1$, is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane?
1
vote
1answer
155 views

Formula for maximum of two Gumbel distributions?

I have parameters of two Gumbel distributions ($\mu_1, \beta_1)$ and $(\mu_2, \beta_2)$. Since max of 2 Gumbels is a Gumbel, I'd like to compute $\mu_m, \beta_m$, so that: $Gumbel(\mu_m,\beta_m)$ = $...
2
votes
1answer
131 views

Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution, reference?

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Can someone give me a reference to a proof that the Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution?
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0answers
29 views

Importance sampling for bernoulli-sequence, favouring long sequences of ones

Assume we have a sequence of i.i.d. bernoulli-distributed random variables of length $n$. I'm interested in doing rare event simulation and my event depends, among other random factors, on the ...
7
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1answer
200 views

Brownian motion, crossing intervals, possible usage of second moment method?

This is a followup to my question here. Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $E_{j, n}$ denote the event$$\left\{B_t = 0 \text{ for some }{{j-1}\over{2^n}} \le t \le {j\over{2^n}}\right\},$$...
11
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4answers
429 views

Number of intervals needed to cross, Brownian motion

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $E_{j, n}$ denote the event$$\left\{B_t = 0 \text{ for some }{{j-1}\over{2^n}} \le t \le {j\over{2^n}}\right\},$$and let$$K_n = \sum_{j = 2^n + 1}^{2^{2n}} ...
0
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0answers
44 views

Order statistics of the diagonal terms of an inverse Wishart matrix

I have a question about the inverse Wishart matrix. In my understanding, consider $\mathbf H$ is a $n\times n$ matrix with each elements are complex Gaussian with zero mean unit variance. Then $\...
8
votes
1answer
225 views

If $X∼F_1$, $Y∼F_2$, under what conditions on $F_1$, $F_2$ can we construct $Y=E(X\mid\mathscr{G})$ for some $\mathscr{G}$?

Suppose that we have distributions $F_1 $ and $F_2$. Under what conditions on $F_1,F_2$ is it possible to construct random variables $X\sim F_1,Y\sim F_2$ such that $Y=E(X|\mathscr{G})$, that is, $Y$ ...
6
votes
2answers
123 views

For which $r > 0$ is it the case with probability one, for all $n$ sufficiently large $M_n \le r\sqrt{\log n}$?

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let$$M_n = \max\{|B_t - B_{n-1}| : n - 1 \le t \le n\}.$$For which $r > 0$ is it the case with probability one, for all $n$ sufficiently large$$M_n \le r\...
0
votes
1answer
140 views

Discrete random walk with uniformly distributed transition p, set initially

I've been working on a discrete version of the "unreliable friend" distribution. It would seem that what I've come up with is equivalent to the following random walk: Choose $p$ from $U(0,1)$ Start ...
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2answers
128 views

Non-normality of limit of random variables

I have encounter the following difficulty in the study of limits of random variables. Assume that $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of real-valued random variables such that $$\mathbb{E}[X_n]=\...
2
votes
0answers
72 views

Construct a sequence of i.i.d random variables with a given distribution function, diagonalization? [closed]

Assume we have a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $X_1, X_2, \dots,$ on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ with$$P(X_n = 1) = P(X_n = -1) = {1\over2}.$$Given a distribution function $F$,...
3
votes
1answer
133 views

Weak convergence of random variables in $L^2$ and vague convergence

Dumb question: Let $X_n:\Omega \to \mathbf{R}$ be a sequence of $L^2(\Omega,\Sigma,\mathbf{P})$ random variables that has a weak limit $X$ in $L^2$. Suppose also that $\mu_n$, the distributions of $...
5
votes
0answers
74 views

Joint cumulants of $Z_2^n$ characters

Let $f_{c}:Z_2^n \rightarrow \{-1,1\}$ be the character defined as $f_c(x) = (-1)^{<x,c>}$, where $c,x \in Z_2^n$. It is easy to see that since $f_{c_1}\cdot\ldots\cdot f_{c_k} = f_{c_1 \oplus \...
10
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1answer
272 views

Normal approximation of tail probability in binomial distribution

My problem: From the Berry--Esseen theorem I know, that $$\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|P(B_n \le x)-\Phi(x)|=O\left(\frac 1{\sqrt n}\right),$$ where $B_n$ has the standardized binomial distribution and $\Phi$ ...
3
votes
2answers
151 views

splitting exponential random variable into independent components

$X$ follows Exponential $(\lambda)$. Can we split $X$ into two independent r.v.'s, i.e., do there exist functions $g$ and $h$ such that $g(X)$ and $h(X)$ are independent for any fixed $\lambda$? $g(X)...
7
votes
2answers
219 views

Estimating entropy conditional to an event

Take for example the measure $\mu(n)=n^2$ on $\{1, \ldots, N\}$ and a random variable $X$ distributed according to the probability obtained by normalizing $\mu$. Does there exists a constant $K>0$...
3
votes
1answer
98 views

Reference request for a result regarding density of induced probability measure under a submersion

Let $\pi: M \to N$ be a smooth submersion from a bounded open subset of $\mathbb{R}^m$ onto $ N \subset \mathbb{R}^n$, $m \geq n$. Further, let $M$ be given a probability measure $\mu$. Then the map ...
6
votes
1answer
138 views

Zeta zeros standard normal distribution about $\vartheta (\gamma_n)$

Asked at MSE here without response. I realise that this resembles Odlyzko's famous nearest neighbours plot, and was wondering whether this is simply a manifestation of the same phenomenon. That said,...
0
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0answers
66 views

Is this probability distribution studied in literature?

Let $\theta_1,\theta_2,\theta_3$ be 3 non-negative random variables such that $\theta_1+\theta_2+\theta_3=1$ with the joint probability distribution \begin{align} P(\theta_i)\,=\,K\frac{\theta_1^{a_1}...
2
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0answers
48 views

What is the Blumenthal-Getoor index of Student's distributions?

For infinitely divisible random variables, Blumenthal and Getoor introduced in [1] an index that allow to study for instance the local Hölder regularity of Lévy processes. For an infinitely divisible ...
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2answers
305 views

The Levy measure of the compound Poisson distribution

The compound Poisson distribution is defined as(see Levy processes and infinitely divisible distributions page: 18): Let $c>0$ and $\sigma$ be a measure on $\mathbb{R}$ with $\sigma(\{0\})=0$, a ...
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0answers
55 views

Conditions for Mellin inversion

Under which conditions is the function $$ g(s)=a^{c(s-1)}\Gamma(s),\qquad a>0,c\in \mathbb{R} $$ the Mellin transform of a probability density function $f$? If $c=-1$, then $f$ is the exponential ...
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0answers
50 views

Log-concave distributions: Weighted sum of pdfs

Assuming $f_n(\cdot)$ is a log concave function (e.g., pdf of Gaussian distribution) and $0\le q_n\le 1$ for all $n\le N$, I am trying to find conditions under which the following holds \begin{...
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0answers
32 views

Interpolating a polynomial when we permute part of $y_i$'s

Let $\vec{x}=[x_1,...,x_n]$ be elements of field $\mathbb{Z}_p$, where $p$ is a large prime. $x_i \neq x_j$, $x_i \in \mathbb{Z}_p$. Note $x_i$ values are NOT picked uniformly random and they are ...
3
votes
1answer
138 views

Orthogonal polynomials with respect to the lognormal distribution

I am currently doing some inspection on the orthogonal polynomials with respect to the lognormal distribution. Does anyone already work on that or know some cool references? All the best, Pierre-O.
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0answers
55 views

Quotient of cumulative binomial distribution functions

Given to integers $n < m \in \mathbb{N}_0$ and a probability $p$, I'm struggling to calculate (or at least get an upper bound for) the quotient $$Q = \frac{F(n+1;m,p)}{F(n;m,p)}$$ where $F$ denotes ...
5
votes
1answer
83 views

when does elementwise-log preserve positive-semidefiniteness?

Let $Z$ be a positive semidefinite matrix with nonnegative entries, and define $X=\log(1+Z)$, where the $\log$ is taken entrywise, i.e., $X_{ij}=\log(1+Z_{ij})$. Are there some simple sufficient ...
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0answers
38 views

Validating a probability density distribution forecast model for a Markov process

Let's say we have a Markov process $X_t$, and we come up with a forecast model that takes some information from outside world and says: "value $X_{t+1}$ has probability density distribution $P_t(x)$". ...
0
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0answers
58 views

$\exists \mathcal{A},\mathcal{B}:X\sim \mathcal{A}\Rightarrow \frac{p}{\sqrt{q+rX}}\sim \mathcal{B}$?

Does there exist a parametric distribution $\mathcal{A}$, such that $$ X\sim \mathcal{A}\Rightarrow\frac{p}{\sqrt{q+rX}}\sim \mathcal{B} $$ for some parametric distribution $\mathcal{B}$, where $p,q,...
1
vote
0answers
132 views

What is a two-sided geometric distribution?

I found in some articles (such as this) references to two-sided geometric distribution. But I went through texts of probability and did not find anything called "two-sided geometric distribution". ...
2
votes
0answers
42 views

A canonical example of the non-existence of predictive probability distribution

Section 3 of Fortini et al. (2000) states that Given $(X^\infty, \mathcal X^\infty,P)$, a predictive probability distribution of $x_n$ given $(x_1, \dots, x_{n-1})$ with respect to $P$ need not ...
0
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0answers
103 views

Probability of substring given string production probabilities

I originally posted this question on the Math StackExchange, but have not received answers there and thought it might be more appropriate to post it here. Let $\Sigma$ be an alphabet and let $y = x_1 ...