Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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21
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934 views

Correspondence between eigenvalue distributions of random unitary and random orthogonal matrices

In the course of a physics problem (arXiv:1206.6687), I stumbled on a curious correspondence between the eigenvalue distributions of the matrix product $U\bar{U}$, with $U$ a random unitary matrix and ...
19
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597 views
+50

conjectures regarding a new Renyi information quantity

In a recent paper http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.6102, we defined a quantity that we called the "Renyi conditional mutual information" and investigated several of its properties. We have some open ...
17
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0answers
439 views

What is the best probabilistic estimate from below for a random polynomial on an arc?

I'm currently involved in a small (but quite time consuming) project where we are trying to get some decent bound for the number $N(P)$ of real zeroes of a random polynomial $P(x)=\sum_{k=0}^n\xi_k ...
17
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0answers
420 views

Density of first-order definable sets in a directed union of finite groups

This is a generalization of the following question by John Wiltshire-Gordon. Consider an inductive family of finite groups: $$ G_0 \hookrightarrow G_1 \hookrightarrow \ldots \hookrightarrow G_i ...
16
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0answers
352 views

Are there lightweight foundations for arbitrarily extendable objects?

My experience with foundations is rather scant, but I've run into some types of objects that seem to resist the sort of set-theoretic encoding schemes via Kurowski tuples that are rather common for ...
15
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422 views

The lonely molecule

Suppose $n$ air molecules (infinitesimal points) are bouncing around in a unit $d$-dimensional cube, with perfectly elastic wall collisions. Let $k=n^{\frac{1}{d}}$. For example, in 3D, $d=3$, with ...
15
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740 views

The Fourier Transform of taking Eigenvalues

The purpose of this question is to ask about the Fourier transform of the map which associate to an $n$ by $n$ matrix its $n$ eigenvalues, or some function of the $n$ eigenvalues. The main motivation ...
15
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442 views

Random Distance Matrices

My question is motivated by the following recent paper: http://arxiv.org/abs/1110.6333 Assume you have a metric space $(X,d)$ equipped with a Borel probability measure $\mu$. We can further assume ...
15
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748 views

Optimal Monotone Families for the Discrete Isoperimetric Inequality

Background: the Discrete Isoperimetric Inequality Start with a set X={1,2,...,n} of n elements and the family $2^X$ of all subsets of X. For a real number p between zero and one, we consider a ...
14
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897 views

When does a correlated Brownian motion leave a square?

Let $B=(X,Y)$ be a correlated two-dimensional Brownian motion, that is, the components are standard Brownian motions and the covariance between $X_t$ and $Y_t$ is $t\rho$ for some constant $\rho \in ...
13
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571 views

On random Dirichlet distributions

Fix a dimension $d\ge2$. Let $Q_d$ denote the positive quadrant of $\mathbb{R}^d$, that is, $Q_d$ is the set of points $\mathbf{x}=(x_i)_i$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$ such that $x_i>0$ for every $i$. ...
13
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307 views

Why, and how badly, does the proof of “no percolation at the critical point in half-spaces” fail for full spaces?

The proof by Barsky et. al. that there is no percolation in half-spaces proceeds by a dynamic renormalization argument. The proof couples critical percolation in the half-space $\mathbb{H}^d$ with a ...
12
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475 views

When does $Pr[vr_i=ur_i\mid \forall j < i: vr_j=ur_j] =O( 1/\sqrt n)$?

In A conjecture about the entropy of matrix vector products I asked a conjecture relating to the entropy of a matrix-vector product. This conjecture is as yet unproven. domotorp then made another ...
12
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510 views

Random Walk on $\mathbb{R}$ with Uniformly Distributed Steps and “Reflective” Boundary at Origin

A particle lies on the real number line at the origin. For each step taken, the particle moves from its current position a distance (and direction) chosen equi-probably from range $[-1,r]$. However, ...
11
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250 views

Generating random finite groups

I would like a method to efficiently generate a random finite group of a given order $n$. If there are $g(n)$ non-isomorphic groups of order $n$, ideally each group would occur with probability ...
11
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234 views

What kind of random matrices have rapidly decaying singular values?

I've been told that in machine learning it's common to compute the singular value decomposition of matrices in order to throw out all information in the matrix except that corresponding to, say, the ...
11
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480 views

Probability a random Toeplitz matrix is singular

Consider Toeplitz matrices where the entries in the first row and column (which define the whole matrix) are independently chosen to be either $1$ or $0$ with probability $1/2$. Define $p_n$ to be the ...
11
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144 views

Savings property: A transformation which turns nonnegative martingales into uniformly integrable ones

Background I work in a subfield of computability theory called algorithmic randomness. We have been using martingales as long as probability theory (going back to work of von Mises). However, since ...
11
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318 views

Which limit to take as a key applied math decision

The Borel-Kolmogorov paradox refers to situations where non-uniqueness in the notion of conditioning on a set of measure zero leads to apparent contradictions. As a formal matter, one requires ...
11
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633 views

surprisingly difficult filtration problem

I am interested in a proof of the following statement which seems intuitive, but is somehow really tricky: Let $X$ be a stochastic process and let $(\mathcal{F}(t) : t \geq 0)$ be the filtration ...
11
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232 views

support of the coupling between two probability measures

Given two Borel probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb{R}$, let $\Pi(\mu, \nu)$ denote all couplings between them, i.e., all Borel probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^2$ such that the ...
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657 views

Constructive aspects of Caratheodory's theorem in convex analysis

Let me paraphrase Caratheodory's theorem in a probabilistic setup: Let $X$ be a real-valued random variable. For $k = 1, \ldots, m$, let $f_k: \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}$ be a continuous function such ...
10
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364 views

Where can I find analogues of combinatorial central limit theorems for other groups

The statement of Hoeffding's combinatorial central limit theorem is as follows: given for each $n$, an $n \times n$ matrix $A = (a_{ij})$, one can consider the random diagonal sum: $$\displaystyle ...
10
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940 views

Constants in the Rosenthal inequality

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent with $\mathbf{E}[X_i] = 0$ and $\mathbf{E}[|X_i|^t] < \infty$ for some $t \ge 2$. Write $X = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. Then we have the family of "Rosenthal-type ...
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165 views

literature on “stratified simulation”

I've thought of an approach to variance reduction that surely can't be new, but I haven't been able to find it published anywhere; I'd appreciate some leads. Consider some sort of random variable $X$ ...
9
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173 views

Convergence in $L^2$ of iterated expectations

Take a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbf{P})$ and random variable $X \in L^2(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbf{P})$. Define the iterated expectations of X as follows: $X_0 = X$, and, ...
9
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340 views

Question from an economist: solving a model of traders' behavior with expectations about the future values of the variable they are currently optimizing

Motivation I am an economist writing a paper for an academic finance journal. My paper is about the behavior of currency traders, who choose the price at which they will sell currency today, based on ...
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354 views

Maximizing the volume in a family of subsets of a cube

Starting from a question in probability, one is eventually lead to the following optimization problem. Let $I:=[0,\\, 1],$ and let $A$ be a Lebesgue measurable subset of the $n$-dimensional cube, ...
8
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157 views

First passage percolation on a random geometric graph in the large connectivity limit

Let $V_\rho\subset\mathbb{R}^2$ be a point set in the plane obtained from a Poisson process of density $\rho$. The random geometric graph $G_\rho$ is obtained from $V_\rho$ by connecting points that ...
8
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198 views

Hasse-Weil Bound and Chebyshev Inequality

I was reading about the Hasse-Weil bound for the number of points in on a curve over the finite field $\mathbb{F}_q$. $$ \big| |C(\mathbb{F}_q)| - (q+1) \big| \leq 2g \sqrt{q} $$ However, this ...
8
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446 views

Full conditional probabilities and versions of AC?

A probability is a finitely additive measure on a boolean algebra with total measure $1$. A function $P:\scr B \times (\scr B - \{ 0 \})$ is a full conditional probability on $\scr B$ (for a boolean ...
8
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347 views

Does this metric have an official name? Lévy metric? Ky Fan metric?

Let $X$ and $Y$ be random variables taking values in a separable metric space $(S,d)$. The metric I have in mind is $$\rho(X,Y) = \mathbb{E}[\min\{d(X,Y),1\}]$$ if $X$ and $Y$ take values in the a ...
8
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0answers
103 views

Functions between Markov chains that preserve local harmonicity

Given two Markov chains with respective state-spaces $S$ and $T$, say that a function $\phi$ from $S$ to $T$ is holomorphic iff for all states $t \in T$, every real-valued function $f$ on $T$ that is ...
8
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277 views

Eigenvalues of permutations of a real matrix: how complex can they be?

This is sort of complementary to this thread. I’ll repeat the definitions here: For a matrix $M\in GL(n,\mathbb R)$, consider the $n!$ matrices obtained by permutations of the rows (say) of $M$ and ...
8
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256 views

Distribution of maximum of random walk conditioned to stay positive

I have an $n$ step random walk which starts at zero $X_0 = 0 = S_0$ where the steps $X_i$ are independent uniform random variates in $[-1,1]$, but the walk is conditioned on the hypothesis that it ...
8
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231 views

Uncertainty principle in Entropy terms

Math Questions: Consider Hilbert space $L_2(\mathbb{R})$ with a standard norm $ ||\psi|| = ( \int_{\mathbb{R}}{ |\psi(t)|^2 dt } )^{1/2}, $ and Fourier transform $ (F\psi)(\xi) = ...
8
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384 views

High-dimensional geometry: Top-down Vs. Bottom-up

There are several ways to leverage one's intuition from low-dimensional geometry to understand high-dimensional phenomena. For example, one can get a clearer picture of the behaviour of ...
8
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0answers
688 views

Combinatorial proof for the number of lattice paths that return to the axis only at times that are a multiple of 4

Consider lattice paths consisting of $2n$ steps, each of which is either $(1,1)$ or $(1,-1)$. The number of such lattice paths that return to the horizontal axis only at times that are a multiple of ...
8
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2k views

Group Theory, Game Theory, a bit of Philosophy and a post in Tao's blog

I've decided to write this post after reading the incredibly beautiful and highly recomended post by Terence Tao ...
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1k views

Question on randomness extractors

Person A has a source $W$ with min-entropy($W$) = $k$. He also has an extra piece of information about the random source, denoted with $y$, such that min-entropy($W|y$) = $k/3$. The adversary doesn't ...
8
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344 views

Has the technique of “sprinkling” been used in studying random matrices?

In 1982, while studying the component sizes of random subgraphs of a hypercube, Ajtai, Komlós, and Szemerédi introduced a technique that came to be known as sprinkling. In this technique, the edges of ...
8
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0answers
283 views

A formula for moments of the limit distribution of singular values in the proof of the circular law

One of the steps in the proof of the circular law in random matrix theory is obtaining the limiting spectral distribution for the matrix $(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}} X_n - zI)(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}} X_n - ...
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93 views

Longest induced cycles in random geometric graphs near criticality

We make a random geometric graph $X(n;r)$ as follows. Choose $n$ points uniformly, independently, in the unit square $[0,1]^2$, for vertices, and then connect a pair of vertices $\{ p,q \}$ by an edge ...
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97 views

Neigbourhood of Poisson point process

Let $C$ be a unit circle and $P$ be a Poisson point process on $C$ with intensity $1$. For each point $p$ of the process we draw an interval $(p-\epsilon, p+\epsilon)$ for some $\epsilon>0$. ...
7
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117 views

Speed on recurrent graphs

Suppose that $G$ is a (locally finite) graph such that the simple random walk on $G$ is recurrent. Does this imply any upper bound on the speed $\mathbb{E}d(X_t,X_0)$ of such random walk?
7
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131 views

Generalised Polya's urn with i.i.d. replacement

Let $\mu$ be a fixed measure (possibly with moment conditions) on $\mathbb N$ and $X_1,X_2,\dots$ be i.i.d. samples from $\mu$. Start with one white and one black ball in the urn. At the $n$-th step, ...
7
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0answers
139 views

Qualitative weakenings of probabilistic independence

In probability theory, independence of random variables is characterised by $$(1)~~X~\text{independent}~Y \; \iff \; P_{(X,Y)} = P_X \otimes P_Y \enspace ,$$ where $P_{(X,Y)}$ is the joint probability ...
7
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0answers
261 views

Expanding disks lead to what packing of the plane?

Suppose one sprinkles points uniformly at random on the infinite Euclidean plane, with some density $\rho$ per unit area. View the points as disks of radius zero. Now the radii $r$ of all disks grows ...
7
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175 views

Expected minimum Hamming distance with overlaps

Let's say we sample two random binary vectors, one called $A$ of length $n$ and the second called $B$ of infinite length. Now we compute $X_k= \min_{i\in[k]} w(A \oplus B[i,i+n-1])$ where $w$ computes ...
7
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448 views

American put option pricing by “binomial trees”

Dear MO World, I'm teaching a financial mathematics course and have found a fascinating (to me) numerical phenomenon and wonder if anyone has studied it, or knows anything similar. I'll try and give ...