**121**

votes

**10**answers

15k views

### Is there an introduction to probability theory from a structuralist/categorical perspective?

The title really is the question, but allow me to explain.
I am a pure mathematician working outside of probability theory, but the concepts and techniques of probability theory (in the sense of ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

283 views

### Maximization of a total variation distance subject to another total variation distance in Markov chain

Suppose two dependent random variables $X$ and $V$ from finite alphabets $\mathcal{V}$ and $\mathcal{X}$ with known joint and marginal distributions are given. Let $P_{XV}$ and $P_X$ and $P_V$ are the ...

**274**

votes

**15**answers

38k views

### Why do roots of polynomials tend to have absolute value close to 1?

While playing around with Mathematica I noticed that most polynomials with real coefficients seem to have most complex zeroes very near the unit circle. For instance, if we plot all the roots of a ...

**40**

votes

**11**answers

53k views

### If you break a stick at two points chosen uniformly, the probability the three resulting sticks form a triangle is 1/4. Is there a nice proof of this?

There is a standard problem in elementary probability that goes as follows. Consider a stick of length 1. Pick two points uniformly at random on the stick, and break the stick at those points. What ...

**41**

votes

**9**answers

4k views

### Geometric / physical / probabilistic interpretations of Riemann zeta(n>1)?

What are some physical, geometric, or probabilistic interpretations of the values of the Riemann zeta function at the positive integers greater than one?
I've found some examples:
1) In MO-Q111339 ...

**42**

votes

**1**answer

3k views

### Probability that a stick randomly broken in five places can form a tetrahedron

Edit (June 2015): Addressing this problem is a brief project report from the Illinois Geometry Lab (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign), dated May 2015, that appears here along with a ...

**46**

votes

**4**answers

5k views

### Connectivity of the Erdős–Rényi random graph

It is well-known that if $\omega=\omega(n)$ is any function such that $\omega \to \infty$ as $n \to \infty$, and if $p \ge (\log{n}+\omega) / n$ then the Erdős–Rényi random graph $G(n,p)$ is ...

**21**

votes

**3**answers

2k views

### Probabilities in a riddle involving axiom of choice

The question is about a modification of the following riddle (you can think about it before reading the answer if you like riddles, but that's not the point of my question):
The Riddle:
We assume ...

**11**

votes

**4**answers

4k views

### Is there a simple way to compute the number of ways to write a positive integer as the sum of three squares?

It's a standard theorem that the number of ways to write a positive integer N as the sum of two squares is given by four times the difference between its number of divisors which are congruent to 1 ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

382 views

### Isomorphisms between spaces of test functions and sequence spaces

I am in the process of writing some self-contained notes on probability theory in spaces of distributions, for the purposes of statistical mechanics and quantum field theory. Perhaps the simplest ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

666 views

### What's the probability distribution of a deterministic signal or how to marginalize dynamical systems? (functional integrals in probability theory)

In many signal processing calculations, the (prior) probability distribution of the theoretical signal (not the signal + noise) is required.
In random signal theory, this distribution is typically a ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

119 views

### Poisson kernel, $E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{i\theta X_t - \theta Y_t\} = e^{i\theta x - \theta y}$

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. How do I see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, ...

**5**

votes

**2**answers

258 views

### Brownian motion and hitting a Quadrilateral

I want to compute the hitting probability of a bounded plane by a Brownian motion starting at the origin. In other words, given the coordinates of a quadrilateral A , can we compute ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

301 views

### Probability a Brownian particle with an exponentially distributed lifetime hits a sphere before vanishing

Imagine I have a point source $p_0 = (x_0,y_0,z_0)$ that releases a point-like Brownian particle with a lifetime given by an exponentially distributed rate parameter $\lambda$. When the particle's ...

**65**

votes

**17**answers

60k views

### Google question: In a country in which people only want boys [closed]

Hi all!
Google published recently questions that are asked to candidates on interviews. One of them caused very very hot debates in our company and we're unsure where the truth is. The question is:
...

**18**

votes

**5**answers

5k views

### What mathematical treatment is there on the renormalization group flow in a space of Lagrangians?

What mathematical treatment is there on the renormalization group flow in a space of Lagrangians?

**25**

votes

**1**answer

2k views

### When should we expect Tracy-Widom?

The Tracy-Widom law describes, among other things, the fluctuations of maximal eigenvalues of many random large matrix models. Because of its universal character, it obtained his position on the ...

**20**

votes

**6**answers

6k views

### A balls-and-colours problem

A box contains n balls coloured 1 to n. Each time you pick two balls from the bin - the first ball and the second ball, both uniformly at random and you paint the second ball with the colour of the ...

**22**

votes

**1**answer

712 views

### Two conjectures about zero inner products and dissociated sets

The following problems come from something I worked on (with my coauthors) related to proving a new time lower bound for streaming problems. Having worked on these problems for some time with little ...

**30**

votes

**2**answers

2k views

### The probability for a symmetric matrix to be positive definite

Let me give a reasonable model for the question in the title. In ${\rm Sym}_n({\mathbb R})$, the positive definite matrices form a convex cone $S_n^+$. The probability I have in mind is the ratio ...

**25**

votes

**6**answers

2k views

### Measures of non-abelian-ness

Let $G$ be a finite non-abelian group of $n$ elements.
I would like a measure that intuitively captures the
extent to which $G$ is non-commutative.
One easy measure is a count of the non-commutative ...

**15**

votes

**2**answers

878 views

### Can one view the Independent Product in Probability categorially?

One can construct a category of probability spaces, but this category has no products. Now probability theory relies strongly on the ability to build independent products, the product measure. In a ...

**37**

votes

**5**answers

5k views

### Heuristically false conjectures

I was very surprised when I first encountered the Mertens conjecture. Define
$$ M(n) = \sum_{k=1}^n \mu(k) $$
The Mertens conjecture was that $|M(n)| < \sqrt{n}$ for $n>1$, in contrast to the ...

**28**

votes

**2**answers

986 views

### Shortest path through $\sqrt{n}$ points out of $n$

Say I sample $n$ points uniformly at random in the unit square, and then I look for the shortest path through $\sqrt{n}$ of those points (rounding up, say). What happens to the length of this path as ...

**22**

votes

**4**answers

2k views

### Distribution of roots of complex polynomials

I generated random quadratic and cubic polynomials with coefficients in $\mathbb{C}$
uniformly distributed in the unit disk $|z| \le 1$. The distribution of the roots of 10000
of these polynomials are ...

**15**

votes

**3**answers

1k views

### Not-lonely runners

The lonely runner conjecture
has several formulations.
They all involve a number $n$ runners running on a circular track,
each with a different speeds, and the conjecture is that each runner is ...

**12**

votes

**2**answers

545 views

### Error term for renewal function

Consider a sequence of independent uniform $[0,1]$ random variables, and for nonnegative real $t$, let $m(t)$ be the expected number of terms in the first partial sum that exceeds $t$. For instance ...

**10**

votes

**3**answers

1k views

### Expected second moment for random points on a circle

Let $S$ be a circle with unit circumference. Suppose that $n$ random points are chosen independently uniformly from $S$; choosing one arbitrarily as $x_1$, label the rest $x_2, \dots, x_n$ in ...

**22**

votes

**1**answer

2k views

### Expected halting time for “The 2^n Game” (aka 2048) — with random moves

Recently I encountered an online flash game that features an m-by-m grid and input from the directional pad (up, down, left, right). At any point in the game, the grid contains numbers ('blocks') from ...

**16**

votes

**1**answer

531 views

### Reference request: a conjecture of Rota on positive functions of a random variable

Rota and Shen's On the Combinatorics of Cumulants ends with a conjecture which I'll restate as follows:
Let $p \in \mathbb{R}[x_1, x_2, ...]$ be a polynomial such that, for any sequence $X_1, ...

**8**

votes

**4**answers

3k views

### Mean minimum distance for N random points on a unit square (plane)

A previously posted question "mean minimum distance for N random points on a one-dimensional line" produced an elegant answer: for a line of length L, the expected minimum distance (between random ...

**9**

votes

**1**answer

939 views

### Has anyone seen this series?

I come across the following infinite series.
$$
\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \frac{t^n}{n!\: n^{a}}, \quad\text{for $t>0$ and $a>0$}.
$$
In particular, I am interested in the case where $a=1/4$.
...

**9**

votes

**10**answers

3k views

### A problem of an infinite number of balls and an urn [closed]

I think that the following problem originated in a probability textbook :
You have a countably infinite supply of numbered balls at your disposal. They are all labeled with the natural numbers ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

204 views

### Tighter Caratheodory on the moment curve?

The moment curve is the set of points of the form
$$(t,t^2,t^3,...,t^n) \in R^n$$
Let $M$ be the portion of the moment curve where $t\in [0,1]$, and let $\overline{M}$ be the convex hull of $M$.
...

**6**

votes

**2**answers

562 views

### Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem and Ergodic Decomposition Theorem for Continuous-Time Markov Processes

I have a couple of questions regarding ergodicity for Markov processes in continuous time. (In particular, the first question seems like it should be particularly basic, and yet I haven't managed to ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

333 views

### Twisted random walks

Suppose the points of two random walks in $\mathbb{R}^2$ are given the
step number (or time) as a third coordinate, so that they become paths in $\mathbb{R}^3$.
Here are several pairs of walks of ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

1k views

### Asymptotic behavior of max of chi-squared distribution

Suppose $X_{\max}$ is the maximum in a sequence $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_n$ where each $X_i\sim\chi^2_k$ is an i.i.d. chi-squared random variable with $k$ degrees of freedom.
Since chi squared distribution ...

**10**

votes

**1**answer

193 views

### On Sampling rank $r$ matrices

Sample $n^2$ integers $a_{11},\dots,a_{nn}$ in $\{-d,\dots,-1,0,1\dots,d\}$ uniformly.
What is the probability that the resulting matrix $[a_{ij}]$ has rank $r$?
Is there a nice parametrization of ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

315 views

### Transitive closure of balanced mass transport in Z (move to close)

Given two atomic measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb{Z}$, write $\mu \sim \nu$ iff there exist countable decompositions $\mu = \mu_1 + \mu_2 + \cdots$ and $\nu = \nu_1 + \nu_2 + \cdots$ along with ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

214 views

### The time to drift a binary string from one state to another via deterministic selection of two possible random bit mutation procedures

I have some length $L$ binary string consisting of an ordered array of bits: $(b_1, b_2, ..., b_{L})$, where all bit values $b_i$ are originally set to zero. I'd like a particular set of $n$ bits to ...

**5**

votes

**3**answers

483 views

### Convex hulls of families of probability measures

Let $X$ be a standard Borel space, so that the space of Borel probability measures on $X$ is also a standard Borel space. We denote it by $\mathcal P(X)$.
In this paper for any family of probability ...

**5**

votes

**5**answers

9k views

### Resultant probability distribution when taking the cosine of gaussian distributed variable

I am trying to do a measurement uncertainty calculation. I have a gaussian distributed phase angle (theta) with a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 16.6666 micro radians. The variance is the ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

250 views

### Anticoncentration of the convolution of two characteristic functions

Edit: This is a question related to my other post, stated in a much more concrete way I think.
I am interested in anything (ideas, references) related to the following problem:
Suppose that $A ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

633 views

### Has the Lie group preserving a probability distribution been used in Bayesian statistics?

For a (possibly signed) nondegenerate probability measure $\pi$ on $\{1,\dots,n\}$ define
$$\langle \pi \rangle := \{R \in \operatorname{STO}(n): \pi R = \pi \}.$$
Here $\operatorname{STO}(n)$ denotes ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

219 views

### Is there a Bayesian theory of deterministic signal? Prequel and motivation for my previous question

This is a prequel to my question:
What's the probability distribution of a deterministic signal? (functional integrals in probability theory)
Clearly my question looks at the same time fairly ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

192 views

### Gibbs sampler with linear constraints

My problem concerns the estimation of truncated multivariate normal distributions under constraints.
Let $X_1$ and $X_2$ two random variables following normal distributions ...

**6**

votes

**1**answer

420 views

### Location of maximum of Brownian motion with rough drift

I am interested in the distribution of the $\text{argmax}_{t \in [0,1]} \{B(t) + f(t)\}$, where $B$ is a Brownian motion (or Brownian bridge) and $f:[0,1] \to \mathbb{R}$ is a continuous function. ...

**5**

votes

**2**answers

132 views

### Moment matching: construction of a mixture of Gaussian distribution with lower moments identical to Gaussian

This is a question related to the statistical model behind independent component analysis (ICA).
We assume that $Z \sim N(0,1)$. Our goal is to construct a random variable $X$ that follows a ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

605 views

### Publishing an elementary proof of a less-general and less-useful version of a classic result?

Background
Let $X_t$ be a stochastic process on the state space {Working, Broken}. Let $U$ be the cumulative sojourn Working during an interval $[0,\tau]$ (the process's uptime). It is well-known ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

364 views

### Quotients of standard Borel spaces

Let $X$ and $Y$ be standard Borel spaces: topological spaces homeomorphic to Borel subsets of complete metric spaces. Given a surjective Borel map $f:X\to Y$, we get an equivalence relation ...