Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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2
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28 views

Can the GUE be thought of as a uniform point in a high-dimensional polytope

I have thought about this question for a long time and could only find partial answers. The Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (or GUE) is the eigenvalues of a random Hermitian matrix with complex Gaussian ...
5
votes
2answers
134 views

Rademacher average based Hoeffding Inequality

I am following these lecture notes: Given the i.i.d. $\mathcal{Z}$-valued random variables $Z_1,\dotsc,Z_m$ and $\mathcal{G}$ is a set of bounded functions $g\colon \mathcal{Z}\to[a,b]$. Corollary ...
2
votes
0answers
82 views

Bound on the sum of arguments

Problem: Show that for all real $s,t,u$ and all complex $z$ with $|z|<1$ one has $$(*)\qquad \arg\frac{1-zf(s-u)}{1-zf(s+u)} +\arg\frac{1-zf(t+u)}{1-zf(t-u)}<\pi, $$ where $f$ is the ...
4
votes
1answer
229 views

Is the conditional expectation a contraction in weak $\mathbb L^p$ spaces?

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mu)$ be a probability space. It is well-known that if $\mathcal A$ is a sub-$\sigma$-algebra of $\mathcal F$, $p\geqslant 1$ and $X$ is an element of $\mathbb L^p$ which takes ...
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0answers
72 views

When an integral with respect to a Poisson point process is finite?

Let $N(ds,dv)$ be a Poisson measure on $\mathbb{R} _+ \times \mathbb{R} _+$ with intensity $dsdv$. Let $N = \sum\limits \delta_{(s_i,v_i)}$. Assume that $N$ is compatible with a filtration $\{ ...
6
votes
4answers
317 views

Expected value of a function over random sets

I am doing an analysis on the complexity of some set-related algorithm where the input is a random set. One of my setbacks can be formulated as follows: Pick $k$ distinct numbers out of numbers ...
0
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1answer
88 views

When does a d.r.v. take a value very close to the mean? [on hold]

Suppose that $X$ is a discrete random variable with values $x_{1},x_{2},\ldots,x_{n}$ (not known precisely, but there is some information available about the mean and variance). Is there a result ...
2
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2answers
267 views

Do you know of any asymmetric, nonparametric measure of dependence?

A measure of dependence is a way to assign a number (usually normalized between 0 and 1) to a couple of random variable, such that $\delta(X,Y)=0$ if and only of $X$ and $Y$ are independent, and ...
2
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0answers
54 views

Concentration bound in high min entropy distribution

Let $(X_{1},\dots,X_{m})$ be joint distribution on $\{0,1\}^{m}$ with that $H_{\infty}(X_{1},\cdots,X_{m})\geq m-r$, where $H_{\infty}$ means min-entropy. Let $P_{1},...,P_{n}\subseteq [m]$ be sets ...
11
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3answers
773 views

Probability of coprime polynomials

Given positive integer $N$, we choose $m_1, m_2, n_1, n_2$ independently and with equal probabilities from $\{0,1,\ldots,N\}$, and let $f_1 = x^{m_1} + (1+x)^{n_1}$ and $f_2 = x^{m_2} + (1+x)^{n_2}$ ...
12
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2answers
673 views

Is there a probability theory developed in intuitionistic logic?

Since Boole it is known that probability theory is closely related to logic. According to the axioms of Kolmogorov, probability theory is formulated with a (normalized) probability measure ...
5
votes
1answer
186 views

Location of maximum of Brownian motion with rough drift

I am interested in the distribution of the $\text{argmax}_{t \in [0,1]} \{B(t) + f(t)\}$, where $B$ is a Brownian motion (or Brownian bridge) and $f:[0,1] \to \mathbb{R}$ is a continuous function. ...
2
votes
0answers
49 views

Nonlinear things that one can do to a probability density function [migrated]

Say $f(x)$ is a smooth probability density function on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with compact support region. This wikipedia page http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_entropy_probability_distribution explains ...
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0answers
28 views

How to prove an inequality $\left| {g(j + 1)} \right| \le 5/4$ in Stein's method for Poisson approximation [migrated]

The following is a lemma in Barbour, A. D., Holst, L., & Janson, S. (1992). Poisson approximation. Oxford: Clarendon Press,p7. For $j=1,2,...$ and $\lambda > 0$, we have $\left| {g(j + ...
4
votes
1answer
750 views

Generalized Cox Theorems, valuations on boolean sets, bayesian probabilities and posets

Bayesian probabilities are usually justified by the Cox theorems, that can be written this way: Under some technical assumptions (continuity, etc, etc...), given a set $P$ of objects $A, B, C, ...
5
votes
1answer
162 views

Does independence of the sequence $f(A_i, B)$ imply the sequence is independent of $B$?

Suppose $B, \{A_i: i \in \omega\}$ are i.i.d. random variables with uniform distributions on $[0,1]$. If $f$ is a map such that $\{f(A_i, B): i \in \omega\}$ are independent, must $\{f(A_i, B): i \in ...
0
votes
1answer
436 views

Probability generating function zero implies random variable is infinite

Let $V$ be a random variable supported on the nonnegative integers (including $\infty$) and $f(x) = \mathbf E x^V$ be the probability generating function. In our model $V$ is the number of visits to ...
0
votes
0answers
36 views

Finding a random variable with a density function [closed]

So I have this homework I'm having a really hard time starting: For the random variable X with density function f(x) = 4x , 0 < x ≤ 1/2 4 − 4x , 1/2 < x ≤ 1 0 , otherwise Determine the ...
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0answers
39 views

Shift invariance for the distribution of quadratic polynomials

For a probability distribution $X$, supported on integers, define the shift-invariance of $X$, denoted by $shift(X)$ = total variation distance between the random variable $X$ and $X+1$. Let ...
3
votes
2answers
190 views

Picking codewords that are close

I posted this question in http://math.stackexchange.com/questions/1142698/picking-codewords-that-are-close a week back. Let $[n,k,d]$ be a linear code over $\Bbb F_q$ with minimum distance $d$ and ...
2
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0answers
116 views

Ticket lottery — distributing $n$ tickets among $N$ people fairly

Suppose that I have $n$ tickets for an event that I want to distribute fairly among $N > n$ people. In this simple case, a lottery suffices. But suppose certain groups of people want to attend ...
0
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1answer
193 views

Integration of independent Brownian motions

I am wondering if the following integral of stochastic Brownian motions has an analytical solution? $$ \int_{0}^{t}e^{\nu \tilde{V}_{\tau} - \frac{1}{2}\nu^{2}\tau}d\tilde{W}_{\tau} $$ where ...
4
votes
1answer
312 views

Law of Iterated Logarithm for autoregressive process

Suppose that $\{X_i\}$ is an $\mathrm{AR}(r)$, defined by: $X_{i}= h(i) + \varepsilon_i $, $h(i)=\alpha_1 X_{i-1} + \dots + \alpha_{r} X_{i-r}$ where $\{\varepsilon_i\}$ are i.i.d. ${\cal ...
2
votes
1answer
285 views

Derive concentration bound for the derivative

It that true to conclude that if a random $f(z)$ is a sub-Gaussian random variable for a constant value of z, its derivative $f'(z)|_{z=k}$ with respect to variable $z$ is also sub-Gaussian? In ...
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0answers
38 views

Conditions on probability measure that generates non-void random polytope

Let $C$ be a non-void compact convex set in $\mathbb{R}^d$, and $\nu$ a probability measure on $C$. Then under what conditions on $C$ and $\nu$, the following statement is true: If ...
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0answers
22 views

Expected values of non-negative random variables [migrated]

I met a problem during my research in computer science. I just want to know wether there is a relationship between E[X] and Pr{X>x}? E[x] = integral of pr{X>x} from 0 to infinite? But how to prove ...
4
votes
1answer
87 views

Relative vulnerabilities in SIS epidemic model

Consider the SIS model of epidemic spreading. There is a finite graph $G(V,E)$, link infection rates $\lambda_{ij}$ and node recovery rates $\mu_i$. There are a few initial nodes which are infected at ...
2
votes
1answer
196 views

Quasi-stationary distribution for a death process

In the paper, Survival in a quasi-death process by van Doorn and Pollett, the quasi-stationary distribution of a transient CTMC is discussed and QSD for a simple death process is derived. Consider a ...
5
votes
1answer
124 views

Asymptotic behavior of $X_n$ in a Dirichlet vector $(X_1, …, X_n)$

Let $(\alpha_k)$ be a sequence of positive numbers and let $(Y_k)$ be a sequence of independent random variables $Y_k \sim \text{Gamma}(\alpha_k,1)$. Set $X_n=\dfrac{Y_n}{\sum_{i=1}^nY_i}$. (edit) ...
6
votes
1answer
333 views

Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem and Ergodic Decomposition Theorem for Continuous-Time Markov Processes

I have a couple of questions regarding ergodicity for Markov processes in continuous time. (In particular, the first question seems like it should be particularly basic, and yet I haven't managed to ...
3
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1answer
172 views

Examples of a continuous martingale with $E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]=\infty$?

A local martingale is a martingale iff it is in the class DL. The condition: for every $t\in[0,\infty)$ $$E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]<\infty\tag1$$ guarantees a local martingale $M$ is ...
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0answers
51 views

Expected value of a stochastic integral expression

I am wondering if the following expression can be processed a bit analytically, $$ E \left[ e^{aX} \int_0^X e^{bu}dW(u)\right], $$ where $W_u$ is the normal Brownian motion (1D Wiener process), and ...
0
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0answers
40 views

Taking power of the integrand in a Riemann-Stieltjie Integral

This is a problem I am trying to solve as part of a calculation for Value-at-Risk. Given that $P(X<x)=F(x)=\int_{\theta}F(x|\theta)dG(\theta)=1-\alpha$, where $F$ and $G$ are CDF's, is there a ...
0
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1answer
176 views

Poisson approximation of random sub-graphs

I add the edges of $G(n)$ the complete graph on $n$ vertices one by one, at random and without replacement, and denote by $G(n,m)$ the resulting Erdos Renyi random graph process. At step $m$ in the ...
0
votes
0answers
77 views

Proof of $\lim_{t\rightarrow 0} \mathbb E f(S_t)=f(0)$ for a diffusion $S_t$?

I am trying to prove the following statement for a diffusion $S_t$ with $S_0=0$ and a real function $f$ that is continuous at $0$: $$\lim_{t\rightarrow 0} \mathbb E f(S_t) = f(0), \text{ if } \mathbb ...
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0answers
53 views

Derivative of the Expectation of an Integral over a Diffusion

I am trying to prove the following, where $S_t$ is a diffusion: $$ \lim_{t\rightarrow 0}\frac 1 t \mathbb E \int_0^t f(S_s)ds = \lim_{t\rightarrow 0} \mathbb E f(S_t) $$ Proof attempt: Lusin's ...
3
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2answers
235 views

Weak convergence of random measures

Let $\mu_n,n\in \mathbb N$ be a random probability measures and let $\mu$ be a deterministic probability measure on $\mathbb R$. That is to say, that the $\mu_n$ are measurable maps from a probability ...
0
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0answers
49 views

Consistency Conditions of the Kolmogorov Extension Theorem

Kolmogorov's extension theorem allows for the construction of a variety of measures on infinite-dimensional spaces, and its conditions are supposedly "trivially satisfied by any stochastic process". ...
2
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0answers
107 views

Inequality with CDF of order statistics

here is a problem I have been struggling with for a while now. This is for a paper I am working on. Any help would be appreciated! Here we go: Each bidder's valuation $\theta _{i},$ $i=1,...,N$, is ...
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1answer
387 views

Table with the most seated customers in Chinese restaurant process

Suppose we have some initial configuration of people seated at some tables. We start taking new customers and seat them following Chinese restaurant process. Is there some known work on finding the ...
2
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1answer
111 views

Does $\int \Phi \left( \frac{u}{\xi} \right) f_t(\xi) \mathrm{d} \xi \to \Phi(u)$ imply that $f_t \to \delta_1$?

I'm looking at a family $(f_t)$ of densities of some continuous random variables and know that $$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \Phi \left( \frac{u}{\xi} \right) f_t(\xi) \mathrm{d} \xi \xrightarrow{t \to ...
5
votes
2answers
306 views

Applications of cohomology to probability and statistics

Are there interesting/useful applications of cohomology (and homological algebra in general) to probability and statistics, or information theory? By "interesting/useful", I mean "not merely ...
2
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1answer
215 views

weak convergence of the solutions to stochastic heat equation

$W(t,x)=\sum_ic_ie_i(x)B^i_t$ is a Brownian motion in $L^2(R^d)$, where $\{e_i\}$ is the standard orthogonal basis and $\sum_ic_i^2<\infty$. $$\partial_t u(t,x)=\Delta u(t,x)+u(t,x)\dot{W}(t,x)$$ ...
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1answer
47 views

Stationary distribution of random walk alias solving uncountably many linear equations [closed]

Let us have interval $I = (i_1,i_2)$, function $f_1 : I \mapsto I$, function $f_2 : I \mapsto I$. Let $x_0$, $x_1$, $x_2$, ... be series of random variables from interval $I$ denoting random walk. ...
4
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1answer
116 views

Orlicz Norm and A result on expectation

I am reading paper which is mainly about Dobrushin's contraction coefficient and its generalization. In page 27, the following is defined: Consider arbitrary, non-negative, convex function ...
3
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0answers
46 views

Sample based inversion of the Radon transform

I have a classic tomography problem in which I would like to infer the internal density $p_0: \mathbb R^2 \to \mathbb R$ from external Radon projections. The internal density however is viewed as a ...
9
votes
2answers
289 views

An inequality for copulas

Suppose that $f$ from $[0,\infty]$ onto $[0,1]$ is completely monotonic on $(0,\infty)$, and let $g$ be the inverse of $f$. For $(u,v)$ in $[0,1]^{2}$, define $C(u,v) = f(g(u)+g(v))$, and let $a = ...
3
votes
2answers
263 views

Expectation of a generalization of Dirichlet distribution

For the standard Dirichlet, the expectation of $X_i$ is $\alpha_i/\alpha_0$, where $\alpha_0 = \sum_i \alpha_i$ [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dirichlet_distribution]. I am considering the following ...
5
votes
1answer
258 views

Can a Brownian motion be fast at its extrema?

After pondering this MO question > Location of maximum of Brownian motion with rough drift <, I wonder whether a Brownian motion can be fast (i.e. beats the law of the iterated logarithm) at its ...
0
votes
0answers
35 views

minimal entropy approximation of a truncated discrete measure

Consider a measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{N}$ given by the sequence $(\mu(n))_{n \geq 0}$ with $\mu(0)>0$. For example $\mu(n)=n^2+1$ on the figure below. For each $n$, let $X_n \sim \mu(\cdot \mid ...