Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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6
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169 views

Random walk in a convex body or convex polytope

Let $\Delta$ be a convex body (i.e. a compact convex subset) or a convex polytope in $\mathbb{R}^n$. Let $x$ be a point inside $\Delta$ and consider a (uniform) random walk starting at $x$ inside ...
7
votes
1answer
182 views

Concentration of sum of powers of normals

Let $Z_1,Z_2,\ldots,Z_n$ be i.i.d. copies of a random variable $Z$ distributed as $\frac{1}{\sqrt{2}}X+i\frac{1}{\sqrt{2}}Y$ with $X$ and $Y$ independent standard Normal random variables ...
-1
votes
1answer
96 views

How to compute the expectation of $\frac{Y^L}{Y^L + (N-Y)^L}$ where Y is Binomial(n,p)

How to compute the expectation of $\frac{Y^L}{Y^L + (N-Y)^L}$ where $Y$ is Binomial(n,p)? If it is not exactly computable, then are their ways to approximate this qty?
2
votes
1answer
122 views

Parameter estimation using bayesian update on moduli space?

Scientists take a set of data points, say in ${\mathbb R}^2$, and, assuming that this data should fit a polynomial of degree $d$ (or an exponential, etc.), they estimate parameters. I would think ...
4
votes
1answer
84 views

On the moments of Lévy processes

For a Brownian motion $B_t$, the evolution of the moments with $t$ obeys the simple rule: $$\mathbb{E}[|B_t|^p] = \kappa_p |t|^{p/2},$$ with $\kappa_p<\infty$. The proof only requires to remark ...
4
votes
1answer
146 views

Concurrency related problems in $n$ independent, parallel $M/M/1$ queues

Queueing Model: Consider $n$ independent, parallel $M/M/1$ queues with identical arrival rate $\lambda$ and service rate $\mu$. For each $M/M/1$ queue, we use the FCFS (First Come First Served) ...
3
votes
1answer
149 views

Diameter of $n$-unit-vector closed scribble

Suppose one creates a random, closed, likely self-crossing polygon from $n$ unit-length vectors arranged head-to-tail, randomly oriented except for the requirement that their sum is zero (so the ...
1
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0answers
121 views

Fundamental theorem of calculus for iterated stochastic integrals

I'm trying to find the rate (or a bound for it) with which an iterated integral of the type $$\int_{-h}^0 \int_{-h}^{t} A_s d B_s A_t d B_t$$ converges to zero (in probability/distribution) for $h ...
6
votes
1answer
257 views

Properties of the time integral of Wiener process

Let $W_t$ be a Wiener process and consider the time integral $$ X_T:= \int_0^T W_t dt $$ It is often mentionend in literature that $X_T$ is a Gaussian with mean 0 and variance $T^3/6$. I am ...
1
vote
1answer
367 views

A generalized urn-ball matching problem; Complicated combinatoric/probabilistic limit

I'm looking for a generalization to the urn-ball matching problem. As a reminder of what I've got in mind, here's the simple version: Randomly assign (with replacement) $N$ balls to $M$ urns. ...
4
votes
1answer
134 views

What is the early history of the concepts of probabilistic independence and conditional probability/expectation?

In the 1738 second edition of The Doctrine of Chances, de Moivre writes, Two Events are independent, when they have no connexion one with the other, and that the happening of one neither forwards ...
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0answers
102 views

Is there inverse FFT algorithm for Fourier transform of a integer-valued random variable?

In many applications, it is possible to derive an explicit expression for the Fourier transform of a random variable $X$ $$\varphi (\theta ) = \sum\limits_{n = 0}^\infty {{p_n}} {e^{in\theta }}$$ ...
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0answers
44 views

A counterpart of Karhunen theorem

According to the Karhunen theorem, if the correlation function of a process $X(t)$ can be represented as $$ R(t,s)= \int_{\Lambda} f(t, \lambda) \overline{f(s, \lambda)}d\nu(\lambda) $$ then the ...
3
votes
1answer
226 views

What is “tilting” in the context of large deviations?

I have seen references to the "tilting method" in the theory of large deviations. Is there a simple explanation of what this is, exactly?
2
votes
2answers
118 views

Bounds for the fat tail after trimming the mean?

I am interested in the quantity $$f(X,t) = \int_t^\infty\negthinspace x\ p(x)\ dx,$$ where $p$ is a probability distribution for a positive variable $X$. 1) Does this quantity $f(X,t)$ have a name? ...
1
vote
2answers
110 views

Invariant measure of Euler-Maruyama Discretisation of an Ito diffusion

Let $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be a diffusion process with dynamics governed by the stochastic differential equation \begin{equation} dX_t = b(X_t)dt + \sigma(X_t)dW_t, ~~ X_0 = x_0, \end{equation} where ...
1
vote
1answer
110 views

M/M/1 Queue with probability of new customer leaving [closed]

I'm looking at a M/M/1 queue system and trying to show that $\{M_t\}_{t\geq}0$, the number of clients in the system, is a birth-death process. In the simplest of cases this is true if $\lambda_i = ...
2
votes
0answers
90 views

Finite Volume 1D Anderson Tight Binding Model

My question is about bounds on the number of eigenvalues in a microscopic interval for the random Schrodinger operator on $\mathbb{Z}_n$ for $n \in \mathbb{N}$. For my question, these are the ...
6
votes
1answer
237 views

Limit of distance between two random points in a unit-radius $n$-sphere

This is a companion contrast to the earlier analogous question for unit $n$-cubes, where the answer (provided by several respondents) is $\infty$ . What is the limit, as $n \to \infty$, of the ...
0
votes
1answer
223 views

Probability generating function zero implies random variable is infinite

Let $V$ be a random variable supported on the nonnegative integers (including $\infty$) and $f(x) = \mathbf E x^V$ be the probability generating function. In our model $V$ is the number of visits to ...
2
votes
1answer
224 views

How to minimize $-\sum p_b \ln{p_b}$?

Consider multisets of the form $A = \{a_1,\dots,a_n\}$ of integers. Let $q = P(a_i = a_j)$ when $i$ and $j$ are chosen independently and uniformly from $\{1,\dots, n\}$. Let $B$ be the set of ...
1
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0answers
67 views

On Flajolet's analytic urn model: a unified approach or just an interesting trick?

Recently I'm reading Flajolet's work on analytic urn models. In around 2006 He introduced a new analytical method that can give exact solutions to many classical urn models in a unified way. For a ...
0
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1answer
129 views

Singular distributions: Applications and Instances

Singular distributions are special mathematical objects. They have an interesting property of not having a density function, defined on a set with Lebesgue measure zero. Cantor distribution is the ...
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0answers
98 views

number of times Brownian motion hits boundaries

Any experts here please direct me to some appropriate keywords that I can search for. Consider a Brownian motion constrained to an upper and lower boundaries. Let's say I want to know that how many ...
6
votes
2answers
251 views

Limit of distance between two random points in a unit $n$-cube

What is the limit, as $n \to \infty$, of the expected distance between two points chosen uniformly at random within a unit edge-length hypercube in $\mathbb{R}^n$? For $n=1$, the average ...
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0answers
44 views

Bounding Rayleigh quotioent for stochastic matrix

Suppose you have an irreducible, stochastic matrix $A$ with left Perron-Frobenius eigenvector $v$ (corresponding to the eigenvalue $1$), and suppose the next largest eigenvalue for $A$ is $\lambda$. ...
0
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0answers
95 views

Upper bound for $r_{0}(n)$ through probabilities

Assume Goldbach's conjecture. Then for every integer $n>1$ there exists a non negative integer $r$ such that both $n-r$ and $n+r$ are primes. For a given $N$, let's denote by $r_{0}(N)$ the ...
3
votes
1answer
150 views

Quantiles moments and Convergence

QUESTION: Let $F$ be an absolutely continuous distribution function with density $f$, and $F_{n}$ be its nth empirical distribution. Suppose that $t\in (0,1)$ is constant. Is true the convergence ...
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0answers
52 views

Whether r.v. with p.g.f. $\exp [\sum\limits_{i = 1}^\infty {{q_i}({z^i}} - 1)]$ is overdispersion?

When discrete r.v. $X$ is not Poisson distributed and ${\rm{Var}}X,EX < \infty $, I want to know whether r.v. $X$ with p.g.f. $\exp [\sum\limits_{i = 1}^\infty {{q_i}({z^i}} - 1)],({q_i} \in ...
2
votes
1answer
139 views

Derive concentration bound for the derivative

It that true to conclude that if a random $f(z)$ is a sub-Gaussian random variable for a constant value of z, its derivative $f'(z)|_{z=k}$ with respect to variable $z$ is also sub-Gaussian? In ...
2
votes
1answer
102 views

convergence rate of occupation measure of ergodic Markov Chain

Given an ergodic Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$ in $R^d$with $\pi$ as the invariant distribution of the transition kernel, under good conditions we have that the empirical occupation measure converges ...
1
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1answer
144 views

Question about the log-det function

Suppose I have a diagonal $n \times n$ matrix $\Gamma$ with positive entries, and a fixed $n \times k$ matrix $P$ with $P^\intercal P = I$ (here, $k \leq n$). I'm interested in knowing whether the ...
2
votes
1answer
79 views

Convergence of random variables in LP preserved under conditioning on sub sigma field

Is anyone aware of a result which states that convergence of random variables in $\mathbb L^p$ are preserved under conditioning on sub-sigma fields? I'm new to probability/measure theory, and trying ...
2
votes
1answer
128 views

A calculation involving a uniform random variable quantile

THE PROBLEM: Let $U$ be a uniform distribution and $U_{n}$ be its nth empirical distribution. Suppose $t\in (0,1)$ and $n\in \mathbb{N}$ are constants. What's the explicit expression to ...
1
vote
1answer
159 views

question about uniform continuity under Skorokhod Metric

Let $D=D([0,1], \mathbb{R})$ be the space of cadlag functions $x$ with $x(0)=0$ and $x$ is continuous on $1$. If we endow $D$ with Skorokhod Metric, see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C%C3%A0dl%C3%A0g ...
2
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0answers
162 views

Equivalence of Gaussian measures on Hilbert space

Suppose we have 2 nondegenerate Gaussian measures given by N(0,T) and N(0,S) supported on a separable Hilbert space H. T and S are such that eigenbasis of S lies in the cameron martin space of ...
0
votes
1answer
71 views

Running supremmum of a Levy process

Let X be a cadlag Lévy process with $X_0=0$ and let $p$ be a real number in $[1,\infty)$. Then, the following are equivalent. 1): $X$ is $L^p$-integrable. 2): $X^*_t= \mathop{\sup}_{0\leq s\leq t} ...
4
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0answers
137 views

Optimization problem involving Multivariate Normal

I use $\phi(t)$ to describe the standard normal distribution density and $\Phi(t)$ as the normal distribution CDF and would like to prove that for all $n\geq3$, the function: ...
3
votes
1answer
132 views

Calculating the probability that all possible length $r$ subwords exists in a string, with or without overlaps allowed

Let $S$ be a length $L$ string, where each character in the string is chosen with uniform random probability over an alphabet with $q$ characters. For example, a binary string would imply $q = 2$, a ...
2
votes
2answers
190 views

Intuition on Lindeberg condition

I want to know how Lindeberg came up with the condition which is sufficient for CLT to hold ? What is the intuition behind such an expression ?
10
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2answers
161 views

Intrinsic significance of differential entropy

Many commentators (e.g. Jaynes, Rota) argue that the notion of "differential entropy" is problematic (as commonly defined by $ h(X) = \int ( \log\frac{1}{p(x)} ) p(x) \, dx $, where $X$ is a random ...
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votes
1answer
55 views

Finiteness of “novel variance” from a kernel on a compact space [closed]

Let $c(i,i')$ be a kernel function on a reasonable index space $I$. Choose a dense sequence of points $\{i_1, i_2, \cdots \} \subseteq I$, and define the one-point kernel functions $k_n := c(\cdot, ...
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votes
2answers
119 views

conditional expectation under convex combinaison of probability measures(II)

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F})$ denote some measurable space. Let $P_1$ and $P_2$ denote respectively two probability measures. Now let $\mathcal{G}$ be some sub sigma-algebra of $\mathcal{F}$. Given a ...
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vote
2answers
156 views

Empirical estimator for total variation distance between two product distributions

Let $X = (X_1, X_2, \ldots , X_n)$ be an $n$-dimensional random variable, where each $X_i$ is a random variable on finite discrete set $S$. In addition, $X_i$ are independent of each other (but not ...
5
votes
1answer
180 views

Measures which exhibit the “uncorrelated implies independent” property

Let $X$ be a topological linear space, and let $X^*$ be its dual space. Suppose that $X$ is complete and Hausdorff, and $X^*$ separates points. Let $Y$ be another such space, and let $f : X \to Y$ be ...
5
votes
2answers
432 views

Does $Mv$ converge to i.i.d in some sense?

I am not a professional mathematician so please excuse me if my question is not phrased correctly. I am interested in the following simple sounding problem. Consider a random $n$ by $n$ $0$-$1$ ...
0
votes
0answers
47 views

Hermite coefficients of a positive density

It is well known that a necessary condition for a function in $L_2$ to be a.e. positive is that its fourier transform is positive-definite (in fact, due to Bochner's theorem, this is also a sufficient ...
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1answer
119 views

Question about characteristic function with independence assumption

Let $X$ be a random vector taking values in $\mathbb R^2$ with probability density $p(x) = p_1(x_1)p_2(x_2)$, i.e. the components of $X$ are independent. Let $V$ be an open set in $\mathbb S^1$, the ...
4
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0answers
220 views

Feynman-Kac theorem: probabilistic proof of existence of solution to parabolic PDE

Friedman (in his book: PDEs of Parabolic Type) shows how to construct a solution to the Cauchy problem $$ \partial_t u(t,x) = b(x) \partial_x u(t,x) + \frac{1}{2} \sigma(x)^2 \partial_{x,x} u(t,x) $$ ...
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0answers
75 views

question about Doob-Meyer decomposition

Given a filtered probability space and let $X$ be a cadlag local martingale defined on this space. Let $V$ be a cadlag supermartingale and assume we know the following decomposition: ...