Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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6
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121 views

Geometric interpretation of the average of two independent Cauchy distributions

Let me state two facts: (1) It is well known that if one takes a point uniformly distributed on the unit circle, and then takes it stereographic projection, the corresponding measure induced on the ...
0
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0answers
25 views

Coordinates Poisson Cluster parent point

Is there any method to know the position of parent point in 'Poisson Cluster Process'? For information I use data with poisson distribution. data consist of (longitude, latitude, date). I want ...
2
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1answer
107 views

Quaternion Wishart matrices of half-integer dimension?

For a physics application (quantum delay times of a chaotic scatterer) I need to generate $m$ positive random variables $\lambda_1,\lambda_2,\ldots\lambda_m$ with probability distribution ...
0
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1answer
69 views

Extend product sigma-algebra to cross-constant sets

We have two probability spaces $(\Omega_1,\mathcal{F_1},P_1)$ and $(\Omega_2,\mathcal{F_2},P_2)$. Is it possible to construct probability space $(\Omega=\Omega_1\times\Omega_2,\mathcal{F},P)$ such ...
2
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0answers
105 views

Probability question involving simulations of picking balls from a bag

I’m working on a chemistry problem, which essentially translates to finding the answer to a related probability problem. However, my knowledge in probability is very limited and I'd be grateful if ...
0
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0answers
81 views

What is the sigma field of the derivative of a process?

When $t\to X_t$ is an absolutely continuous process ($X_t= X_0+ \int_0^t Y_s dt$ for some measurable process $Y_t$) we have for all $t$ $$\sigma(Y_t) \subset \cap_{\epsilon >0}\sigma(X_{s}, s\in ...
11
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2answers
591 views

Teaching stochastic calculus to students who know no measure theory (or PDE, or…)

I've got quite a challenge as my teaching assignment for the next Fall (not that I want to get rid of it, quite the contrary, but I still feel like asking for advice won't hurt :-)). I'm to teach the ...
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0answers
51 views

Central limit theorems for unequal probability sampling (weak but ill-defined dependence)

Suppose we are choosing samples of size $s$ from a finite population $\{a_1, a_2, \dots , a_n\}$ where our sampling is with unequal probabilities. Construct $$ S_n = \sum_{k=1}^{n} a_k $$ Under what ...
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88 views

Defining density of a random function using Radon-Nikodym Theorem

Let $(\Omega,\mathbb{F},P)$ be a probability space and $E$ be an infinite dimensional Banach space and $\mathbb{B}$ be the $\sigma$-algebra of Borel subset of $E$. Let $X$ be random function defined ...
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0answers
53 views

When the completed filtration of a process increases slowly

If $\mathcal{F}_t$ is the filtration of the evaluation process on $C_T$ (continuous function on $[0,T]$). Can we find some law of continuous process $\mathbb{P}$ so that for $t\leq T$ ...
2
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1answer
64 views

Estimating mean and variance of a distribution based on error-prone estimates of its cdf

Suppose I have some random variable $X$ taking values in $[a, b]$ with unknown distribution (I am happy to assume the distribution is smooth, though it would be nice to not have to). I have a ...
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104 views

Worst-Case Solution to (Stochastic) Matrix Inequality

EDIT: Some specific conjectures added. This problem comes with an associated stochastic process, but I phrase everything as linear algebra in case somebody from a non-probability community has seen ...
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0answers
48 views

Reference for a special case of the Hanson-Wright inequality

I would like find tail bounds for the expression $$ \begin{align*} \left|\left\langle a,\phi\right\rangle \left\langle \phi,b\right\rangle -\left\langle a,b\right\rangle\right|, \end{align*} $$ where ...
10
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3answers
319 views

Reference for a strong intermediate value theorem for measures

Let $\mu$ be a finite nonatomic measure on a measurable space $(X,\Sigma)$, and for simplicity assume that $\mu(X) = 1$. There is a well-known "intermediate value theorem" of Sierpiński that states ...
6
votes
1answer
356 views

lower-bound for $Pr[X\geq EX]$

Given n random variables, $X_1, ..., X_n$, each takes value 0 or $a_i \in[0, 1]$. $X = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ and $EX \geq 1$ is the expected value of $X$. Can we get a lower-bound for $Pr[X \geq EX]$? It ...
3
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1answer
59 views

Density for Translated Process

Let $M$ be a (compact) Riemannian manifold. Let $v$ be a smooth vector field on $M$ with flow $\Theta_t$. Let $L$ be an elliptic second order differential operator on $M$ that generates the Ito ...
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0answers
32 views

Probability of close approach for multivariate normal variables

The following problem comes from a physical model of two groups of particles in three dimensions. I need to know the probability that the two groups of particles approach each other within some ...
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0answers
64 views

Asymptotic variance for partial sum of a stationary process

Let $X = (X_1, \dots, X_n, \dots)$ be a sequence of random variables. We assume that the process X is stationary i.e. for any integer $k$, any set of indices $i_1 < \dots < i_k$ and any integer ...
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0answers
66 views

Measurability of solution of diffusion equation in sub sigma algebra

I want to solve the following problem: Get $\omega \in \Omega \subset \mathbb{R}$, $x \in D \subset \mathbb{R}^2$ and $0<a_i\leq a(.,.)\leq a_x<\infty$. Let $a( x;. )$ and $f(x;.)$ be ...
3
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0answers
134 views

Donsker's Theorem for triangular arrays

I should mention that I already posed this question on Math Stack Exchange, but didn't receive much feedback. Assume we have a sequence of smooth i.i.d. random variables $(X_i)_{i=1}^{\infty}$. Given ...
2
votes
1answer
115 views

Restricted singular values of random matrix

Let $X \in \mathbb{R}^{p\times p}$ be a large square matrix, consisting of i.i.d. Gaussian entries. Then it is known that the singular values of $X$ follow the Marchenko-Pastur law. Now let's ...
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0answers
95 views

First passage time of a pure drift process

I am facing the following unusual problem: $Z_t$ is a pure drift process of the form $$ dZ_t = \kappa(X_t - Z_t) dt $$ where $X_t$ is another bounded process. I am interested in computing / ...
6
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1answer
387 views

Table with the most seated customers in Chinese restaurant process

Suppose we have some initial configuration of people seated at some tables. We start taking new customers and seat them following Chinese restaurant process. Is there some known work on finding the ...
0
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1answer
256 views

About an integral equation

I would like to obtain $g$ by solving the following integral equation $$ \int_s^T R(u) dg(u) + f(s,T)\int_s^T g(u)du =0$$ where $f,R:\mathbb R _+ ^*\rightarrow \mathbb R _+ $and $g: \mathbb R _+ ...
4
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1answer
227 views

Isomorphisms between spaces of test functions and sequence spaces

I am in the process of writing some self-contained notes on probability theory in spaces of distributions, for the purposes of statistical mechanics and quantum field theory. Perhaps the simplest ...
5
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2answers
311 views

Does this equation has a closed-form solution for $t$? ($(1-p)\sum_{i=0}^{n}t^i = p\sum_{i=0}^{n}(1-t)^i)$)

We are given $n\in \mathbb N^+$ and $p\in[\frac{1}{2},\frac{n+1}{n+2}]$. Our goal is to find $t\in[0,1]$ such that $$(1-p)\sum_{i=0}^{n}t^i = p\sum_{i=0}^{n}(1-t)^i$$ Is there a closed-form ...
0
votes
2answers
165 views

Probability spaces involved in using Bayesian Inference

I am currently reading "Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length" by C.S. Wallace. In this, Wallace gives a fairly informal account of Bayesian Inference which, in the case ...
3
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0answers
93 views

Ask for reference of a stochastic process

I would like to know whether the following stochastic process is well studied. Let $\{U_k: k \ge 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d random variable. $U_1$ is uniformly distributed on the unit interval $[0, ...
-3
votes
3answers
304 views

Determinant of matrix from set {-1, 1} [closed]

Let $A \in \mathbb{R}^{11 \times 11}$ and it's elements are form set $\{ -1,1 \}$. $\mathbb{P}(-1) = \mathbb{P}(1) = 0.5$. What is a probability to get such a matrix, that $\det A > 4000$? I have ...
6
votes
1answer
239 views

Is an infinite-dimensional “Lebesgue measure” uniquely determined by a set of positive finite measure?

Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on a subset $C \subset \mathbb{R}^\infty$ of the space of sequences, and assume, for simplicity, that $C$ is closed and convex. We say that $\mu$ admits shifts if ...
1
vote
1answer
149 views

How does Azuma's Inequality result from Pinelis Inequality?

According to [1] Let $(\mathcal{X},||\cdot||)$ be a separable Banach space and let $S(\mathcal{X})$ denote the class of all sequences $f=(f_j)=(f_0,f_1,...)$ of Bochner-integrable random ...
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0answers
46 views

Finding a general form of the density function when we have a four dimensional random variable

Consider a subject having time of the specific event $T_i$, which is a single sample from a distribution $F_i$ with density $f_i$ and support $[t_{\min},t_{\max}]$, for $i= 1,\ldots,n$. Let these ...
1
vote
2answers
141 views

Speed and absence of non-constant bounded harmonic functions

For a (symmetric) random walks on countable groups generated by $\mu$, there is a "brute-force computation" argument of Avez (1974) that shows that if the entropy $h_\mu$ is trivial then there are no ...
0
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0answers
97 views

Best possible concentration inequality in high dimensions

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent random variables in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $EX_i=0$ and $||X_i||_{2}\leq 1$. What is the best known exponential upper bound for $$P(||X_1+\cdots+X_n||_{2}>x)?$$ In ...
2
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0answers
76 views

McDiarmid's inequality on normed spaces

McDiarmid's inequality says if a function $f: \mathcal{X}^n\to\mathbb{R}$ has the property that $$ \sup_{x_1,\dotsc,x_n,x'_i\in\mathcal{X}} ...
3
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1answer
125 views

Three-dimensional Apollonian spirals

Given mutually (externally) tangent spheres $S_1$, $S_2$, $S_3$, $S_4$, let $S_n$ be the unique sphere externally tangent to $S_{n-1}$, $S_{n-2}$, $S_{n-3}$, and $S_{n-4}$ for $n \geq 5$. Let ...
5
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0answers
159 views

A note on Doob's theorem

I have faced the following problem, regarding to the Martingale Theory. Because this area far from my area I don't know whether this problem is in literature or this can be simple question for ...
5
votes
1answer
399 views

Harmonic Crystal using Random Walk

Me and my advisor were looking for a specific proof of the disorder in $2d$ harmonic crystals. We could not find a paper or a textbook with it, so I thought trying my luck here. Basically, it is a ...
0
votes
1answer
73 views

Rademacher complexity of a Lipschitz class: Are the boundedness constraints necessary?

Consider the following function class: $F={f:R^d\rightarrow [a,b], f(x)=\sigma(w^Tx)}$ where $\sigma(.)$ is Lipschitz, and $w\in R^d$ is a parameter vector. The problem I'm working on is a machine ...
1
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1answer
85 views

Perturbation of a Bessel process of dimension 2

Bessel process of dimension 2 is defined to be solution of $$ dX_t=dB_t+\frac{1}{2X_t}dt,\quad X_0=x_0>0 $$ where $B$ is a standard 1-dimensional Brownian motion. $X$ can be viewed as the norm of a ...
8
votes
1answer
282 views

Algorithm to produce random number with a gamma distribution

I'd like to produce pseudo-random numbers with different distributions for a Monte Carlo simulation. I've got the poisson distribution working nicely with an algorithm from Knuth. I'm having trouble ...
8
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0answers
127 views

Randomly placing nonoverlapping unit cuboids

Suppose one places unit cuboids of dimension $d$ with min-corners uniformly distributed to lie in $[0,n]^d$, but with cuboid (strict) overlap forbidden. At some point, the region is "saturated," ...
2
votes
1answer
176 views

Random walks with exponential decreasing steps

Let $g$ be the golden number (or another algebraic integer in $(0,1)$ that fullfills an equation with coefficients $\pm 1$). Consider the random walk on $\mathbb{R}$ starting with $0$ and walking ...
5
votes
2answers
314 views

A central limit theorem for a trigonometric series involving primes

In some recent work I found I needed to prove a central limit theorem for the interesting series: $\sum_{n=1}^\infty \cos (u \log p_n) $ where u is a random variable uniform on the interval ...
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0answers
44 views

Is there a unique tilted measure with specified marginals?

Suppose $\mathcal{A},\mathcal{B}$ are finite sets and $\mu_{A,B}(a,b)$ is a probability measure on the product set $\mathcal{A}\times \mathcal{B}$ so that $\mu_{A,B}(a,b)>0$ for each $a\in ...
4
votes
1answer
104 views

Earth mover/Wasserstein distance between a pdf and an empirical distribution

This question is inspired by this much older question: Convergence of an empirical distribution w.r.t. the Hellinger distance Let $P$ be a continuous probability distribution on a compact subset of ...
0
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2answers
171 views

“Convolution” for Multiplying Random Variables

The following situation arises frequently in probability. Suppose we have two independent continuous random variables $X$ and $Y$ and we consider their sum, $Z=X+Y$. Then the pdf of $Z$ is the ...
2
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0answers
58 views

Controlling fluctuations in a Markov chain

For $N>0$, consider the Markov chain $x_n$ on $\{0,1/N,...,1\}$ that moves up by $1/N$ at rate $(c-x_n/2)N$ and down by $1/N$ at rate $(c+x_n/2)N$. As $N\rightarrow\infty$ sample paths approach ...
1
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1answer
89 views

Rank of a sequence of covariance matrices

Let $X_i$ ($i=1, \dots$) be an orthonormal basis for $L^2(\Omega, \mathbb P)$. In particular, it holds that $$\mathbb E[X_iX_j] = \delta_{ij}.$$ Now take $Z\in L^2(\Omega, \mathbb P)$ and define ...
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0answers
22 views

Literature on the notion of combining two discrete stationary processes with the latter process slowed down

Is there any literature about the following way of combining two stationary processes? Let $X_1, X_2, \dots$ be a discrete-time stationary process. Let $A$ be a subset in its sample space. Let ...