**2**

votes

**0**answers

82 views

### A result on absolute mean of a stopped supermartingale

The reason of posting the following problem here is that I heard that it is a result from some paper.
Let $(X_n, \mathscr{F_n}), n \geq 0$ be a super martingale and $T$ an $\{F_n\}$-stopping time ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

131 views

### Inequality for the tail of normal distribution function

Let $ Ф(x) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^{x} e^{-t^2/2} \, dt $ be the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution.
Numerical calculations suggest the following ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

81 views

### Concentration of weighted random chirp

I'm interested in seeing whether the following is true. Assume $u$ is uniform on $[0,1]$. For a fixed $x\in\mathbb{C}^n$ with $\|x\|_{2}=1$ we have
\begin{align*}
...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

186 views

### Brownian motion and hitting a Quadrilateral

I want to compute the hitting probability of a bounded plane by a Brownian motion starting at the origin. In other words, given the coordinates of a quadrilateral A , can we compute ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

178 views

### Finding loops and double edges ASAP in configuration model random graph

A common approach (at least in theory) to generating a random $n$ vertex graph uniformly subject to having a given (feasible) degree sequence $(d_i)_{i = 1}^n$ is to use the configuration model, i.e. ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

217 views

### Morphisms associated to measured spaces [duplicate]

In a previous discussion (von neumann algebras and measurable spaces), the connexion between von Neumann algebras and localized measured spaces was clarified. I would like to have a category theory ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

145 views

### Reference question: Brownian motion and surface area

I am doing research on the hitting probability of various sets (eg. 3D convex) and specifically how changes in perimeter/surface area change the hitting probability.
By hitting probability I mean ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

90 views

### $\epsilon$-covering number of a set of rank-2 matrices

Suppose that two unit-norm vectors $\boldsymbol{a}\in \mathbb{R}^m$ and $\boldsymbol{b}\in\mathbb{R}^n$ are given with $m\leq n$. Furthermore, let $\boldsymbol{F}_{m,n}$ denote the first $m$ rows of ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

56 views

### An upper bound for the growth of a Galton-Watson tree with binomial offspring distribution

Consider a Galton-Watson tree with offspring distribution $\text{B}(n,p)$, for some constant $n$ and $p$. Let $a_i$ denote the number of vertices on the $i$'th level of the tree. It then holds that:
...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

93 views

### Stationary point processes with arbitrarily slow decorrelation

A point process $P$ (a probability measure on simple, locally finite point configurations $\mathcal{C}$ on $\mathbb{R}$ - I'm restricting to the one-dimensional setting) is stationary when ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

119 views

### Two matrix Fisher distributions on SO(3)?

After the uniform distribution (normalized Haar measure), the matrix Fisher distribution seems to be the most popular probability distribution on the Lie group SO(3). The density is proportional to ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

116 views

### Uniformly permutation and the length of a size biased cycle

The cycle containing $1$ of a uniform permutation has length which is uniformly distributed. I was wondering if the converse is true:
Suppose $\sigma$ is a permutation on $\{1,\dots,n\}$ and let ...

**9**

votes

**1**answer

225 views

### A random variation on Polya's orchard problem

Polya's orchard problem is as follows:
"How thick must the
trunks of the trees in a regularly spaced circular orchard grow if they are
to block completely the view from the center?"
See, ...

**9**

votes

**0**answers

240 views

### First passage percolation on a random geometric graph in the large connectivity limit

Let $V_\rho\subset\mathbb{R}^2$ be a point set in the plane obtained from a Poisson process of density $\rho$. The random geometric graph $G_\rho$ is obtained from $V_\rho$ by connecting points that ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

150 views

### Girsanov theorem with Geometric Brownian Motion

I am not a student in mathematics, but I am trying to use the following Theorem 8.6.6 (Girsanov theorem II) of Oksendal's SDE with geometric Brownian motion $S_{t}$ instead of the standard Brownian ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

95 views

### Behavior of the integral of products of probability densities

Assume $z \in \mathbb{R}^m$ and $x \in \mathbb{R}^n$. Assume we have proper density function $P(z)$ and proper conditional density function $P(x|z)$. We give the definition
$$
T(x_1,\ldots,x_n) := ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

71 views

### Conditional probabilities in epidemic model

I was contemplating an epidemic model where infection and recovery rates are determined by links. Here node $i$ is infected first and recovers at a rate $\mu_i$. For all other nodes, the recovery is ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

88 views

### “Direct” proof (without hypercontractivity) of equivalence of moments?

Let $(x_i)_{i \in \mathbb{N}}$ be a family of independent $\pm 1$ centered Bernoulli random variables, and let $p, q > 1$. There exists a constant C such that for every (finite) linear combination ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

123 views

### Estimating the volume of a union of balls

Let $\{ B_i \}_{i=1}^n$ be a set of $n$ ball in the unit cube $C$ of dimension $d$.
If I want to estimate
$$
\frac{ \lambda \left( \cup B_i \right) }{\lambda\left( C \right) }, \tag{1}
$$
where ...

**12**

votes

**0**answers

488 views

### When does $Pr[vr_i=ur_i\mid \forall j < i: vr_j=ur_j] =O( 1/\sqrt n)$?

In A conjecture about the entropy of matrix vector products I asked a conjecture relating to the entropy of a matrix-vector product. This conjecture is as yet unproven. domotorp then made another ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

87 views

### An inequality for moments of a random variable

I'm interested in a class C of $R^1$-valued random variables $\xi$ which satisfy
an inequality of the type
$$
(1) \qquad E|\xi|^p \leq F(E|\xi|^2),
$$
where $p>2$, $F$ is a certain ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

150 views

### Operator connected with Hermite polynomials

For $n \geq 1$, define the following operator $M_n$ on the ring of all polynomials with real coefficients.
$$M_n P(x) = nP(x)^2 - x \int_0^x (P'(t))^2 \, \mathrm{d}t$$
Monomials $x^k$ are mapped to $n ...

**1**

vote

**2**answers

168 views

### A special class of random variables

I'm interested in classes C of $R^1$-valued random variables which possess the following properties:
1) the sum of two independent random variables from class C belongs to class C;
2) for any ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

61 views

### Maximizing the “uniformity” of a probability measure, with constraints, via path length minimization

Background
I want to find a probability measure for a continuous random variable, subject to moment constraints, that is maximally "uniform", as defined below:
Definition: Maximally Uniform ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

257 views

### How to check if a symmetric random variables is the difference of two iid symmetric random variables

I have the continuous symmetric random variable $X$ in $\mathbb{R}$. If I know its distribution function $F(x)$ what are the conditions on $F(x)$ so that $X=Y_1 - Y_2$ where $Y_i$ are also iid ...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

226 views

### Gaussian expectation of an exponentiated outer product

Given a normal random column vector $\mathbf{x} \sim N(\mu, \Sigma)$, I need the expectation,
$$ E\left[ \exp(\mathbf{xx}^\top)\right]$$
where $\exp(\cdot)$ is element-wise exponential function (not ...

**5**

votes

**3**answers

230 views

### Estimating the Variance of a Discrete Normal Distribution

Let $f(x; \sigma) = \frac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\cdot e^{-\frac{x^2}{2\sigma^2}}$ be the probability density function of a normal distribution $\mathcal{N}(0, \sigma^2)$. We consider a discrete normal ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

79 views

### Minimum of Random Energy Model (REM) with logarithmically correlated potential

In the paper [FB] (ArXiv, J. Phys. A), the authors analyse a particular Random Energy Model (REM) with logarithmically correlated potential and conjecture in Eq. (2) that the distribution function of ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

88 views

### Regularity of finite variation kernels in the (intersection) of the semimartingale spaces $H^p$

Suppose you have a continuous semimartingale $S_t=M_t + A_t$ where $A_t$ is the continuous finite variation part which has the form $A_t = \int_0^t b_s \, \mathrm{d} s$, where $\int_0^{\infty} |b_s| ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

131 views

### Stochastic integration by parts to obtain Kailath Segall identity for iterated stochastic integrals?

If $(M_t)_{t \geq 0}$ is a continuous local martingale, one can define the iterated integrals $I_0=1$, $I_1(t)=M_t$ and for $n \geq 2$ $$I_{n}(t) = \int_0^t I_{n-1} (s) \mathrm{d} M_s.$$ By noting ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

249 views

### Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem and Ergodic Decomposition Theorem for Continuous-Time Markov Processes

I have a couple of questions regarding ergodicity for Markov processes in continuous time. (In particular, the first question seems like it should be particularly basic, and yet I haven't managed to ...

**10**

votes

**0**answers

288 views

### Steady state expectation of dynamic system of urns & balls

We have a large number of urns $N+1$. (Large means that the relative difference between $N$ and $N+1$ is well within the error bounds that I care about. The reason for the $+1$ will be apparent ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

70 views

### Quadrilaterals from a Unit Stick

This question could be seen as a coordinate-free variant of Sylvester's Four Point Problem (cf e.g. http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SylvestersFour-PointProblem.html):
Suppose one are given an ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

153 views

### Stability of convergence in distribution under randomization

Suppose you have a sequence of non-negative stochastic processes $(X^n)_{t \in \mathbb{R}}$, $n \geq 1$, with continuous paths and continuous in $t$ such that
$$\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} X^n_t \, ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

148 views

### Can't figure out “standard application” of the Garsia-Rodemich-Rumsey Lemma

I'm currently reading the paper http://arxiv.org/abs/0908.2473 and can't figure out what they call a "standard application" of the Garsia-Rodemich-Rumsey lemma (see p.8). Summed up, they have a ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

222 views

### Sum of a random number of identically distributed but dependent random variables?

Background
Let $X_t$ be the continuous time Markov process on the state space {Working, Broken} with failure rate $\alpha$ and repair rate $\beta$. By elementary calculations [1]
$$
\begin{align*}
...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

285 views

### Measure concentration for law of large numbers

The classical law of large numbers states that
$$\frac1k\sum_{i=1}^k X_i \rightarrow \mathbb{E} X_1$$
for i.i.d. $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ with finite $L^1$ norm.
I was wondering whether is it possible to ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

91 views

### Probability of k overlapping subsets in N trials

Ok, here is what I am attempting to find an answer to:
I draw M uniformly random subsets of size K from the set of numbers $\Omega=\{1, \dots, N\}$ (where uniformly random means that each unique ...

**2**

votes

**3**answers

137 views

### Conformal invariance of Brownian motion in higher dimensions

We know for planar Brownian motion, that conformal maps composed with Brownian motion are also Brownian motion (preserve distribution).
Does it follow for higher dimensions?
I think it follows for ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

51 views

### Almost sure transversality of smooth random maps

I still am novice as far as probability is concerned and after fruitlessly Googling for an answer for a few days I thought I might have a better chance with MO.
Let me first formulate the ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

106 views

### Residual lifetime of heavy-tailed random variable

The residual life time distribution of a random variable $X$ with distribution function $F$ is given by the formula
\begin{equation}R(t)=P[X_\text{res}\leq t] = ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

92 views

### Reference request: density of $C_c^{\infty}(\mathbb R^d)$ in $L^2(\mathbb R^d,d\rho)$

My question is motivated by an optimal transportation approach to PDE's and gradient flows in metric spaces (see e.g Otto's geometry of dissipative evolution equations: the porous media equation and ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

105 views

### Nontransitive dice

In the wikipedia article https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nontransitive_dice it is claimed that " The set of nontransitive dice were investigated by the Latvian computer scientist and mathematician ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

63 views

### Dominating Poisson with parameter depending on a Bernoulli

Fix $\mu >0$ and take $\lambda \geq 0$. Let $B_p \sim \text{Ber}(p)$ with $p = \exp(-\mu - \frac{\lambda}2) $. Define the random variable $Y$ which is Poisson with parameter depending on the value ...

**3**

votes

**3**answers

219 views

### Do regular conditional distributions almost surely assign trivial measure to all members of the conditioning $\sigma$-algebra?

Let $(X,\Sigma)$ be a standard measurable space, let $\rho$ be a probability measure on $(X,\Sigma)$, and let $\mathcal{E}$ be a sub-$\sigma$-algebra of $\Sigma$. We will say that a stochastic kernel ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

48 views

### Sets Closed under Stochastic Dominance Ordering

I'm working on a problem involving stochastic dominance and ``minimums'' of sets of random variables.
For concreteness, consider two distributions with cdfs $F(x)$ and $G(x)$. We say that $F$ ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

74 views

### Reference request: Stochastic integration and martingale theory on the whole real line

I'm looking for a thorough treatment of stochastic integration and/or martingale theory on the whole real line, i.e. a way to construct a Brownian motion $(B_s)_{s \in \mathbb{R}}$ (if a two-sided BM ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

106 views

### Invertibility of random Vandermonde matrix

Let $\kappa, d \in\mathbb{N}$ and $f$ is a uniform probability measure on $\mathcal{D} = \left[-1,1\right]^{\kappa}$. In addition, let
\begin{equation*}
p = p\left(\kappa,d\right) := ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

43 views

### Tail Bounds for the minimum value of a function

Consider y to be the minimum value of an objective function over some subspace. More specifically
$y= \min_x \|e+Bx\|_\infty \quad s.t. \quad x\in \mathcal{S}$
where $e$ is a known vector, $B$ is a ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

143 views

### Bounds on the moments of the binomial distribution

I'm looking for simple and reasonably tight bounds on the k-th moment of the Binomial distribution $B(n,p)$, namely, $E[B(n,p)^k]$. I'm interested in the case when k is large (say on the order of ...