**3**

votes

**1**answer

72 views

### Uniform convergence of 2-norm of a multinomial vector

Let $(X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_k)$ be distributed according to a multinomial distribution with parameters $(n;p_1,p_2,\ldots, p_k),$ i.e.
$$P(X_1=n_1,\ldots,X_k=n_k) = {n\choose n_1,n_2,\ldots,n_k} ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

40 views

### methods to analyze martingale conditioned on return in the future

Consider a martingale $S_t$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ starting from 0. Assume that for any $t$, $Var[s_t\, | \, \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] < V$, where $V$ is some positive constant. Fix an $n$ and for $t \leq n$, ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

226 views

### Extension of Dynkin's formula, conclude that process is a martingale

This question was asked here, but it did not get enough attention, so I'm crossposting it to MO.
Let $u: \mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded $C^2$ function whose first and second partial ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

65 views

### Concluding that the Poisson kernel is indeed the Cauchy distribution?

See here.
Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

88 views

### Between arithmetic and geometric Brownian motions: when are negative values possible?

Please note edits after original post changing the specific form of the setup
Let's say we have a stochastic differential equation:
$$
\mathrm{d}S_t = |S^\beta| {(\mu \mathrm{d}t + ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

61 views

### Poisson kernel, follow-up question, follows that process $\left\{e^{i\theta X_t - \theta Y_t}\right\}$ is a martingale? [closed]

See here.
Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. For any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

88 views

### Convergence of a test statistic

I'm reading a paper of Shao and Zhang:
Testing for Change Points in Time series.
In this paper they claim the following:
The are testing whether there is a change in the mean of a time series. So
...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

71 views

### Better alternative to solve quadratic programming for large matrices

I have the following problem. Let's say we have $x_{jk}$ it is an expression value of gene $j$ in a sample $k$. It is the average of expression levels across the cell types $s_{ij}$, weighted by ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

113 views

### Poisson kernel, expectation, an absolute value comes in

See here.
Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

104 views

### Poisson kernel, $E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{i\theta X_t - \theta Y_t\} = e^{i\theta x - \theta y}$

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. How do I see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

65 views

### An asymptotic set containment problem [closed]

Given a set of $n\in\Bbb N$ integers $\mathcal S$, suppose we choose two sets:
$$\mathcal S_{\mathsf{small}}\subseteq\mathcal S$$
$$\mathcal S_{\mathsf{big}}\subseteq\mathcal S$$ with cardinalities
...

**6**

votes

**1**answer

260 views

### In the plane, does complement of Brownian path have infinitely many connected components?

Let $d = 2$. Do we have that with $P_x$—probability $1$, for every $T> 0$ the complement $W[0, T]^c$ of the Brownian path up to time $T$ has infinitely many connected components?
I had seen this ...

**7**

votes

**2**answers

230 views

### Distribution of $\max_{n \ge 0} S_n$, random walk

Say we have a random walk that is a nearest neighbor random walk on the integers where at each step the probability of moving one step to the right is $p$ and the probability of moving one step to the ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

101 views

### Is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane almost surely?

Let $d = 2$. With probability $1$, is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane?

**2**

votes

**1**answer

114 views

### Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution, reference?

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Can someone give me a reference to a proof that the Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution?

**13**

votes

**0**answers

509 views

### Apparent disparity between the results of two papers (nearest neighbours)

This is a follow up question this one on MSE, which can basically be summarised as Robert Abilock originally posed in American Monthly in 1967:
The Rifle-Problem:
$n$ riflemen are distributed at ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

111 views

### Brownian motion, “increase interval”, exists constants, bound,

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $J(j, n) = [j/n, (j+1)/n]$. We will call $J(j, n)$ an increase interval if$$B_s \le B_t,\text{ }0 \le s \le {j\over{n}},\text{ }{{j+1}\over{n}} \le t \le ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

212 views

### Does every smooth manifold carry a gaussian random field?

Let $M$ be an arbitrary finite-dimensional smooth manifold. For simplicity, let's assume that $M$ has no boundary. Does there always exist a gaussian random field with constant variance on $M$? If ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

88 views

### A generalized Ballot theorem

Let $\{X_n\}_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$ be i.i.d. real random variables with $\mathbb{E}[X_i] = \mu \in \mathbb{R}$. Let $S_n = X_1 + X_2 + \cdots + X_n$.
Let $\nu \leq \mu$ be such that $\mathbb{P}[S_n ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

190 views

### Brownian motion, crossing intervals, possible usage of second moment method?

This is a followup to my question here.
Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $E_{j, n}$ denote the event$$\left\{B_t = 0 \text{ for some }{{j-1}\over{2^n}} \le t \le ...

**5**

votes

**2**answers

144 views

### Recurrence of Poisson binomial distributed random walk

Let $X_n$ be the outcome of a Bernoulli trial where the probability of getting 1 is $p_n$ and the probability of getting 0 is $1-p_n$, and let $S_n = \sum_{i=1}^n \left(X_i - \textrm{E} X_i \right)$. ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

102 views

### regularity of zero point

We consider 1-d process $X$
$$ X(t) = b t + J_{t} + M_{t}$$
where $b$ is constant, $M$ is a continuous martingale process with
$M(0) = 0$, and
$J$ is a symmestric $\alpha$-stable process with its ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

67 views

### Probability of paths to the boundary of a tree

Let $G_n$ be the $4$-regular tree of depth $n$, that is to say the finite graph given by the ball of radius $n$ in the Cayley graph of the free group on two generators. By the root I mean the vertex ...

**11**

votes

**4**answers

401 views

### Number of intervals needed to cross, Brownian motion

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $E_{j, n}$ denote the event$$\left\{B_t = 0 \text{ for some }{{j-1}\over{2^n}} \le t \le {j\over{2^n}}\right\},$$and let$$K_n = \sum_{j = 2^n + 1}^{2^{2n}} ...

**7**

votes

**3**answers

674 views

### Sum of inverse of multinomial coefficients

Find an asymptotically tight estimate for the sum
$$
A_n^{k}(\lambda)= \sum_{
\substack{a_i\geq \lambda_i
\\
a_1+a_2+\dots a_k=n
}} \prod_{i=1}^k a_i!
$$
Is the leading term going to be
...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

28 views

### maximum for a nonstationary Markov Chain

Let $\{X_j\}$ be a nonstationary Markov Chain with transition matrix $P$.
What is a relation between
$P(M_{1:n} \leq x)\quad \text{and}\quad P(M_{1:T} \leq x), \quad P(M_{T:n} \leq x)$
where $M_{k:n} ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

133 views

### If $X∼F_1$, $Y∼F_2$, under what conditions on $F_1$, $F_2$ can we construct $Y=E(X\mid\mathscr{G})$ for some $\mathscr{G}$?

Suppose that we have distributions $F_1 $ and $F_2$. Under what conditions on $F_1,F_2$ is it possible to construct random variables $X\sim F_1,Y\sim F_2$ such that $Y=E(X|\mathscr{G})$, that is, $Y$ ...

**6**

votes

**2**answers

115 views

### For which $r > 0$ is it the case with probability one, for all $n$ sufficiently large $M_n \le r\sqrt{\log n}$?

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let$$M_n = \max\{|B_t - B_{n-1}| : n - 1 \le t \le n\}.$$For which $r > 0$ is it the case with probability one, for all $n$ sufficiently large$$M_n \le ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

69 views

### Is conditional expectation with respect to two sigma algebra exchangeable?

$(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ is a probability space. $X$ is a r.v. defined on it, and $\mathcal{G}_1, \mathcal{G}_2$ are two $\sigma$-algebra, can we claim the following:
$$
...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

102 views

### Large deviations for sums of random variables whose correlation function decays exponentially

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_N$ be a string random variables taking values $X_i \in [-1,1]$ and jointly distributed according $P(X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_{N-1}, X_N)$, which is invariant under cyclic permutations ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

75 views

### Finding closest set of K disjoint hyperspheres to a point in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with uniform radius

I am interested in the following problem: in $\mathbb{R}^n$, we have $N$ overlapping hyperspheres all with the same radius. Given a point $p$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$, the objective is to find the $K$ non ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

87 views

### Intuitive (?) inequality extremal inequality

Consider $N$ pairs of random variables $(X_i, Y_i)$. $X_i$ are iid, with $EX_i=0$ and $EX_i^2=1$. The same conditions hold for $Y_i$. Moreover all $X_i$ are independent of all $Y_j$. It seems very ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

140 views

### Density of Gaussian measures on Banach spaces

I am trying to get my head around this question and was reading (1) which states the same a little bit more general:
Let $X$ be a separable Banach space and $X^*$ the dual space. The mean
value ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

65 views

### Maximize mutual information

Assume $P \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$ describe the joint distribution of the random variable $J$ over the finite set $\mathcal{X}\times \mathcal{X} $.
I am interested in finding a right stochastic ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

285 views

### Doob Martingale: Where is the catch?

I am working on a research problem in uncertainty propagation that involves sums of possibly dependent random variables with bounded sets of support.
I am attempting to use the method of bounded ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

97 views

### Discrete random walk with uniformly distributed transition p, set initially

I've been working on a discrete version of the "unreliable friend" distribution. It would seem that what I've come up with is equivalent to the following random walk:
Choose $p$ from $U(0,1)$
Start ...

**0**

votes

**2**answers

121 views

### Non-normality of limit of random variables

I have encounter the following difficulty in the study of limits of random variables. Assume that $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of real-valued random variables such that
...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

49 views

### Construct a sequence of i.i.d random variables with a given distribution function, diagonalization? [closed]

Assume we have a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $X_1, X_2, \dots,$ on a probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ with$$P(X_n = 1) = P(X_n = -1) = {1\over2}.$$Given a distribution function ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

147 views

### limit and combinatorics

Given $x \in (0,\frac{1}{2})$ and $y \in (0,\frac{1}{2}]$, what is the value of the following limit:
$\lim_{n\rightarrow \infty}\sum_{k=0}^{n}{n \choose k}|x^{n-k}(1-x)^{k}-y^{n-k}(1-y)^{k}|?$
When ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

113 views

### Stopping time sigma-fields

Let $(F_n)$ be a discrete Filtration and $S_n,S$ (not necessarily finite) stopping times with $S_n\uparrow S$ (increasing convergence).
Is it true that the associated sigma-fields satisfy ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

79 views

### Weak convergence of random variables in $L^2$ and vague convergence

Dumb question: Let $X_n:\Omega \to \mathbf{R}$ be a sequence of $L^2(\Omega,\Sigma,\mathbf{P})$ random variables that has a weak limit $X$ in $L^2$.
Suppose also that $\mu_n$, the distributions of ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

68 views

### What statistical data/quantities are known about the time spent by a generic orbit of an ergodic system in a fixed set?

By the ergodic theorem, we know that for almost every point, the average time spent by an orbit in a set is equal to the relative measure of that set.
What other information about that time can we ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

193 views

### Brownian motion, quadratic variation, existence of partitions?

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Does there with probability one exist a sequence of partitions $\{t_{k, n} : k = 0, 1, \dots, k_n\}$ $$0 = t_{0, n} < t_{1, n} < \dots < t_{k_n, n} = ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

101 views

### McDiarmid-like inequality for subgassian random variables

Let $X_n$ be a set of $N$ subgaussian random variables, not necessarily independent, with $E\exp(\lambda X_n) \le \exp(\lambda^2/2)$. Let $X=(X_1,\ldots, X_N)$ and $f:\mathbb R^N \rightarrow \mathbb ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

118 views

### Standard Brownian motion, Hölder continuous with exponent $\gamma$ for any $\gamma < 1/2$, not for any $\gamma \ge 1/2$

In some results on Hölder continuity with regards to standard Brownian motion, the following is asserted without proof.
It is not hard to see that for every $k < \infty$, and every $\epsilon ...

**3**

votes

**2**answers

117 views

### Deduce average order of $\phi(n)/n$ from probability that two integers are coprime

I've seen proofs of the fact that the probability of two random integers being coprime is $\frac{6}{\pi^2}$ (all of them leading to a use of the Riemann Zeta function and the Basel problem). In ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

212 views

### Can we recover a topological space from the collection of Borel probability measures living on it?

Let $(X, \tau)$ be a topological space, and $\mathcal{P}(X, \tau)$ be the Borel probability measures living on $X$. Can we recover $(X, \tau)$ from $\mathcal{P}(X, \tau)$?

**9**

votes

**1**answer

188 views

### Normal approximation of tail probability in binomial distribution

My problem: From the Berry--Esseen theorem I know, that $$\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|P(B_n \le x)-\Phi(x)|=O\left(\frac 1{\sqrt n}\right),$$ where $B_n$ has the standardized binomial distribution and $\Phi$ ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

72 views

### Which self-reference restrictions can be weakened in probabilstic logic?

This work suggests that there is some generalization of Truth in terms of probability, which can be definable within the logic itself.
Is where any other thorems on self-reference restrictions, which ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

80 views

### Existence of free operators, independent and with given distributions

Excuse me if the question is not appropriate for Mathoverflow. I havs asked it in math.stackexchange, but did not get any response. And so, I dared to put it here. I am trying to learn free ...