**-2**

votes

**0**answers

24 views

### Independent and Dependent Variables [on hold]

Hi guys i have a question regarding independent and dependent variables.
Provide an example that shows the variance of the sum of two random variables is not
necessarily equal to the sum of their ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

128 views

### A moment problem

Suppose $X, Y$ are two positive random variables such that $\mathbb{E}[X^\alpha] = \mathbb{E}[Y^\alpha]$ for all $\alpha \in (0, 1/2)$.
It is also known that the first moment exists for each of them, ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

137 views

### A variant of random walk

Standard random walk assumes a sequence of iid RVs $\{X_i\}_{i\geq 0}$ and studied the distribution of $S_n=\sum_{i=0}^n X_i$.
Here, I am wondering whether there is some work on
$T_n=\sum_{i=0}^n ...

**9**

votes

**0**answers

99 views

### Self-avoiding random walks that always turn

I am wondering if the statistics of self-avoiding random lattice-walks
on $\mathbb{Z}^2$
that turn left or right at each step (i.e., they cannot continue the
direction of the preceding step) have been ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

27 views

### Bounding correlation between blocks of Gaussian stationary process

Let $X_n$ be a stationary Gaussian process with covariance function $\gamma(n)=\mathrm{Cov}[X(n),X(0)]$. Let $\mathbf{X}_p^q=(X_p,\ldots,X_q)$, $s_n^2=\mathrm{Var}(X_1+\ldots+X_n)$, and ...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

300 views

### Primes as uncorrelated random variables [on hold]

The heuristic justification section of the Wikipedia article about Goldbach's conjecture says that the argument that suggests that
the number of twin primes below $x$ should be roughly ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

33 views

### Quadratic variation and predictable quadratic variation for martingales

Let $(M_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale with respect to the filtration $(\mathcal{F}_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$.
Fix $N$ and consider now a discrete version of this martingale, i.e., the ...

**9**

votes

**4**answers

416 views

### Rate of convergence in the Law of Large Numbers

I'm working on a problem where I need information on the size of $E_n=|S_n-n\mu|$, where $S_n=X_1+\ldots+X_n$ is a sum of i.i.d. random variables and $\mu=\mathbb EX_1$. For this to make sense, the ...

**38**

votes

**3**answers

1k views

### When has the Borel-Cantelli heuristic been wrong?

The Borel-Cantelli lemma is very frequently used to give a heuristic for whether or not certain statements in number theory are true.
For example, it gives some evidence that there are finitely many ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

85 views

### Push-forward of sum of two maps

Let $X=R^n$ and $Y=R^m$ are two Euclidean spaces with $m<n$. Let $\varphi$ and $\phi$ are two (smooth) maps from $X$ to $Y$ and $\mu$ is a probability measure on $X$. Is there any relationship ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

116 views

### Area enclosed by Brownian motion (without winding number)

The question Average Value of Area Closed by Brownian Motion turned out to be about the Lévy area process, which measures "signed area with multiplicity" enclosed by Brownian motion (e.g. each ...

**7**

votes

**1**answer

105 views

### Is there a Degenerate Dependency Local Lemma?

The Lovasz Local Lemma has several generalizations, with names usually starting with L, such as Lopsided or Lefthanded.
Here I ask whether another possible generalization (for which I could not yet ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

44 views

### A Generalized Version of Maximal Correlation and Hypercontractivity of Conditional Expectation Operator

Given a pair of random variables $(X,Y)$ over a product space $\mathcal{X}\times \mathcal{Y}$, the maximal correlation coefficient is defined as
...

**7**

votes

**0**answers

159 views

### Samuel Karlin's problem: Probability of positive solution to system of random linear equations

I came to know this problem from Dr. W. Bryc's slides (at University of Cincinnati), and I have been continually working on this problem for almost 5 days using different techniques. But I am only ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

44 views

### Bounds on number of distinct substrings

I have a table with $r$ rows of length $\ell$, with each cell containing a letter from an alphabet $A$ of length $a$. I'm trying to determine the expected number of distinct strings of length $k$ ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

54 views

### Mixture with varying concentrations

Let $(\Omega ,\mathcal F, \mathbb P)$ be a probability space and suppose $$\mathbb P(X \in A) = H(A) = \prod _{i=1}^m H_i(A),\quad \forall A\in \mathcal F$$ be a distribution of a random vector $X = ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

11 views

### A mix between the Horvitz-Thompson and ordinary estimator

I have two samples: unbiased $X$ with $N_1$ elements and biased $Y$ with $N_2$ elements from some distribution (let it be F = ChiDistribution(1) if needed, $N_1=N_2=50$).
Elements of $Y$ are picked ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

147 views

### Is there an analytic solution for this partial differential equation?

The Fokker-Planck equation for a probability distribution $P(\theta,t)$:
\begin{align}
\frac{\partial P(\theta,t)}{\partial ...

**2**

votes

**4**answers

266 views

### Higher Moments, what are they good for? [closed]

Absolutely nothing?
And now seriously - When I studied the basics of probability theory, and even in more advanced topics (random walks, stochastic processes, etc.), I always felt that the mean and ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

115 views

### Hitting probabilities for conditioned oriented random walk monotonic?

Consider an oriented random walk on $\mathbb Z^2$ (i.e. only steps $\rightarrow$ and $\uparrow$ with equal probability.) Say we let the walk go $2m$ steps then start guessing sites at distance $2m$ ...

**-1**

votes

**1**answer

80 views

### Probability that Random walkers meet [closed]

I was wondering about a question about Random Walks. I came across various papers where the probability of 2 random walkers in 1 dimension and 2 dimension starting at the same point and returning to ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

78 views

### Criterion for weak convergence of probability measures on S' or D'

Let $X_n$ in $S'$ and $\mu_n$, $\mu$ in $M(S')$. $S'$ is the space of tempered distributions. I'm looking for a reference that says if $< f, X_n >$ converges in distribution to $< f,X>$ ...

**-3**

votes

**0**answers

55 views

### Probability: Shouldn't the only two possible outcomes add up to a probability of 1? [closed]

I am learning the basics of probability as a part of the "Concepts of Intelligent Technologies" module at my university.
While reading our study book, Artificial Intelligence (Negnevitsky, 2011), I ...

**-1**

votes

**0**answers

37 views

### Expected value Gaussian distribution [closed]

I'm wondering if there is a way to solve this equation, I'm kinda lost here. Could anyone point me in the right direction, please ? The equation is
\begin{equation}
\sum_{i=1}^N x_i e^{-d(x_i,D)^2} = ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

63 views

### Implication of MGF inequality

Let X and Y be two random variables. Denote by $F_X(x)$ and $F_Y(y)$ their CDFs and by $M_X(t)$ and $M_Y(t)$ their MGFs.
It is known that X and Y have the same CDF iff they have the same MGF.
My ...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

103 views

### Do all positive distributions on $N$ variables factor pairwise?

The Hammersley-Clifford theorem says that any positive probability distribution satisfies one of the Markov properties with respect to an undirected graph G if and only if its density can be ...

**9**

votes

**1**answer

195 views

### a question on 0-1 valued stochastic process

Here's a question on probability theory from a layman (I'm a game theorist). It is very likely that the question will be a straightforward matter for someone who is a probability theorist. I guess I'm ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

111 views

### Elementary function relative to erf

The modified Bessel function of the 1st kind $I_0$ is defined by
$$
I_0(z)=\frac1\pi\int_0^{2\pi}e^{z\cos\theta}\,d\theta
$$
and arises, among other places, in the probability density function of a ...

**11**

votes

**0**answers

276 views

### Transitivity of balanced mass transport in Z

Given two atomic measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb{Z}$, write $\mu \sim \nu$ iff there exist countable decompositions $\mu = \mu_1 + \mu_2 + \cdots$ and $\nu = \nu_1 + \nu_2 + \cdots$ along with ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

94 views

### Variant of Skorokhod's theorem

Consider the following situation:
$S, T$ are standard Borel spaces (say $S = [0,1]^k$, $T = [0,1]$ if it is helpful).
There is a a random variable $\zeta: \Omega \to S$.
$f_n(\zeta) \to^d \eta$, ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

38 views

### Smallest Singular Value of a Random Matrix with Dependent Entries

Overview
I am trying to bound from below the smallest singular value $\sigma_{n}$ of a sequence of symmetric $n$ by $n$ random matrices $M_{n}$ with dependant entries. In particular, I would like to ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

103 views

### Weak convergence of probability measures on weak versus strong dual

The space of temperate distributions $S'(\mathbb{R}^d)$ is often equipped with the weak-$\ast$ or with the strong topology. When defining the notion of a probability measure on $S'(\mathbb{R}^d)$, ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

147 views

### Squaring random Schwartz distributions

Let $\mu$ denote the centered Gaussian measure on $S'(\mathbb{R}^d)$ with covariance
$$
\mathbb{E}
[\phi(f)\phi(g)]=\int_{\mathbb{R}^d} \frac{\overline{\widehat{f}(\xi)}
...

**6**

votes

**2**answers

119 views

### Tail sigma-algebra of a branching random walk

I am looking for any known results about the tail sigma-algebra of a branching random walk. To be specific, let $T$ be the nodes of an infinite binary tree rooted at $r \in T$. Let $\{X_t\})_{t \in ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

106 views

### Estimating the distribution of minimal hamming distances within a set of strings?

Is their an efficient mathematical way to estimate the distribution of minimal hamming distances for a set of random strings of length 8 over a 4-letter alphabet? E.g. given a set of 100-10,000 ...

**12**

votes

**2**answers

373 views

### The power of two random choices with pairwise independence

Throw $n$ balls into $n$ bins, and let $X_n$ be the max load. That is the number of balls in the fullest bin. It is known that if the balls are thrown uniformly and independently at random then ...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

106 views

### Probability Content of a random ball in R^n

As a follow up to this question, concerning this paper:
Given random variables $X_1,\ldots,X_N,X_q:\Omega\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^d$, where $X_1,\ldots,X_N$ are independent and identical distributed. ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

278 views

### Transitive closure of balanced mass transport in Z (move to close)

Given two atomic measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb{Z}$, write $\mu \sim \nu$ iff there exist countable decompositions $\mu = \mu_1 + \mu_2 + \cdots$ and $\nu = \nu_1 + \nu_2 + \cdots$ along with ...

**12**

votes

**1**answer

383 views

### Natural probability on integers

This is a follow-up to this classical question asked recently here: we know (e.g. using the second Borel-Cantelli Lemma) that no probability measure on $\mathbb{Z}$ has the property that $n\mathbb{Z}$ ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

63 views

### Upper bound involving random orthogonal projection

Let $R$ be an $n\times N$ random matrix with i.i.d. standard Gaussian entries, $n<N$, and let $M:=(RR^T)^{-1/2}R$. Let $u,v\in \mathbb{R}^N$ non-random and s.t. $u^Tv=0$ and $\|u\|>\|v\|$.
I ...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

73 views

### Moment problem for discrete distributions

Let $x_1, \dots, x_N \in \mathbb R$ and consider the discrete distribution $\mu := \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^N \delta_{x_i}$, where $\delta_x$ denotes the Dirac measure, i.e. for any measurable set $B ...

**16**

votes

**3**answers

566 views

### Existence of a “quasi-uniform” probablility distribution on $\mathbb{Z}$

Does there exist a probability distribution on $\mathbb{Z}$ such that
for every integer $n\geq 1$, the probability that a random integer $x$
is divisible by $n$ equals $1/n$?
Henry Cohn has an ...

**-1**

votes

**1**answer

101 views

### If $(X_n+Y_n)$ has bounded variance, is the same true for $(X_n)$ and $(Y_n)$? [closed]

let $(X_n)$ and $(Y_n)$ be two sequences of random variables defined on the same probability space such that the variance of all components $X_n$, $Y_n$ is finite and the sequence of variances of ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

62 views

### Does the expected spreading of sample paths imply increase in variance?

Consider a sample-continuous stochastic process $\left\{ X_t \right\}_{t \in T}$ s.t. each $X_t$ is real-valued and $$\int_\Omega | X_t(\omega) | ^p \, \mathrm{d} P(\omega)< \infty$$ for all $1 ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

76 views

### Projective family of probability spaces

This is a crosspost of this question from MSE.
I'm confused about the definition of a projective family of probability spaces $(S_t,\mathscr S _t,\mu_t,f_{ts})_{s,t\in T}$. The conditions
...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

71 views

### Converse for Levy's continuity theorem

Levy's continuity theorem states that, for a sequence of random variables $\{X_n\}$ with characteristic functions $\{\varphi_n(t)\}$ and a random variable $X$ with a characteristic function ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

81 views

### Rate of convergence of Bayesian posterior

Suppose a data generating process (DGP) is parameterized by some unknown parameter $\theta_0$, say $P_{\theta_0}$, and we want to estimate the value of $\theta_0$ using Bayesian method. Let ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

91 views

### Finding joint probability from double marginals

Consider three probability distributions in the form $p_1(y,z),p_2(x,z),p_3(x,y)$.
When does a global joint probability $p(x,y,z)$ (possibly not unique) exist?
The first compatibility condition to ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

47 views

### Concentration of measure for uniform distribution on Stiefel manifolds

This is my first post on MO, so I hope the question is suitable. I am looking at the uniform distribution on the Stiefel manifold, but more specifically, at the uniform distribution on the ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

179 views

### Average probability that a random cosine polynomial with bernoulli coefficients is small

Let $P_{n}(t)=\sum_{k=0}^{n}\varepsilon_{k}\cos(kt)$ where $\varepsilon_{i}$ are independent random variables taking values in $\left\{-1,1\right\}$ with equal probability. Is is true that for any ...