The martingales tag has no usage guidance.

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votes

**1**answer

2k views

### Martingales in both discrete and continuous setting

I am wondering, polynomials like
$S_n^4-6n S_n^2+3n^2+2n$ for $$S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n{X_i}$$ where $$\mathbb{P}(X_i=1)=\mathbb{P}(X_i=-1)=\frac{1}{2}$$ is a martingale (under the conventional filtration). ...

**11**

votes

**5**answers

3k views

### Brownian motion, martingales, Markov Chains - Rosetta Stone

What are the most
fundamental/useful/interesting ways in
which the concepts of Brownian motion,
martingales and markov chains are
related?
I'm a graduate student doing a crash course in ...

**11**

votes

**0**answers

164 views

### Savings property: A transformation which turns nonnegative martingales into uniformly integrable ones

Background
I work in a subfield of computability theory called algorithmic randomness. We have been using martingales as long as probability theory (going back to work of von Mises). However, since ...

**10**

votes

**1**answer

863 views

### Hardy spaces: analysis <---> martingales

Let $H^p$ be the Hardy space of analytic functions on the open unit disk $\mathbb{D}$: $f \in H^p$ if $f$ is analytic on $\mathbb{D}$ and $\sup_{r < 1} \int_0^{2\pi} |f(re^{i\theta})|^p d\theta ...

**9**

votes

**2**answers

625 views

### Is this ergodic inequality true?

Is anything similar to the following inequality true,
$\displaystyle P\{\max_{n \leq k \leq m} |A_k f - A_n f| > \epsilon\} \leq C \frac{||A_m f - A_n f||_1}{\epsilon}$
where $A_n f = ...

**9**

votes

**2**answers

312 views

### Adaptive version of the Azuma–Hoeffding inequality

The Azuma inequality states that if we have a martingale $X_1,\ldots,X_N$ that satisfies a bounded difference condition:
$$|X_k - X_{k-1}| \leq c_k$$
Then:
$$\Pr\left[X_N - X_0 \geq \sqrt{2\sum_kc_k^2 ...

**9**

votes

**1**answer

361 views

### a question on 0-1 valued stochastic process

Here's a question on probability theory from a layman (I'm a game theorist). It is very likely that the question will be a straightforward matter for someone who is a probability theorist. I guess I'm ...

**8**

votes

**3**answers

845 views

### Compactness of the set of densities of equivalent martingale measures

Consider an incomplete market $(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)$ driven by a semimartingale $S=(S_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$. Under the no free lunch under vanishing risk (NFLVR) assumption, the set $\mathcal ...

**8**

votes

**5**answers

990 views

### Properties preserved under passage to augmented filtration

Dear all,
generally speaking, my question is about which properties of a stochastic process are preserved when I skip from the original to the augmented filtration.
Recall that if ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

374 views

### A generalization of Jensen's Inequality

Jensen's inequality is well known as
$$E\big[f(X)\big]\le f\big(E[X]\big)$$
where $X$ is a integrable random variable and $f: R\to R$ is a bounded concave function, see also ...

**8**

votes

**2**answers

809 views

### De Finetti's theorem, the pointwise ergodic theorem, and reverse martingales

De Finetti's theorem says that an exchangeable sequence of random variables $X_i$ is a mixture of i.i.d. random variables. In other words, if $\mu$ is a measure on $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ that is ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

268 views

### Extension of Dynkin's formula, conclude that process is a martingale

This question was asked here, but it did not get enough attention, so I'm crossposting it to MO.
Let $u: \mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded $C^2$ function whose first and second partial ...

**7**

votes

**2**answers

446 views

### Can every discrete martingale be embedded in a continuous martingale?

Let $(X_k)_{k=0,1,..., n}$ be a discrete martingale defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. I would like to know whether there exists a (continuous) martingale ...

**7**

votes

**3**answers

375 views

### Rosenthal like inequality for weak $\mathbb L^p$-norms

Let $p$ be a real number greater than $1$. It is well known (see Hall and Heyde's Martingale limit theory and its applications, Theorem 2.10) that there exists a constant $C_p$ such that if ...

**6**

votes

**1**answer

546 views

### Change of space-time in Walsh's stochastic integral

One can read about Walsh's construction of martingale integral in the paper (pp.16-23)
www.math.utah.edu/~davar/ps-pdf-files/SPDEBookDK.pdf
For $U,V\in \mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}^+), ...

**6**

votes

**0**answers

246 views

### Doob's inequality for martingale “convolution”

Let $(X_t, t \in \mathbb{N})$ be a martingale, and let $a \leq b \leq T \in \mathbb{N}$ be constants. Is there something like Doob's inequality for $\mathbb{E} \sup_{a \leq t \leq b} X_t(X_T-X_t)$, ...

**5**

votes

**2**answers

758 views

### Extension of the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality (when the differences are bounded with large probability)

Let $(X_i)$ be a super-martingale and suppose their differences are bounded ''with high probability'', that is
$$\mathbb{P}(\exists\,i=1,\dots,n\text{ s.t. }|X_i-X_{i-1}|>c_i) \,\leq\, \epsilon$$
...

**5**

votes

**2**answers

340 views

### What is the optimal growth of the constant in BDG?

Let $X$ be a continuous local martingale, and $\langle X \rangle$ be its quadratic variation process. The "standard" proof of Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequalities found in books yields $(\mathsf{E} ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

105 views

### Is it possible to prove concentration bounds from optional stopping theorem?

It is known that the optional stopping theorem from martingale theory is a very powerful theorem in probability theory in statistics.
I have heard of a probability course at Stanford where ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

341 views

### Stieltjes integrals of predictable processes

I am looking for a direct proof of the fact that, roughly speaking, if $S=S_0+A+M$ is an $L^2$ semimartingale, and $M$ (the martingale part) has the martingale representation property, then for any ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

305 views

### Quadratic variation and predictable quadratic variation for martingales

Let $(M_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale with respect to the filtration $(\mathcal{F}_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$. Assume that $E M_1^2<\infty$.
Fix $N$ and consider now a discrete version ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

175 views

### A note on Doob's theorem

I have faced the following problem, regarding to the Martingale Theory. Because this area far from my area I don't know whether this problem is in literature or this can be simple question for ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

115 views

### Reference request: Stochastic integration and martingale theory on the whole real line

I'm looking for a thorough treatment of stochastic integration and/or martingale theory on the whole real line, i.e. a way to construct a Brownian motion $(B_s)_{s \in \mathbb{R}}$ (if a two-sided BM ...

**4**

votes

**10**answers

3k views

### Best introduction to probability spaces, convergence, spectral analysis

I'm not sure if this stuff all falls under what most would just term "probability", but I'm researching applied macroeconomics and need to get a handle on the following concepts ASAP:
probability ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

204 views

### Reference request: Martingale decompositions (positive/negative and u.i./singular)

For a paper I am writing, I need these two facts. The proofs are fairly short, but I would rather just cite them. This is for martingales index by natural numbers. Also, I call a martingale which ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

234 views

### Probability of winding number of 2D Brownian Motion

Let $B_t$ be a 2D Brownian Motion with $B_0 = (1,0)$. Now, express $B_t$ in polars, that is, $B_t = (r(t), \theta(t))$. Let $\tau = \inf\{t > 0 : \theta(t) \geq 2 \pi \}$. What is $\mathbb{P}[\tau ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

454 views

### Path continuity for (closed) martingales?

Take a time interval $[0,T]$, and a filtered probability space $(\Omega,P,\mathcal{F},\mathcal{F}_t)$. If $X \in L^1(\mathcal{F}_T)$, then $M_t = E [X \ | \ \mathcal{F}_t]$ is a martingale. If I ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

997 views

### Distribution of running maximum of a local martingale

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P}, \mathcal{F}_t)$ be a given
probability space with usual conditions, on which $W$ is a standard
Brownian motion. For $x \ge 0$, consider
$$X(t) = x + \int_0^t ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

79 views

### $M_t = f(B_{t \wedge \tau}) + (t \wedge \tau)$ local martingale, $\textbf{E}^x[\tau] = f(x)?$

Suppose $D \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ is a domain and $f: \overline{D} \to \mathbb{R}$ is a continuous function, $C^2$ in $D$, satisfying$$f(x) = 0\text{ for }x\in \partial D,$$$${1\over2} \Delta f(x) = -1 ...

**4**

votes

**2**answers

265 views

### Examples of a continuous martingale with $E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]=\infty$?

A local martingale is a martingale iff it is in the class DL.
The condition: for every $t\in[0,\infty)$
$$E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]<\infty\tag1$$
guarantees a local martingale $M$ is ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

118 views

### concentration inequality for $d$-dimensional martingale

Are any concentration inequality available for $d$-dimensional martingale. It is easy to find such inequality using the inequalities for single dimension, but that will contain the dimension $d$ in ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

210 views

### Stochastic integration by parts to obtain Kailath Segall identity for iterated stochastic integrals?

If $(M_t)_{t \geq 0}$ is a continuous local martingale, one can define the iterated integrals $I_0=1$, $I_1(t)=M_t$ and for $n \geq 2$ $$I_{n}(t) = \int_0^t I_{n-1} (s) \mathrm{d} M_s.$$ By noting ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

335 views

### a $L^1$ convergence for backward martingale

I have a question which may be naive, but I can not find the related result in the classical reference such as "Foundations of Modern Probability" and "Probability"(Billingsley). So if someone knows ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

49 views

### Existence of martingales given some constraint on laws

Let $X=(X)_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale starting at $0$, then denote by $\mu$ and $\nu$ the probability laws of $\int_0^1X_t \mathrm{d}t$ and $X_1$. Then it is easy to see that the couple ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

220 views

### Some constants in Martingale Stein inequality

Dear all,
the following is a special case of Stein inequalities for martingales.
$\textbf{Theorem}$ Let $(\Omega, \mathbb{P})$ be a (standard) probability space equipped with a filtration of ...

**3**

votes

**4**answers

809 views

### Men in a bar - stoch. processes

Hello everyone,
I'm trying to solve a applied stochastic process problem and even the example is beautiful, I don't know how to approach it.
Here the problem:
10 men want to get out of a bar, they do ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

267 views

### Proof of Pinelis (1992) - Banach space inequalities

I am reading Pinelis "An approach to inequalities for the distributions of infinite -dimensional martingales" and cannot follow his proof of Theorem 3:
Let $(f_n)$ be a martingale in a separable ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

439 views

### Stochastic integrals as honest martingales — comparison criterion

We have a given positive martingale $\rho_t$, with the dynamics:
$$\textrm{d} \rho_t = \lambda_t \rho_t \textrm{d} W_t$$
where $W_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. Now we have a "dumped" process p_t:
...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

147 views

### Does martingale convergence hold for arbitrary time?

Let $\{\mathcal B_i:i\in I\}$ be a family of $\sigma$-algebras (over the same set $\Omega$) which are totally ordered by inclusion, in the sense that for any $i,j\in I$ either $\mathcal ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

578 views

### Stochastic integrals as honest martingales — exponential damping

We have a given positive martingale ρt, with the dynamics:
$$\textrm{d}\rho_t = \lambda_t \rho_t \textrm{d}W_t$$
where $W_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. Now we have an "exponentially dampened" ...

**3**

votes

**2**answers

887 views

### Is the truncated Brownian motion of the class DL?

Let $W$ be a standard Brownian motion under given probability space.
For a given constant $a$, $W^a$ is a truncated Brownian motion by stopping time
$T^a = \inf(t>0:W(t) = a)$. That is, $W^a(t) = ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

143 views

### Conditional Form of Rosenthal's Inequality

Rosenthal's Inequality as stated in the book "Martingale Limit Theory and Its Application" by Hall and Heyde states the following:
If $\{S_i, \mathcal{F}_i, 1\leq i \leq n\}$ is a martingale and ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

602 views

### Lower-semicomputable supermartingales with bounded increments

I'm interested in whether Levin and Solomonoff's results on "universal semimeasures" can be extended to other settings. One case that especially interests me is finding "universal" strategies in the ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

129 views

### Poisson kernel, expectation, an absolute value comes in

See here.
Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

324 views

### initial condition of a diffusion approximation

I am trying to prove that a certain sequence of Markov chains $x^N_k$ converges towards a diffusion process. The invariant measure of $x^N$ is $\pi^N$ and the Markov chain $x^N$ is started in ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

166 views

### Hitting time of two dimensional continuous martingale

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ be a probability space, on which $\mathcal{F}_t$ is filtration satisfying general conditions. $W_{t}=\left(W_{t}^{1},W_{t}^{2}\right)^{T}$ is a two dimensional Brownian ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

104 views

### Pointwise convergence of ergodic averages of unconventional conditional expectations

Let $(X_i,Y_i)_{i\in\mathbb{Z}}$ be a finite-valued stationary process whose $\sigma$-algebra of tail events is trivial. Let $\mathcal{F}_n^m$ be the $\sigma$-algebra generated by $X_n,\dots,X_m$ ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

226 views

### explicit characterization of the stochastic integrand

Let $V$ be a cadlag positive supermartingale with the following decomposition:
$$V_t=V_0+\int_0^tH_sdX_s-K_t$$
where $X$ is a cadlag local martingale and $K$ is an adapted increasing process with ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

129 views

### compactness of a probability set

I have a question about the compactness of a set of martingale measures. Let $\Omega=\mathcal{C}[0,1]$ be the space of continuous functions on $[0,1]$ and $\mathcal{M}_{\Omega}$ be the family of ...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

644 views

### Supermartingales and convergence

These feel like basic enough questions, but I don't know where to find the answer.
Let $X_1,X_2,X_3,\dots$ be a supermartingale such that $|X_{n+1} - X_n| < K$ for all $n$ ($K$ fixed). Does the ...