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2
votes
1answer
195 views

Question about the stochastic integral of martingales

Let $M=(M_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a continuous martingale defined on some filtered probability space taking values in $\mathbb{R}$. Let $H=(H_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be some bounded progressively measurable process, i.e....
1
vote
1answer
277 views

Supremum of a martingale

Let $(X_n)$ be a martingale. What can be said about the distribution of its maximum over a window of fixed length: $$M_n = \max_{n-10 \leq k \leq n} X_k$$ or about the "range" over a window: $$R_n = \...
0
votes
1answer
440 views

Supremum in a Markov chain model

A Markov chain $X$ with finite state space $\{1,2,\cdots,N\}$ is defined on a probability space $(\Omega, P, \mathcal{F})$ equiped with filtration $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$. And we assume that we can reach ...
11
votes
0answers
167 views

Savings property: A transformation which turns nonnegative martingales into uniformly integrable ones

Background I work in a subfield of computability theory called algorithmic randomness. We have been using martingales as long as probability theory (going back to work of von Mises). However, since ...
7
votes
0answers
57 views

Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ be i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which $$ ...
6
votes
0answers
259 views

Doob's inequality for martingale “convolution”

Let $(X_t, t \in \mathbb{N})$ be a martingale, and let $a \leq b \leq T \in \mathbb{N}$ be constants. Is there something like Doob's inequality for $\mathbb{E} \sup_{a \leq t \leq b} X_t(X_T-X_t)$, i....
5
votes
0answers
432 views

Quadratic variation and predictable quadratic variation for martingales

Let $(M_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale with respect to the filtration $(\mathcal{F}_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$. Assume that $E M_1^2<\infty$. Fix $N$ and consider now a discrete version ...
5
votes
0answers
190 views

A note on Doob's theorem

I have faced the following problem, regarding to the Martingale Theory. Because this area far from my area I don't know whether this problem is in literature or this can be simple question for ...
5
votes
0answers
124 views

Reference request: Stochastic integration and martingale theory on the whole real line

I'm looking for a thorough treatment of stochastic integration and/or martingale theory on the whole real line, i.e. a way to construct a Brownian motion $(B_s)_{s \in \mathbb{R}}$ (if a two-sided BM ...
4
votes
0answers
50 views

Existence of martingales given some constraint on laws

Let $X=(X)_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale starting at $0$, then denote by $\mu$ and $\nu$ the probability laws of $\int_0^1X_t \mathrm{d}t$ and $X_1$. Then it is easy to see that the couple ...
4
votes
0answers
230 views

Some constants in Martingale Stein inequality

Dear all, the following is a special case of Stein inequalities for martingales. $\textbf{Theorem}$ Let $(\Omega, \mathbb{P})$ be a (standard) probability space equipped with a filtration of ...
3
votes
0answers
191 views

Hitting time of two dimensional continuous martingale

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ be a probability space, on which $\mathcal{F}_t$ is filtration satisfying general conditions. $W_{t}=\left(W_{t}^{1},W_{t}^{2}\right)^{T}$ is a two dimensional Brownian ...
3
votes
0answers
106 views

Pointwise convergence of ergodic averages of unconventional conditional expectations

Let $(X_i,Y_i)_{i\in\mathbb{Z}}$ be a finite-valued stationary process whose $\sigma$-algebra of tail events is trivial. Let $\mathcal{F}_n^m$ be the $\sigma$-algebra generated by $X_n,\dots,X_m$ ($n,...
3
votes
0answers
131 views

compactness of a probability set

I have a question about the compactness of a set of martingale measures. Let $\Omega=\mathcal{C}[0,1]$ be the space of continuous functions on $[0,1]$ and $\mathcal{M}_{\Omega}$ be the family of ...
2
votes
0answers
49 views

Modify Process to a Semimartingale

The original post is from mathstackexchange According to some difficulties, i decided to ask here again. Given a filtered space $(\Omega, F,\mathcal{F}_{t})$ with rightcontinous filtration. We have a ...
2
votes
0answers
71 views

integrability of Brownian motion stopped at some stopping time

Let $B=(B_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion starting at zero and denote by $S=(S_t)_{t\ge 0}$ its running maximum, i.e. $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}B_s$. Given a fixed number $p>1$, define the ...
2
votes
0answers
65 views

Question about the characteristics of semimartingales

Let $D=D([0,1,R)$ be the space of cadlag (right-continuous with left limits) functions defined on [0,1] and $X:=(X_t)_{t\in [0,1]}$ be the canonical process on $D$, i.e. $X_t(x)=x(t)$ for all $x\in D$....
2
votes
0answers
96 views

A result on absolute mean of a stopped supermartingale

The reason of posting the following problem here is that I heard that it is a result from some paper. Let $(X_n, \mathscr{F_n}), n \geq 0$ be a super martingale and $T$ an $\{F_n\}$-stopping time a....
2
votes
0answers
97 views

weaker version of the martingale convergence theorem

Let $\mathcal{A}_n$ be a sequence of finite sigma-algebras, let $\mathcal{B}_{q,p}= \sigma(\mathcal{A}_n, q \geq n \geq p )$. Moreover, we suppose $\mathcal{A}_k \subset \mathcal{B}_{\infty,p}$ for ...
2
votes
0answers
106 views

a generalization of Monge-Kantorovich Problem

I am thinking about the martingale version of Monge-Kantorovich Problem. Let $\mu(x)$ and $\nu(y)$ denote two density laws on $\mathbb{R}$, and define $M(\mu,\nu)$ the set of densities $f(x,y)$ on $\...
2
votes
0answers
104 views

Supermartingale inequality on a particular event

Say, I have a supermartingale $Y_t$ with respect to the filtration $F_t$. Let $T$ and $S$ two stopping times greater than $t>0$ such that on the event $A$, $T>S$, then since $Y_t$ is a ...
1
vote
0answers
109 views

Does the martingale property holds after changing filtration?

Let $\Omega$ be the space of continuous real-valued functions $\omega=(\omega_t)_{t\ge 0}$ starting at zero, i.e. $\omega_0=0$. Let $\Lambda=\Omega\times \mathbb R_+$ and denote by $\lambda=(\omega,\...
1
vote
0answers
102 views

Strong law of large number for semimartingale

I just want to know if for semimartingale $X$ we have $\lim_{t \rightarrow \infty} \frac{X_{t}}{\langle X\rangle_{t}}=0$ or when it is possible. I know it is true for Brownian motion. Thanks
1
vote
0answers
94 views

Quadratic Variation of a Martingale in Hlibert Spaces

I'm looking at a Martingale (actually a Martingale difference sequence), $$ M_n = \sum \delta M_n, $$ and I'd like to prove something about convergence. If Martingale is Hilbert space valued (...
1
vote
0answers
126 views

Horizontal vs Vertical sides Exit from a Rectangle for simple symmetric Random Walk on $\textbf{Z}^{2}$

Consider simple symmetric random walk, $X_{n} = (X_{n}^{(1)}, X_{n}^{(2)})$ with $X_0= (0,0)$, on the 2 dimensional integer lattice, $\textbf{Z}^{2}$. Let $T_{M}, T_{N}$ be the smallest $n$ such ...
1
vote
0answers
63 views

question related to Tanaka Formulae

Supposse $X=(X_t)$ is a cadlag martingale taking values in $\mathbb{R}$. If $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ is a convex function, then we have Tanaka Formulae. Now let $g: \mathbb{R}_+\times\mathbb{R}\to\...
1
vote
0answers
51 views

a question about the modification of a supermartingale

Let $\mathbf{D}\subset\mathbf{D}([0,1],\mathbb{R}_+)$ denote the space of positive cadlag functions $\mathbf{x}$ defined on $[0,1]$ with $\mathbf{x}(0)=1$. Define the canonical process $$X_{t}(\...
1
vote
0answers
113 views

question about Doob-Meyer decomposition

Given a filtered probability space and let $X$ be a cadlag local martingale defined on this space. Let $V$ be a cadlag supermartingale and assume we know the following decomposition: $$V_t=V_0+\int_0^...
1
vote
0answers
267 views

asymptotic variance of sample autocorrelation of two iid random variables

I am trying to prove that the variance of the sample lag-1 autocorrelation $$\hat{\rho}=\frac{\sum_{t=1}^n(x_t-\bar{x})(x_{t-1}-\bar{x})}{\sum_{t=1}^n(x_{t-1}-\bar{x})^2}$$ for an i.i.d. R.V is ...
1
vote
0answers
436 views

Sufficient condition for local martingale property of stochastic integral

Is the following correct and/or a (simple) known result? Let $X$ be a local martingale and $H$ an integrand for $X$, such that the stochastic integral $\int H\cdot dX\ge x$ for some random variable. ...
1
vote
0answers
461 views

What conditions on a filtration guarantee that a (sub)martingale has a continuous modification?

There is a theorem as follows: Theorem. Let $\mathcal{F}_t$ be a filtration which is right-continuous and complete. Assume $M_t$ is a submartingale adapted to $\mathcal{F}_t$ such that $t \mapsto \...
1
vote
0answers
338 views

Change of Time in Stochastic Integral

Hi everyone, Let's be given $I(0,t)$ a Stochastic Integral with respect to a local martingale $ M_t$ of the form : $I(0,t)=\int_0^t h(s_-)dM_s$ with $h\in L(M)$ (for example $h$ is an adapted ...
0
votes
0answers
38 views

Quadratic characteristic and constancy

Consider a change of measure on $\mathcal{F}_{t}$ defined by the restriction of two probability measures of the form \begin{align} \frac{dQ_{t}(\theta)}{dP_{t}}=\exp^{ \theta A_{t}-\kappa(\theta) S_{t}...
0
votes
0answers
49 views

methods to analyze martingale conditioned on return in the future

Consider a martingale $S_t$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ starting from 0. Assume that for any $t$, $Var[s_t\, | \, \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] < V$, where $V$ is some positive constant. Fix an $n$ and for $t \leq n$, ...
0
votes
0answers
857 views

Is stopped brownian motion not a martingale ?

In page 45 of the book "Financial Derivatives In Theory and Practice by P.J.Hunt and J.E.Kennedy, it seems to me that the author says the stopped Brownian Motion is not a martingale as follows. (...