The martingales tag has no usage guidance.

**0**

votes

**1**answer

440 views

### Supremum in a Markov chain model

A Markov chain $X$ with finite state space $\{1,2,\cdots,N\}$ is defined on a probability space $(\Omega, P, \mathcal{F})$ equiped with filtration $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$. And we assume that we can reach ...

**7**

votes

**0**answers

57 views

### Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ be i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which
$$
...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

277 views

### Supremum of a martingale

Let $(X_n)$ be a martingale. What can be said about the distribution of its maximum over a window of fixed length:
$$M_n = \max_{n-10 \leq k \leq n} X_k$$ or about the "range" over a window:
$$R_n = \...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

102 views

### Strong law of large number for semimartingale

I just want to know if for semimartingale $X$ we have $\lim_{t \rightarrow \infty} \frac{X_{t}}{\langle X\rangle_{t}}=0$ or when it is possible. I know it is true for Brownian motion.
Thanks

**13**

votes

**1**answer

183 views

### Convergence of an implicitly defined sequence of random variables

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 1}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\lambda^*$. Consider a sequence of random variables $\{\hat{\lambda}_{n}\}_{n\ge 1}$ ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

38 views

### Quadratic characteristic and constancy

Consider a change of measure on $\mathcal{F}_{t}$ defined by the restriction of two probability measures of the form
\begin{align}
\frac{dQ_{t}(\theta)}{dP_{t}}=\exp^{ \theta A_{t}-\kappa(\theta) S_{t}...

**0**

votes

**1**answer

102 views

### Predictable quadratic Variation <.> has same intervals of constancy as the process

From
Revuz and Yor - Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion 1999
Chapter IV Proposition 1.13
it is proven, that for a continuous local martingale $M_t$ the intervals of ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

271 views

### Law of Large Numbers for Martingales

I apologize in advance if this question is too basic, but I've received no response on Math Stack Exchange, so perhaps it is more appropriate here:
Let $X_n$ be a square integrable martingale with $\...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

49 views

### Modify Process to a Semimartingale

The original post is from mathstackexchange
According to some difficulties, i decided to ask here again.
Given a filtered space $(\Omega, F,\mathcal{F}_{t})$ with rightcontinous filtration. We have a ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

94 views

### Tail inequality for orthomartingales/martingale difference random fields

It is known that if $(S_i= \sum_{j \leqslant i }X_i, \mathcal F_i)$ is a martingale,
then for each
$
\beta>1$, $\delta\in (0,\beta-1)$ and $\lambda>0$, and each integer $N \geqslant 1$, the ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

195 views

### Question about the stochastic integral of martingales

Let $M=(M_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a continuous martingale defined on some filtered probability space taking values in $\mathbb{R}$. Let $H=(H_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be some bounded progressively measurable process, i.e....

**8**

votes

**1**answer

286 views

### Berry-Esseen bound for martingale sequence with varying and dependent variances

Let $(X_{1},\ldots,X_{k},\ldots)$ be a martingale difference sequence, i.e.
$$
E[X_{k}|\mathcal{F}_{k-1}] = 0
$$
where $\mathcal{F}_{k-1}$ is the $\sigma$-algebra filtration at $k-1$.
Let $\sigma_{...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

239 views

### explicit characterization of the stochastic integrand

Let $V$ be a cadlag positive supermartingale with the following decomposition:
$$V_t=V_0+\int_0^tH_sdX_s-K_t$$
where $X$ is a cadlag local martingale and $K$ is an adapted increasing process with $...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

109 views

### Does the martingale property holds after changing filtration?

Let $\Omega$ be the space of continuous real-valued functions $\omega=(\omega_t)_{t\ge 0}$ starting at zero, i.e. $\omega_0=0$. Let $\Lambda=\Omega\times \mathbb R_+$ and denote by $\lambda=(\omega,\...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

82 views

### Compactness of cadlag martingales w.r.t. to the point-wise topology

Given a sequence of cadlag (right-continuous with left limits) martingales $X^n=(X^n_t)_{0\le t\le 1}$, we may use the well known criteria to determine whether it is weakly convergent, i.e. subtract a ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

812 views

### When is the limit of Martingales a Martingale?

I have a sequence of continuous time random variables $X_n(t)$ where $t \in [0,1]$. Suppose that there is a filtration $F_t$ such that for each $n$, $X_n$ is a martingale with respect to this ...

**9**

votes

**2**answers

353 views

### Adaptive version of the Azuma–Hoeffding inequality

The Azuma inequality states that if we have a martingale $X_1,\ldots,X_N$ that satisfies a bounded difference condition:
$$|X_k - X_{k-1}| \leq c_k$$
Then:
$$\Pr\left[X_N - X_0 \geq \sqrt{2\sum_kc_k^2 ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

125 views

### concentration inequality for $d$-dimensional martingale

Are any concentration inequality available for $d$-dimensional martingale. It is easy to find such inequality using the inequalities for single dimension, but that will contain the dimension $d$ in ...

**5**

votes

**2**answers

377 views

### What is the optimal growth of the constant in BDG?

Let $X$ be a continuous local martingale, and $\langle X \rangle$ be its quadratic variation process. The "standard" proof of Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequalities found in books yields $(\mathsf{E} |X|^...

**2**

votes

**2**answers

107 views

### A question about Skorokhod embedding problem

The Skorokhod Embedding Problem is well known and has many solutions. Now let $B=(B_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion and $\tau$ be an embedding to the centered distribution $\mu$, i.e. the ...

**9**

votes

**2**answers

638 views

### Is this ergodic inequality true?

Is anything similar to the following inequality true,
$\displaystyle P\{\max_{n \leq k \leq m} |A_k f - A_n f| > \epsilon\} \leq C \frac{||A_m f - A_n f||_1}{\epsilon}$
where $A_n f = \frac{\...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

592 views

### Stochastic integrals as honest martingales — exponential damping

We have a given positive martingale ρt, with the dynamics:
$$\textrm{d}\rho_t = \lambda_t \rho_t \textrm{d}W_t$$
where $W_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. Now we have an "exponentially dampened" ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

461 views

### Stochastic integrals as honest martingales — comparison criterion

We have a given positive martingale $\rho_t$, with the dynamics:
$$\textrm{d} \rho_t = \lambda_t \rho_t \textrm{d} W_t$$
where $W_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. Now we have a "dumped" process p_t:
$...

**10**

votes

**1**answer

304 views

### Extension of Dynkin's formula, conclude that process is a martingale

This question was asked here, but it did not get enough attention, so I'm crossposting it to MO.
Let $u: \mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded $C^2$ function whose first and second partial ...

**0**

votes

**0**answers

49 views

### methods to analyze martingale conditioned on return in the future

Consider a martingale $S_t$ on $\mathbb{Z}$ starting from 0. Assume that for any $t$, $Var[s_t\, | \, \mathcal{F}_{t-1}] < V$, where $V$ is some positive constant. Fix an $n$ and for $t \leq n$, ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

77 views

### Poisson kernel, follow-up question, follows that process $\left\{e^{i\theta X_t - \theta Y_t}\right\}$ is a martingale? [closed]

See here.
Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. For any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{i\...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

139 views

### Poisson kernel, expectation, an absolute value comes in

See here.
Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

132 views

### Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution, reference?

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Can someone give me a reference to a proof that the Poisson kernel is the Cauchy distribution?

**2**

votes

**0**answers

104 views

### Supermartingale inequality on a particular event

Say, I have a supermartingale $Y_t$ with respect to the filtration $F_t$. Let $T$ and $S$ two stopping times greater than $t>0$ such that on the event $A$, $T>S$, then since $Y_t$ is a ...

**8**

votes

**1**answer

421 views

### A generalization of Jensen's Inequality

Jensen's inequality is well known as
$$E\big[f(X)\big]\le f\big(E[X]\big)$$
where $X$ is a integrable random variable and $f: R\to R$ is a bounded concave function, see also http://en.wikipedia.org/...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

275 views

### Proof of Pinelis (1992) - Banach space inequalities

I am reading Pinelis "An approach to inequalities for the distributions of infinite -dimensional martingales" and cannot follow his proof of Theorem 3:
Let $(f_n)$ be a martingale in a separable ...

**4**

votes

**1**answer

84 views

### $M_t = f(B_{t \wedge \tau}) + (t \wedge \tau)$ local martingale, $\textbf{E}^x[\tau] = f(x)?$

Suppose $D \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ is a domain and $f: \overline{D} \to \mathbb{R}$ is a continuous function, $C^2$ in $D$, satisfying$$f(x) = 0\text{ for }x\in \partial D,$$$${1\over2} \Delta f(x) = -1 ...

**10**

votes

**1**answer

897 views

### Hardy spaces: analysis <---> martingales

Let $H^p$ be the Hardy space of analytic functions on the open unit disk $\mathbb{D}$: $f \in H^p$ if $f$ is analytic on $\mathbb{D}$ and $\sup_{r < 1} \int_0^{2\pi} |f(re^{i\theta})|^p d\theta <...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

71 views

### integrability of Brownian motion stopped at some stopping time

Let $B=(B_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion starting at zero and denote by $S=(S_t)_{t\ge 0}$ its running maximum, i.e. $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}B_s$. Given a fixed number $p>1$, define the ...

**4**

votes

**0**answers

50 views

### Existence of martingales given some constraint on laws

Let $X=(X)_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale starting at $0$, then denote by $\mu$ and $\nu$ the probability laws of $\int_0^1X_t \mathrm{d}t$ and $X_1$. Then it is easy to see that the couple ...

**5**

votes

**1**answer

110 views

### Is it possible to prove concentration bounds from optional stopping theorem?

It is known that the optional stopping theorem from martingale theory is a very powerful theorem in probability theory in statistics.
I have heard of a probability course at Stanford where ...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

94 views

### Quadratic Variation of a Martingale in Hlibert Spaces

I'm looking at a Martingale (actually a Martingale difference sequence),
$$
M_n = \sum \delta M_n,
$$
and I'd like to prove something about convergence. If Martingale is Hilbert space valued (...

**1**

vote

**0**answers

126 views

### Horizontal vs Vertical sides Exit from a Rectangle for simple symmetric Random Walk on $\textbf{Z}^{2}$

Consider simple symmetric random walk, $X_{n} = (X_{n}^{(1)}, X_{n}^{(2)})$ with $X_0= (0,0)$, on the 2 dimensional integer lattice, $\textbf{Z}^{2}$.
Let $T_{M}, T_{N}$ be the smallest $n$ such ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

432 views

### Quadratic variation and predictable quadratic variation for martingales

Let $(M_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continuous martingale with respect to the filtration $(\mathcal{F}_{t})_{0\le t\le 1}$. Assume that $E M_1^2<\infty$.
Fix $N$ and consider now a discrete version ...

**2**

votes

**0**answers

65 views

### Question about the characteristics of semimartingales

Let $D=D([0,1,R)$ be the space of cadlag (right-continuous with left limits) functions defined on [0,1] and $X:=(X_t)_{t\in [0,1]}$ be the canonical process on $D$, i.e. $X_t(x)=x(t)$ for all $x\in D$....

**4**

votes

**2**answers

281 views

### Examples of a continuous martingale with $E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]=\infty$?

A local martingale is a martingale iff it is in the class DL.
The condition: for every $t\in[0,\infty)$
$$E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]<\infty\tag1$$
guarantees a local martingale $M$ is ...

**9**

votes

**1**answer

367 views

### a question on 0-1 valued stochastic process

Here's a question on probability theory from a layman (I'm a game theorist). It is very likely that the question will be a straightforward matter for someone who is a probability theorist. I guess I'm ...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

116 views

### Concentration bound for a martingale-like setting (the expected difference decreases as the sequence increases)

I went through several martingales concentration bounds, but none of them fit the settings I am interested in, which is the following. Suppose I have a sequence of nonnegative random variables $0=Y_{0}...

**1**

vote

**1**answer

51 views

### question about the optimal decomposition of supermartingale

Given a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathbb{F}, \{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{0\le t\le 1}, \mathbb{P})$, let $X$ be a cadlag martingale and $V$ be cadlag supermartingale. Suppose $V$ has the following ...

**5**

votes

**0**answers

190 views

### A note on Doob's theorem

I have faced the following problem, regarding to the Martingale Theory. Because this area far from my area I don't know whether this problem is in literature or this can be simple question for ...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

146 views

### Can $<.>$ of a martingale determine it only?

Let $\Omega$ be the space of continuous functions defined on $[0,1]$. Define the canonical process $B$ by
$$B_t(\omega)=\omega_t,~ \forall\omega\in\Omega$$
Let us equip $\Omega$ with the usual ...

**3**

votes

**0**answers

191 views

### Hitting time of two dimensional continuous martingale

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$ be a probability space, on which $\mathcal{F}_t$ is filtration satisfying general conditions. $W_{t}=\left(W_{t}^{1},W_{t}^{2}\right)^{T}$ is a two dimensional Brownian ...

**11**

votes

**5**answers

3k views

### Brownian motion, martingales, Markov Chains - Rosetta Stone

What are the most
fundamental/useful/interesting ways in
which the concepts of Brownian motion,
martingales and markov chains are
related?
I'm a graduate student doing a crash course in ...

**3**

votes

**1**answer

155 views

### Conditional Form of Rosenthal's Inequality

Rosenthal's Inequality as stated in the book "Martingale Limit Theory and Its Application" by Hall and Heyde states the following:
If $\{S_i, \mathcal{F}_i, 1\leq i \leq n\}$ is a martingale and $2\...

**2**

votes

**1**answer

149 views

### An identity for the exponential of a martingale

I am trying to understand a Lemma in Olav Kallenberg's book "Foundations of Modern Probability" (Lemma 26.19 in the second edition or 23.19 in the first edition).
The part of the lemma that I do not ...