The tag has no wiki summary.

learn more… | top users | synonyms

2
votes
1answer
127 views

Examples of a continuous martingale with $E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]=\infty$?

A local martingale is a martingale iff it is in the class DL. The condition: for every $t\in[0,\infty)$ $$E[\sup\limits_{0\leq s\leq t} |M_s|]<\infty\tag1$$ guarantees a local martingale $M$ is ...
4
votes
2answers
163 views

Extension of the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality (when the differences are bounded with large probability)

Let $(X_i)$ be a super-martingale and suppose their differences are bounded ''with high probability'', that is $$\mathbb{P}(\exists\,i=1,\dots,n\text{ s.t. }|X_i-X_{i-1}|>c_i) \,\leq\, \epsilon$$ ...
2
votes
0answers
83 views

Pointwise convergence of ergodic averages of unconventional conditional expectations

Let $(X_i,Y_i)_{i\in\mathbb{Z}}$ be a finite-valued stationary process whose $\sigma$-algebra of tail events is trivial. Let $\mathcal{F}_n^m$ be the $\sigma$-algebra generated by $X_n,\dots,X_m$ ...
0
votes
0answers
43 views

question related to Tanaka Formulae

Supposse $X=(X_t)$ is a cadlag martingale taking values in $\mathbb{R}$. If $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ is a convex function, then we have Tanaka Formulae. Now let $g: ...
1
vote
0answers
36 views

question about the optimal decomposition of supermartingale

Given a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathbb{F}, \{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{0\le t\le 1}, \mathbb{P})$, let $X$ be a cadlag martingale and $V$ be cadlag supermartingale. Suppose $V$ has the following ...
0
votes
0answers
65 views

a question about Dambis, Dubins-Schwarz Theorem

Let $M=(M_t)_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a continous $\mathbb{F}=\{\mathcal{F}_t\}_{0\le t\le 1}$-martingale s.t. $M_0=0$. Now my question is whether there exists a Brownin motion $B$ s.t. ...
0
votes
0answers
31 views

a question about the modification of a supermartingale

Let $\mathbf{D}\subset\mathbf{D}([0,1],\mathbb{R}_+)$ denote the space of positive cadlag functions $\mathbf{x}$ defined on $[0,1]$ with $\mathbf{x}(0)=1$. Define the canonical process ...
1
vote
1answer
75 views

explicit characterization of the stochastic integrand

Let $V$ be a cadlag positive supermartingale with the following decomposition: $$V_t=V_0+\int_0^tH_sdX_s-K_t$$ where $X$ is a cadlag local martingale and $K$ is an adapted increasing process with ...
1
vote
0answers
73 views

question about Doob-Meyer decomposition

Given a filtered probability space and let $X$ be a cadlag local martingale defined on this space. Let $V$ be a cadlag supermartingale and assume we know the following decomposition: ...
7
votes
2answers
290 views

Can every discrete martingale be embedded in a continuous martingale?

Let $(X_k)_{k=0,1,..., n}$ be a discrete martingale defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. I would like to know whether there exists a (continuous) martingale ...
1
vote
0answers
93 views

asymptotic variance of sample autocorrelation of two iid random variables

I am trying to prove that the variance of the sample lag-1 autocorrelation $$\hat{\rho}=\frac{\sum_{t=1}^n(x_t-\bar{x})(x_{t-1}-\bar{x})}{\sum_{t=1}^n(x_{t-1}-\bar{x})^2}$$ for an i.i.d. R.V is ...
0
votes
0answers
136 views

Sufficient condition for local martingale property of stochastic integral

Is the following correct and/or a (simple) known result? Let $X$ be a local martingale and $H$ an integrand for $X$, such that the stochastic integral $\int H\cdot dX\ge x$ for some random variable. ...
6
votes
0answers
174 views

Doob's inequality for martingale “convolution”

Let $(X_t, t \in \mathbb{N})$ be a martingale, and let $a \leq b \leq T \in \mathbb{N}$ be constants. Is there something like Doob's inequality for $\mathbb{E} \sup_{a \leq t \leq b} X_t(X_T-X_t)$, ...
0
votes
1answer
119 views

a dominated convergence theorem for martingale (II)

The question is presented in a dominated convergence theorem for martingale Let $\{(X_1^n, X_2^n)\}_n$ be a sequence of martingales defined some probability space. (which means ...
2
votes
1answer
92 views

Can $<.>$ of a martingale determine it only?

Let $\Omega$ be the space of continuous functions defined on $[0,1]$. Define the canonical process $B$ by $$B_t(\omega)=\omega_t,~ \forall\omega\in\Omega$$ Let us equip $\Omega$ with the usual ...
7
votes
3answers
297 views

Rosenthal like inequality for weak $\mathbb L^p$-norms

Let $p$ be a real number greater than $1$. It is well known (see Hall and Heyde's Martingale limit theory and its applications, Theorem 2.10) that there exists a constant $C_p$ such that if ...
3
votes
1answer
115 views

a $L^1$ convergence for backward martingale

I have a question which may be naive, but I can not find the related result in the classical reference such as "Foundations of Modern Probability" and "Probability"(Billingsley). So if someone knows ...
0
votes
1answer
98 views

Supremum in a Markov chain model

A Markov chain $X$ with finite state space $\{1,2,\cdots,N\}$ is defined on a probability space $(\Omega, P, \mathcal{F})$ equiped with filtration $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$. And we assume that we can reach ...
0
votes
1answer
78 views

construction of a approximate martingale

everyone. Given a probabilistic space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}_t, \mathbb{P})$ and a martingale $(M_t)_{t\leq 1}$ on it. Suppose $$M_1\stackrel{\mathbb{P}}{\sim}\mu$$ where $\mu$ is a probability ...
4
votes
0answers
103 views

compactness of a probability set

I have a question about the compactness of a set of martingale measures. Let $\Omega=\mathcal{C}[0,1]$ be the space of continuous functions on $[0,1]$ and $\mathcal{M}_{\Omega}$ be the family of ...
2
votes
0answers
74 views

weaker version of the martingale convergence theorem

Let $\mathcal{A}_n$ be a sequence of finite sigma-algebras, let $\mathcal{B}_{q,p}= \sigma(\mathcal{A}_n, q \geq n \geq p )$. Moreover, we suppose $\mathcal{A}_k \subset \mathcal{B}_{\infty,p}$ for ...
4
votes
2answers
196 views

Probability of winding number of 2D Brownian Motion

Let $B_t$ be a 2D Brownian Motion with $B_0 = (1,0)$. Now, express $B_t$ in polars, that is, $B_t = (r(t), \theta(t))$. Let $\tau = \inf\{t > 0 : \theta(t) \geq 2 \pi \}$. What is $\mathbb{P}[\tau ...
2
votes
0answers
80 views

a generalization of Monge-Kantorovich Problem

I am thinking about the martingale version of Monge-Kantorovich Problem. Let $\mu(x)$ and $\nu(y)$ denote two density laws on $\mathbb{R}$, and define $M(\mu,\nu)$ the set of densities $f(x,y)$ on ...
1
vote
0answers
79 views

Supermartingale inequality on a particular event

Say, I have a supermartingale $Y_t$ with respect to the filtration $F_t$. Let $T$ and $S$ two stopping times greater than $t>0$ such that on the event $A$, $T>S$, then since $Y_t$ is a ...
11
votes
0answers
144 views

Savings property: A transformation which turns nonnegative martingales into uniformly integrable ones

Background I work in a subfield of computability theory called algorithmic randomness. We have been using martingales as long as probability theory (going back to work of von Mises). However, since ...
1
vote
1answer
294 views

Iterated Ito Integral, Gaussian Volterra Process

Let me define $$ J^f_{n}(t) = \, \int_0^t \int_0^{t_1} \ldots \int_0^{t_{n-1}} f(t, t_1, \ldots, t_n) \; dB_{t_n} ...dB_{t_1} $$ where $f:[0,1]^{n+1} \to \mathbb{R}$ is a nice deterministic ...
1
vote
0answers
160 views

What conditions on a filtration guarantee that a (sub)martingale has a continuous modification?

There is a theorem as follows: Theorem. Let $\mathcal{F}_t$ be a filtration which is right-continuous and complete. Assume $M_t$ is a submartingale adapted to $\mathcal{F}_t$ such that $t \mapsto ...
1
vote
1answer
239 views

On martingale representation theorem

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P)$ be a probability space and $(\mathcal{F_{t}})_{0\le t\le T}$ a filtration generated by standard Brownian motion $W_t$. Let $f(x)$ be $C^1$ function such that $|f'(x)| ...
1
vote
2answers
265 views

Uniform law of large numbers for martingale difference

Let $\xi_{tn}(\theta),t=1,\dots,n$ be a real-valued martingale difference array indexed by a parameter $\theta \in \Theta \subset R$, where the set $\Theta$ is compact. Now, for all fixed $\theta \in ...
-1
votes
1answer
177 views

Maximal inequalities for certain functions of a martingale difference sequence

Suppose $\xi_1,\ldots \xi_T$ is a martingale difference sequence. Then, 1) For any $a\in \mathbb{R}^{+}$, can we say something about the sequence $\xi_1^2\mathbb{1}(\xi_1\geq a),\ldots, ...
3
votes
1answer
134 views

Does martingale convergence hold for arbitrary time?

Let $\{\mathcal B_i:i\in I\}$ be a family of $\sigma$-algebras (over the same set $\Omega$) which are totally ordered by inclusion, in the sense that for any $i,j\in I$ either $\mathcal ...
4
votes
0answers
183 views

Some constants in Martingale Stein inequality

Dear all, the following is a special case of Stein inequalities for martingales. $\textbf{Theorem}$ Let $(\Omega, \mathbb{P})$ be a (standard) probability space equipped with a filtration of ...
8
votes
3answers
708 views

Compactness of the set of densities of equivalent martingale measures

Consider an incomplete market $(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)$ driven by a semimartingale $S=(S_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$. Under the no free lunch under vanishing risk (NFLVR) assumption, the set $\mathcal ...
1
vote
0answers
116 views

Second Equality of Wald [closed]

Hi, I'm doing an exercice about the second equality of Wald. Let $(X_i)_{i\ge 1}$ be a sequence of integrable random variables. Let $F = (F_i)$ be a filtration such as $X$ is adapted. We suppose ...
4
votes
1answer
225 views

What is the optimal growth of the constant in BDG?

Let $X$ be a continuous local martingale, and $\langle X \rangle$ be its quadratic variation process. The "standard" proof of Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequalities found in books yields $(\mathsf{E} ...
7
votes
5answers
560 views

Properties preserved under passage to augmented filtration

Dear all, generally speaking, my question is about which properties of a stochastic process are preserved when I skip from the original to the augmented filtration. Recall that if ...
6
votes
2answers
714 views

De Finetti's theorem, the pointwise ergodic theorem, and reverse martingales

De Finetti's theorem says that an exchangeable sequence of random variables $X_i$ is a mixture of i.i.d. random variables. In other words, if $\mu$ is a measure on $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ that is ...
4
votes
1answer
182 views

Reference request: Martingale decompositions (positive/negative and u.i./singular)

For a paper I am writing, I need these two facts. The proofs are fairly short, but I would rather just cite them. This is for martingales index by natural numbers. Also, I call a martingale which ...
3
votes
4answers
794 views

Men in a bar - stoch. processes

Hello everyone, I'm trying to solve a applied stochastic process problem and even the example is beautiful, I don't know how to approach it. Here the problem: 10 men want to get out of a bar, they do ...
1
vote
0answers
440 views

When are the limits of Martingales are Martingales?

Suppose I have a sequence of continuous time random variables $X_n(t)$ where $t \in [0,1]$, adapted to a filtration $F_t$, that are martingales with respect to this filtration and that $\sup_n ...
2
votes
1answer
479 views

Stochastic integrals as honest martingales — exponential damping

We have a given positive martingale ρt, with the dynamics: $$\textrm{d}\rho_t = \lambda_t \rho_t \textrm{d}W_t$$ where $W_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. Now we have an "exponentially dampened" ...
3
votes
1answer
369 views

Stochastic integrals as honest martingales — comparison criterion

We have a given positive martingale $\rho_t$, with the dynamics: $$\textrm{d} \rho_t = \lambda_t \rho_t \textrm{d} W_t$$ where $W_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. Now we have a "dumped" process p_t: ...
7
votes
2answers
533 views

Is this ergodic inequality true?

Is anything similar to the following inequality true, $\displaystyle P\{\max_{n \leq k \leq m} |A_k f - A_n f| > \epsilon\} \leq C \frac{||A_m f - A_n f||_1}{\epsilon}$ where $A_n f = ...
3
votes
10answers
2k views

Best introduction to probability spaces, convergence, spectral analysis

I'm not sure if this stuff all falls under what most would just term "probability", but I'm researching applied macroeconomics and need to get a handle on the following concepts ASAP: probability ...
3
votes
1answer
584 views

Lower-semicomputable supermartingales with bounded increments

I'm interested in whether Levin and Solomonoff's results on "universal semimeasures" can be extended to other settings. One case that especially interests me is finding "universal" strategies in the ...
1
vote
2answers
262 views

Martingale part of the discontinuous put payoff

I need the martingale part of the put payoff (not $C^2$..). Where $S_t=exp(\sigma W_t -\frac{\sigma^2t}{2})$ $d[(S_t -K)^+ ]$ ?? I guess I need to use local times but how?
2
votes
2answers
546 views

Supermartingales and convergence

These feel like basic enough questions, but I don't know where to find the answer. Let $X_1,X_2,X_3,\dots$ be a supermartingale such that $|X_{n+1} - X_n| < K$ for all $n$ ($K$ fixed). Does the ...
9
votes
1answer
1k views

Martingales in both discrete and continuous setting

I am wondering, polynomials like $S_n^4-6n S_n^2+3n^2+2n$ for $$S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n{X_i}$$ where $$\mathbb{P}(X_i=1)=\mathbb{P}(X_i=-1)=\frac{1}{2}$$ is a martingale (under the conventional filtration). ...
0
votes
0answers
602 views

Is stopped brownian motion not a martingale ?

In page 45 of the book "Financial Derivatives In Theory and Practice by P.J.Hunt and J.E.Kennedy, it seems to me that the author says the stopped Brownian Motion is not a martingale as follows. ...
6
votes
1answer
522 views

Change of space-time in Walsh's stochastic integral

One can read about Walsh's construction of martingale integral in the paper (pp.16-23) www.math.utah.edu/~davar/ps-pdf-files/SPDEBookDK.pdf For $U,V\in \mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}^+), ...