The markov-chains tag has no usage guidance.

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### Different uses of the word “ergodic”

There appear to be two definitions of the word ergodic.
The dynamical systems definition says that a measure space $(X,\mathit B, \mu)$ and measure preserving transformation $T: X \mapsto X$ is ...

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**3**answers

693 views

### Probability that a certain Markov process has produced a given state

I am looking for advice on the following practical problem. Please keep in mind that this came up in a practical application.
In the context of Markov chains, we have $N$ states, with $N$ very ...

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votes

**1**answer

143 views

### Modification of a Markov process on the real line

Consider a real-valued Markov process $X$ with a transition density $f(x,y)$, i.e.
$$
\mathsf P[X\in A|X_0 = x] = \int\limits_A f(x,y)\,dy.
$$
For this process I want to find
$$
u(x) = \mathsf P[X_n ...

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**2**answers

326 views

### How to determine a specific graph process is Markovian or not ?

Say, here is a min-degree graph process, which starts with G_0 = the complement of K_n. Given G_t, choose a vertex u of minimum degree in G_t u.a.r., then a vertex v not adjacent to u in G_t u.a.r. ...

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**1**answer

302 views

### A bjection between two stochastic processes

Let x(t) be a Markov process. We define the stochastic process y(t) such that :
y(t) = x(f(t))
f : T -> T
T is the parameter set of the process x(t).
If we ...

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**0**answers

118 views

### A M/M/$\infty$ queue of depositors with compound interest

Hello, I'm trying to model a bank's liabilities using a queue. Suppose a bank begins with a cash reserve of $M$. Depositors are a M/M/$\infty$ queue; they arrive with rate $\lambda$ and deposit 1 ...

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votes

**1**answer

474 views

### Random walk origin return monotinicity

Consider a Markov chain on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with transition kernel $P$ for adjacent vertices (non-diagonal). Essentially this is a $d$ dimensional random walk with the probability of a transition ...

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**2**answers

470 views

### Rate of decay of variance for a tensor product Markov process (100 pt bounty for good answer by 1800 EST Fri)

Let $Q$ be the generator of a well-behaved (not necessarily reversible) Markov process $X$ on $[n] = \{1,\dots,n\}$ and let $Q^\otimes = \sum_{m=1}^N I^{\otimes(m-1)} \otimes Q \otimes ...

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2k views

### What is the cover time of a random walk on a cube?

I can't quite figure this problem yet. There is an ant at one vertex of a cube. The ant goes from one vertex to another by choosing one of the neighboring vertices uniformly at random. What is the ...

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**2**answers

485 views

### Spectral gap of a product of Markov processes

For $m \in [N] \equiv \{1,\dots, N\}$, let $Q^{(m)}$ be the generator of a (well-behaved) continuous-time Markov process on a finite state space $[n_m]$. Write $J \equiv (j_1,\dots,j_N) \in \prod_m ...

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**3**answers

569 views

### Markov random field with continuous index set

Hi
There's Markov random field (MRF) which, by my Wikipedia-based knowledge, is an extension of Markov chain. I'd like to think of it as going from 1D to higher dimensional spaces. Inherent in its ...

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**0**answers

197 views

### Is the variance of an eigenfunction of a finite state space aperiodic irreducible markov chain starting at a single state always non-decreasing?

I am reposting a previous question due to incorrect initial formulation.
Given an ergodic (aperiodic and irreducible) finite state space Markov chain $P$. Let $f$ be an eigenfunction, i.e., $P_t f = ...

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votes

**1**answer

266 views

### is the variance of a test function of a markov chain always increasing?

Edits: Changed function to eigenfunction. I should have stated the problem with more explicit conditions. Anyways I realized the original formulation is not true, even when one starts at a single ...

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**1**answer

455 views

### Markov chain: Obtaining transition matrix from recurrence probabilities

Consider a markov chain with finite space { 0,1,..n} with transition probability matrix whose entries are $P_{ij}$. Let
$f_{ij}^n$ = probability that starting from state $i $ it goes to state $j$ ...

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votes

**1**answer

128 views

### mutual hitting measure between two sets

Given disjoint nonempty subsets $X_1, X_2$ of the state space of a finite irreducible Markov chain, there are unique measures $\mu_1$ on $X_1$ and $\mu_2$ on $X_2$ such that (a) starting from a ...

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**2**answers

620 views

### Borel-Cantelli Lemma on MCs (absorbing states)

hi, I'm sorry if the question is silly, but I couldn't get my head around it for a while now.
In Markov Chains (MC) proving that a state is either recurrent or transient is through Borel-Cantelli ...

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**0**answers

348 views

### How to bound the second largest eigenvalue of a transition matrix of a non-irreducible Markov chain?

I have found several bounds (e.g., Cheeger, Poincare) for the case that the Markov chain is irreducible and reversible, however my Markov chain has one absorbing state. Any bound would be helpful, but ...

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votes

**1**answer

642 views

### Convergence of sets

Let $E$ be a compact subset of $\mathbb{R}^n$. Let the density function $\phi(x,y)$ be Lipschitz continuous and such that
$$
\int\limits_E \phi(x,y)dy=1
$$
for all $x\in E$. Let us consider the ...

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votes

**0**answers

321 views

### maximum variance unfolding

Consider positive weights $\pi_1, \ldots, \pi_n$ (one can suppose that they add up to $1$) and $n-1$ lengths $d_1, \ldots, d_{n-1}$.
Is there an analytical solution to the following problem:
find the ...

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votes

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598 views

### Exist closed forms of the distribution of return time in markov chains?

Hi, I am interested in the distribution of return times in simple random walks on finite graphs.
Let $G$ be a connected finite graph with, with two independent random walks. If both random walks ...

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**2**answers

648 views

### Counterexample Markov process

Let $X$ be a homogeneous Markov process in a continuous time with value in the set $E$. Suppose that for some $T>0,x\in E, A\subset E$ we have
$$
P_x[X_t\in A] = 0
$$
for all $t\in [0,T]$ but
$$
...

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votes

**1**answer

432 views

### Reachability for Markov process

Let $X$ be a Markov process (in continuous or discrete time) and define an event
$$
R(T,A) = (\exists t\leq T: X_t \in A).
$$
I have seen in one paper that
$$
\Pr[R(\infty,A)] = \sup\limits_{\tau} ...

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votes

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1k views

### Statistics of a simple Markov chain

Imagine a two-state Markov chain which hops between the states $\pm 1$ with probability $p<1/2$, so that the autocorrelation function after $k$ steps is
$\rho_k = (2p-1)^k$
If I take an ...

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votes

**1**answer

159 views

### scalar diffusions are reversible

It is well known that under mild assumptions a scalar diffusion $dX_t = a(X_t) dt + \sigma(X_t) dW_t$ with invariant probability distribution $\pi$ is reversible. This is indeed not true for ...

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**1**answer

558 views

### Bounds on $||P^{k+1} - P^k||$ for $n$ by $n$ stochastic matrix $P$ with trace $n-1$ and integer $k>>n$.

The problem:
We have a $n$-state Markov chain with arbitrary initial distribution and transition matrix $P$ that is arbitrary except that we know that $P$ has trace $n-1$. Of course $P$ is also a ...

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votes

**1**answer

701 views

### A simple problem in markov chains

I'm trying to understand a 1954 paper of Kubo intitled "Note on the stochastic theory of resonance absorption". The specific problem can be stated mathematically as follows: let $X(t)$ be a random ...

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### Is there MDPs (Markow Decision Process) which have a non deterministic optimal policy ?

I'm working on Markov Decision Process and I have not found yet an example of MDP that has a stochastic (non deterministic) optimal policy. Is there MDPs that have a stochastic optimal policy or is it ...

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### Expectation of first positive value in random walk

Let $p$ be a parameter in $]0,1[$. Let $(X_k)_{k\geq 0}$ be an independent, identically distributed sequence of random variables, such that each $X_k$ takes values only in
$\lbrace -1, \frac{1-p}{p} ...

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100 views

### how to find a sequence of digits in base b such that each consecutive block of size k appears exactly once?

My question is most precisely stated in the title. As an example, if we consider base 10, and k=4, then I am asking, is it possible to have a sequence of length 10^4 + 3, such that each 4 digit number ...

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**1**answer

2k views

### How to do integration using MCMC?

I want to evaluate $I = \int_V f(\vec{x}) d\vec{x}$. The classical Monte Carlo method is to sample uniformly from within the integration volume $V$, and then compute $I \approx V \frac{1}{N} ...

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385 views

### Potts model simulation

I was wondering what were the state-of-the-art methods to simulate low temperature configurations of Potts-like models that exhibit a discontinuous phase transition. For models with a continuous phase ...

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467 views

### Markov chain convergence problem.

Consider a markov chain matrix P of size n x n (n states).
P is known to be:
1- there are at least two absorbent states. one of them is denoted by null. (thus, we have that P_null,null = 1)
2- For ...

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731 views

### Convergence of a markov matrix

Consider a markov chain matrix P of size n x n (n states).
P is known to be:
1- Not irreducible (i.e. there exist at least a pair of states i, j such that we cannot go from i to j)
2- Not all ...

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**5**answers

2k views

### Where to publish a paper on the Mafia game?

I wrote a research paper "A mathematical model of the Mafia game" (arXiv:1009.1031 [math.PR]). However, I do not know where to publish it. As an undergraduate studying majorly physics, I have little ...

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**1**answer

331 views

### Lower bound on the convergence rate of a specific Markov chain

I have a Markov chain $\mathbf{A} = (A_0, A_1, \ldots)$ with state space $\{0, \ldots, n\}$ which converges towards a stationary distribution $\pi$. There are a lot of well-known results on ...

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399 views

### (Stochastic) matrix for which a stochastic matrix logarithm exists?

I think this is basically the inverse question of Matrices whose exponential is stochastic.
i.e. what are sufficient conditions on the matrix representation of an evolution operator of a (finite) ...

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691 views

### representation theoretic interpretation of Jack polynomials

Monomial symmetric polynomials on $n$ variables $x_1, \ldots x_n$ form a natural basis of the space $\mathcal{S}_n$ of symmetric polynomials on $n$ variables and are defined by additive symmetrization ...

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722 views

### Diagonalizing some matrices arising from Fourier transform on $S_n$.

Consider the function $f$ on $S_n$ which equals $1/n$ on all adjacent transpositions $(i,i+1)$, where we let $n+1 = 1$, and $0$ otherwise, and its Fourier transform $\hat{f}(\rho)$ evaluated at the ...

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258 views

### Markov Chain Patterns

Hi
I would like to detect repetitive patterns and deviations from these repetitions. I have historical data and can calculate probabilities for the transitions between my many states. I have ...

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### Random walk is to diffusion as self-avoiding random walk is to …?

One can view a random walk as a discrete process whose continuous
analog is diffusion.
For example, discretizing the heat diffusion equation
(in both time and space) leads to random walks.
Is there a ...

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3k views

### Gromov's list of 7 constructions in differential topology

At the 2010 Clay Research Conference, Gromov explained that we know of only 7 different methods for constructing smooth manifolds. Working from memory, and hence not necessarily respecting the order ...

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### initial condition of a diffusion approximation

I am trying to prove that a certain sequence of Markov chains $x^N_k$ converges towards a diffusion process. The invariant measure of $x^N$ is $\pi^N$ and the Markov chain $x^N$ is started in ...

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243 views

### Existence of Limiting Distribution for Moving Regions in Stat. Phys. Models

As the title (hopefully) suggests, I've been trying to prove (or disprove) the existence of a limiting distribution for a certain projection in a statistical physics model. I'll give the details of ...

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**1**answer

502 views

### “Induced” arrivals in an M/M/1 queue?

I'm a newcomer to the realm of queueing theory, so please bear with me :)
I'd like to model web server traffic with a modified M/M/1 queue.
In the simple case we have two parameters - $\lambda$ for ...

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450 views

### When is a 1-block factor of a non-Markovian process Markov?

Let $Y$ be a discrete stationary stochastic process. Suppose that $Y$ is not $n$-step Markov for any positive integer $n$. Let $Z$ be a 1-block factor of $Y$. For what condition on $Y$ or the ...

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### Examples of Slowly Mixing Chains in Statistics

This should probably be community wiki, but I don't know how to set that myself.
I'm looking for examples or Markov chains that are used in statistics or statistical physics, and which are known to ...

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268 views

### Finitarily Markovian Finite Factors of Bernoulli Schemes

By processes, I mean discrete, stationary stochastic processes, that is $(X,\mathcal{U},\mu,T)$ where $X$ is the set of doubly infinite sequences of some alphabet $A$, $\mathcal{U}$ is the ...

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### Markov chain on Groups

Let $G$ be a permutation group on the finite set $\Omega$. Consider the Markov chain where you start with an element $\alpha \in \Omega$ chosen from some arbitrary starting probability distribution. ...

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648 views

### Is there a way to analytically compute the recurrence time of a finite Markov process?

Let $X_t$ be an ergodic (time-homogeneous) Markov process (in discrete or continuous time) on a finite state space $\{1,\dots,n\}$. Let $T(X_0)$ be the stopping time given by the infimum of times such ...

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309 views

### Where can I learn about master equation?

I am reading a paper by Dorogovstev on structure of growing complex networks with preferential linking. I need to learn master equation for this.
I need a reference for the same.