The markov-chains tag has no usage guidance.

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### How can I efficiently approximate the stationary distribution of an infinite CTMC with a sparce rate matrix?

I am looking for methods to approximate the stationary distribution of an infinite CTMC with a sparse rate matrix. Each row and column of the rate matrix has a finite number of non-zero elements. ...

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353 views

### Why does the overhand shuffle converge to the uniform distribution on $S_n$?

Pemantle 1989 proves, among other things, that the Markov chain on $S_n$ induced by repeatedly and independently performing an overhand shuffle on a deck of $n$ cards is ergodic and has limiting ...

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102 views

### markov processes and ergodic theory

For an ergodic Markov Chain
$$
\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^n f(X_i) \rightarrow E_\pi[f]
$$
where $\pi$ is the invariant distribution. I am also dealing with a Markovian process (a state space model to ...

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143 views

### The necessary sufficient condition for recurrence of a Markovian random walk

Suppose $\sigma_{1},\sigma_{2},...$are i.i.d random variables.$S_{0}=0$. Define $S_{n}=S_{0}+\sum_{i=1}^{n}\sigma_{i}$, then ${S_{n}}$ is a Markovian random walk.
I want to figure out the necessary ...

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**1**answer

36 views

### Discrete time hidden markov process [closed]

I am dealing with a hidden Markov model for variable $X_{t+1}$ where
$X_{t+1}$ = $\alpha_{t}$$X_{t}$ + $(1-\alpha_{t})$$Z_{t}$
$X_{t}$ is an indicator variable indicating wether an individual is ...

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**1**answer

120 views

### Neat definition of Harris Ergodicity

I can't find any reference where the definition of Harris Ergodicity for Continuous time Markov processes is defined.
a) What would be exactly the definition?
b) What reference could be helpful?
...

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**1**answer

314 views

### Does every (generalized?) Markov chain admit transition probabilities?

To pose the question let us start by recalling the following notions:
Transition Probabilities. A transition probability matrix between two measurable spaces $(S,\mathcal{S})$ and ...

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45 views

### Is there an easy way to convert a non-deterministic optimal policy to a deterministic optimal policy for a given MDP?

For a MDP (Markov Decision Process) is there an easy way to convert a non-deterministic optimal policy into a deterministic optimal policy?
The trivial way will take ...

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151 views

### Must rows of a transition matrix be distinct?

Is it true that for all continuous time Markov processes on a countable state space $S$, we have
all rows of the transition matrix $\mathbf{P}_t$ are distinct for all time $t\in[0,\infty)$ ?
This ...

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64 views

### Most visited vertex in a random walk with place dependent drift

Consider the following Markov chain on $\mathbb{Z}$:
$$
P(x,x+1)=1-P(x,x-1)=\frac{1}{2}+e^{-|x|}\cdot \mathbf{1}_{\{x\neq 0\}}
$$
Do there exist constants $c,C>0$ such that
$$
c\cdot P^t(z,z) ...

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58 views

### Choose uniformly from fixed-length paths in $[0,n]\cap\mathbb{Z}$ with fixed start and end

Let $X_k$ be a symmetric (discrete time) random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ and let $m,n\in\mathbb{N}$. I want to chose uniformly from the paths of $X_k$, which
start at $0$
stay in $[0,n]\cap\mathbb{Z}$ ...

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29 views

### Sufficient moment conditions to make $E[\sup_n |X_n|]< \infty$ for Markov process $X_n$

Is there any Markov process $X_n$ for which we can impose sufficient moment condition which will imply $E[\sup_n |X_n|]< \infty$

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32 views

### Strong Markov vector-valued process from component strong Markov process and independence

I want to prove that if $X$ and $Y$ are (continuous time) independent strong markov $\mathbb{R}$-valued processes w.r.t. their natural filtrations $\mathcal{F}^X_t$ and $\mathcal{F}^Y_t$, that the ...

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46 views

### Expected number of forward jumps to reach a given quantile of a rv [closed]

I'm a noob in randomized algorithm and ran into a problem(definitely not home work. I'm doing a self study out of my interest with help of my friends. I'm pursuing research career in a machine ...

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29 views

### Does an infinite chain of a.s. eventual transitions between states necessarily implies a.s transitions along the whole chain?

Given a Markov process among a (possibly infinite) set of states $S$, with possibly infinite depth (that is, the transition probabilities from $s_i \to s_j$ at time $t$ are permitted to depend not ...

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**1**answer

99 views

### Random Walk 2D with dependent weights [closed]

I have spent a lot of time trying to solve this problem but have had no luck so far! Any help would be highly appreciated!
Suppose I have a 3x3 grid as shown below.
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3)
(2,1) (2,2) ...

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53 views

### Maximal inequality for Markov process

For a Markov process $\{X_n\}$ is there any inequality available for
$$ E[\sup_{0 \leq n \leq k} X_{n}]$$
in terms of moments of $E[X_n], 0 \leq n \leq k$

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18 views

### Can MDPs over functions be solved?

I understand that dynamic programs are difficult to be solved in general. However I have an MDP, for which intuitively I have a solution, I am curious to know if there is a formal approach to get a ...

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**1**answer

33 views

### how to resolve the infinite nesting of interactive POMDP

I am reading papers about I-POMDP. I cant understand the finitely nested I-POMDPs given in these papers.
The belief update of the algorithm has a problem that agents' belief updates mutually depend ...

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63 views

### Markov Chains and Simple Machine Learning [closed]

Suppose I have a large training set consisting of many strings of symbols.
$TS = \{Str_0, Str_1, ..., Str_n\}$
$Str_i = \{Sym_0 ... Sym_{len}\}$
These strings of symbols are each generated by the ...

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23 views

### Properties of a map regarding the space of invariant probability measures for controlled Markov process

Let us consider a controlled Markov process with the transition kernel $p(dy|x,\theta)$ ($\theta$ being the control parameter. Now, consider the map
$\theta \to I(\theta)$ where $I(\theta)$ is the ...

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30 views

### Markov Modulated Markov Chain

Consider a discrete time Markov chain $X_t$ on some finite state space $\mathcal{S}$ with transition matrix $P$. Now consider a process $Y_t$ also on $\mathcal{S}$, which conditioned on $X_{t}=s$ ...

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68 views

### Eigenvectors of a perturbed reducible stochastic matrix

Let $Q$ be a $n\times n$ reducible stochastic matrix. Let $J$ be such that $[J]_{ij}={1 \over n}$. Now for a small positive constant $\alpha\in [0,1]$, consider the matrix ...

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56 views

### Circular process ergodic?

Let us define a continuous-time Markov process on a circle consisting of $m-$ equally spaced points, i.e. every point has two neighbours.
Now, we define a space of functions $S:= ...

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150 views

### Mixing time of lazy random walk on the directed cycle $C_n$

Briefly: A hint (if this is easy), reference or derivation would be of great help.
The question
Let $C_n$ be the directed cycle with loops in each of its $n$ vertices, and consider the random walk ...

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16 views

### Bounding Hidden Markov model Bayesian filter error with inexact models

In context of a hidden Markov model, I am interested in bounding the error of a Bayesian filter when using inexact state transition and observation models.
Consider a hidden Markov model (HMM) with ...

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48 views

### Regularity of the entrance measure of SRW

Let $S(n)$ be the discrete sphere of radius $n$ (i.e., the internal boundary of the Euclidean discrete ball $B(n)$) centered in the origin, and consider a simple random walk starting at some ...

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### Order statistic of Markov chain sample path and related probabilities

Consider a 1D sample path, denoted as $\{X(1), ..., X(t), ..., X(n)\}$, generated from a discrete time finite state (time homogeneous) Markov chain over states $\{1,...,m\}$, with transition ...

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### steady state of a continuous-time birth-death process

we consider a continuous-time birth-death process $\{X(t),t\geq 0\}$ with discrete state space taking non0negative integer values $\{0,1,2,3,...\}$. The transition rates of the process $\{X(t)\}$ are ...

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89 views

### Similarity transformation of transition matrix of reversible Markov chain (reference request)

If $P$ is the transition matrix of a reversible Markov chain, and $\pi$ is its stationary distribution, and let $R$ be defined by:
$$R_{ij} = \sqrt{\frac{\pi_i}{\pi_j}}P_{ij}~.$$
By reversibility, ...

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42 views

### Spectral gap of two step Markov chain

Suppose $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ is a reversible Markov chain with state space of size $k$ and absolute spectral gap $\gamma_*.$ What is the spectral gap of the (non-reversible) Markov chain $Y_1,Y_2,\ldots,$ ...

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### steady state distribution for a jump Markov chain

Consider a queueing process with the following transition matrix:
$\mathbf{P}=\left( \begin{smallmatrix}
1-\lambda & \lambda & & & & & & &\\
\mu & ...

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87 views

### Finite hitting time implies hits at any finite time?

I was wondering about the following problem:
Assume we have a state space $S:=\mathbb{Z}$ and a Markov chain, such that we can go from any state $x$ to some state $y$ with positive probabilities, ...

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### steady state distribution of the following infinite-state Markov chain

Given the following state transition equation:
$P_0(n+1)=P_0(n)(1-\lambda \Delta t)+ P_1(n)\mu \Delta t$
$P_j(n+1)=P_{j}(n)(1-\lambda \Delta t-\mu \Delta t)+\lambda \Delta t P_{j-1}(n)+ \mu \Delta ...

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110 views

### Markov chain with Feller property

Does anybody know whether there is an analysis of when the monotone decreasing chain has the Feller-property?
The monotone decreasing is defined as a chain on $\mathbb{N}$ and the rate of going down ...

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158 views

### Calculate the KL divergence between two transition matrices

I want to calculate how different two markov transition matrices are.
For example:
$\begin{pmatrix} .2 & .8 \\ .1 & .9 \end{pmatrix}$
and
$\begin{pmatrix} .3 & .7 \\ .1 & .9 ...

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39 views

### Memorylessness of residence times for a Markov process

I'm stuck on the trivial problem of showing memorylessness of holding (residence) times for a continuous time homogeneous Markov chain on finite state space.
I have a homogeneous Markov process ...

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154 views

### Equalizing Geometric means of Graph Cycles

Consider a strongly connected directed graph $G$. I have been stuck on the following question: can you assign real numbers in $[0,1]$ to each edge of $G$ so that the geometric mean of all cycles are ...

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43 views

### positive Harris recurrent, aperiodic, stationary Markov chain

How to proof that every positive Harris recurrent, aperiodic, stationary Markov chain is alpha-mixing (strong-mixing)?

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131 views

### Two types of random walkers on square lattice

Consider a two dimensional square lattice ($n$ by $n$), which is our space $S$ (each point labelled by an index $1\to n^2$), containing two types of particles, distinguished here by either an index ...

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104 views

### Markov-semigroup sobolev inequality

I have a question about the following definition:
A probability measure $\mu$, such that the Markov semi-group $e^{Lt} \in L(L^2)$ exists and is symmetric, satisfies the Sobolev inequality iff for ...

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93 views

### How much larger than the relaxation time can the mixing time be?

The notation is mostly taken from the book "Markov chains and mixing times" by Levin, Peres, and Wilmer.
Consider an irreducible, aperiodic, time-reversible, discrete-time Markov chain on a finite ...

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69 views

### General Markov Chains on same Probability Space?

A Markov chain $(X_i)_{i\in \mathbb{N}}$ on a measurable space $(E,\Sigma)$ is (see e.g. Revuz or Meyn/Tweedie) constructed on the following probabilty space.
$$ \Omega = \{ (x_l)_{l \in \mathbb{N}} ...

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38 views

### Validating a probability density distribution forecast model for a Markov process

Let's say we have a Markov process $X_t$, and we come up with a forecast model that takes some information from outside world and says: "value $X_{t+1}$ has probability density distribution $P_t(x)$". ...

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### Markov chain matching local time

Let $\left(X_{t}\right)_{t\geq0}$ be a Markov process taking values in
a finite state space $E$. Its local time at $y\in E$ started at
$x\in E$ is defined as
$$
...

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109 views

### The spring Markov chain on $\mathbb{N}$

I'm trying to understand and learn more about "almost surely bounded" Markov chains on countable state spaces. I'm looking for references where I can learn how to work with more complicated examples ...

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### The effect of a single Markov transition on fidelity

Let $p$ and $q$ be two probability vectors of length $n$.
The fidelity (or Bhattacharyya coefficient) of $p$ and $q$, is
$$
F(p,q) \ := \ \sum_{i=1}^n \sqrt{p_i \cdot q_i}.
$$
Let $A$ be a ...

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### Ergodicity property for continuous-time Harris positive Markov process

I have posted this question on there, but got no answer.
The following theorem is Theorem 13.3.3 of Meyn and Tweedie's Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability on page 328:
Theorem 13.3.3. If ...

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67 views

### Customers and Anti-Customer Queueing Problem: What is the Customer delete probability

Hello may I ask for your help?
First the setting:
I have got a problem with some queueing theory. The whole problem would be a grid of nodes, all nodes have an operation intensity $\mu_{i,j}$. ...

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193 views

### Stationary distribution for time-inhomogeneous Markov process

I have a two state, discrete time, time-inhomogeneous Markov process with transition matrix defined by
$$T_i=\begin{pmatrix}
1-p_i\alpha & p_i\alpha \\
p_i\beta& 1-p_i\beta
\end{pmatrix}$$
...