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I would like to know if there's a way to compute or approximate the following expectation:

$$\mathbb{E}[(c+e^X)^{-n}]$$

where $X=N(0,\sigma^2)$ and $n,c>0$ (you can also assume that $n$ is a natural number if necessary). After googling a bit I found the following articles: 1, 2 which talk about negative moments of positive random variables but applying the methods yields a divergent series.

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@dp, can you write this similarly to the integral you asked about in your other question? I don't know if you noticed, but I updated my answer in EDIT 2 with a series that works very well for small $b$. –  Tom Dickens Mar 19 '13 at 16:00

2 Answers 2

Since you say you're interested in computing the expectation, here's a way to calculate the moments numerically.

Rearranging a little and defining $Y = X - \log c$, the expectation you're after, which I'll call $I$, is

$$I = c^{-n} \cdot \mathbb{E} \left[ \frac{ 1 }{ \left( 1 + e^{Y} \right)^{n}} \right].$$

Massaging the term inside the integral still further, this can be rewritten

$$ I = c^{-n} \cdot \mathbb{E} \frac{ e^{-nY/2} }{ \left( e^{Y/2} + e^{-Y/2} \right)^{n} } = c^{-n} \cdot \mathbb{E} \left[ e^{-nY/2} \frac{ 1 }{ \left( 2 \cosh (Y/2) \right)^{n} } \right] \ .$$

The point of doing this is that $1/(2\cosh Y/2)^{n}$ has a nice Fourier transform. Specifically, $$\frac{1}{(2 \cosh (Y/2))^{n}} = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} e^{iYz} \mathscr{F}_{n}(z) \, dz \ , $$ where $$ \mathscr{F}_{n}(z) = \frac{1}{2 \pi} \frac{ \Gamma(n/2+iz)\Gamma(n/2-iz)}{ \Gamma(n) } $$ are rapidly decaying, even functions of $z$. (For integer $n$, they can be expressed more simply: for example, $\mathscr{F}_{1}(z) = \frac{1}{2} \operatorname{sech} \pi z$.)

So $$I = c^{-n} \mathbb{E} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} e^{-n Y/2} e^{iYz} \mathscr{F}_{n}(z) \, dz \ . $$

Writing out the characteristic function of the Normal random variable $Y$ explicitly, and rearranging a bit, this becomes

$$I = c^{-n/2} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \cos \left[ \left( \log c + \frac{1}{2} \sigma^{2} n \right) z \right] e^{ \frac{1}{2} \sigma^{2} \left( \frac{n^{2}}{4} - z^{2} \right) } \mathscr{F}_{n}(z) \, dz \ , $$

which is easy to evaluate numerically. Here's what the moments look like for $\sigma=1$ and $c$ equal to 0.7, 1, and 1.3:

This approach is also useful if $X$ and $Y$ are not Normal, so long as you know their characteristic functions.

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As $c \to \infty$ for fixed $n$ and $\sigma$, it looks to me like $ {\mathbb E}\left[(c+e^X)^{-n}\right]$ has the asymptotic series $$c^{-n} + \sum_{j=1}^\infty (-1)^j {{n+j-1} \choose j} c^{-n-j} e^{j^2 \sigma^2/2}$$

Yes, like most asymptotic series, this is divergent, but partial sums might still be useful approximations.

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Thank you for the answer. Unfortunately $c$ is fixed and small so this is not so useful for me (I also found a couple of ways to derive this asymptotic series). –  user9121 Mar 6 '13 at 5:06
    
Another possibility is to use Laplace's method, expanding around the maximum of the integrand $\dfrac{(c+e^x)^{-n}}{\sqrt{2\pi} \sigma} e^{-x^2/(2 \sigma^2)}$, which is at the real root of $(n \sigma^2 + x) e^x + c x$. –  Robert Israel Mar 11 '13 at 18:49

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