New Year's Predictions in Mathematics - MathOverflow [closed]most recent 30 from http://mathoverflow.net2013-06-19T18:31:56Zhttp://mathoverflow.net/feeds/question/50826http://www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/rdfhttp://mathoverflow.net/questions/50826/new-years-predictions-in-mathematicsNew Year's Predictions in MathematicsJoseph O'Rourke2010-12-31T19:39:50Z2010-12-31T19:53:50Z
<p>It is the time of year for predictions:
predictions for 2011, predictions for the next decade,
predictions for the unspecified future.
I searched a bit for predictions in mathematics,
but it seems mathematicians are too wise to engage in this
dubious activity.
I found only two predictions:</p>
<p>(1)
Two <em>New Scientist</em> writers, Samuel Arbesman and Rachel Courtland,
<a href="http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20827923.700" rel="nofollow">predict that 2011 will <em>not</em> see the $P=NP$ problem resolved</a>.</p>
<p>(2)
Sir Michael Atiyah</p>
<blockquote>
<p>suggested that the conjectured self-adjoint operator that could explain
the Riemann hypothesis might be the Hamiltonian of quantum gravity</p>
</blockquote>
<p>in a November talk at the <a href="http://www.scgp.stonybrook.edu/" rel="nofollow">Simons Center</a>, as <a href="http://www.math.columbia.edu/~woit/wordpress/?p=3247" rel="nofollow">reported by Peter Woit</a>.</p>
<p>Of course it is a stretch to call Atiyah's suggestion
a "prediction." And every conjecture in mathematics is a prediction!
Nevertheless, in the spirit of New Year's, I would be interested
to hear any predictions on future developments in mathematics.</p>
http://mathoverflow.net/questions/50826/new-years-predictions-in-mathematics/50827#50827Answer by Jason for New Year's Predictions in MathematicsJason2010-12-31T19:53:50Z2010-12-31T19:53:50Z<p>I've heard this type of prediction made:</p>
<p>In a few decades or so, the negation of the continuum hypothesis will be accepted as a consequence of some "obvious" axiom added to ZFC just as choice was added to ZF as an obvious axiom.</p>